logo
British columbia

Recent electoral history | Fraser-Nicola


2017 2020 2024 Projection CPBC 54% ± 8% 0.0% 1.3% 54.3% NDP 29% ± 7% 38.2% 41.8% 36.4% BCG 12% ± 5% 16.8% 12.3% 9.3% ONE 4% ± 4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% BCU 0% ± 0% 42.0% 35.9% 0.0%

Latest from the 338Canada newsletter

Loading latest analysis…


British Columbia flag

338Canada Fraser-Nicola projection

Latest update: May 6, 2026

Fraser-Nicola 46% 62% 54% ± 8% CPBC 22% 36% 29% ± 7% NDP 7% 17% 12% ± 5% BCG 0% 7% 4% ± 4% ONE CPBC 2024 54.3% 338Canada Popular vote projection | May 6, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Fraser-Nicola >99% CPBC <1% NDP <1% BCG Odds of winning | May 6, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

338Canada British Columbia Projection | Fraser-Nicola

Odds of winning | Fraser-Nicola