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Recent electoral history | Fraser-Nicola


2017 2020 2024 2026 Projection CPBC 59% ± 0% 0.0% 1.3% 54.3% 58.8% NDP 28% ± 0% 38.2% 41.8% 36.4% 28.2% BCG 13% ± 0% 16.8% 12.3% 9.3% 13.1% BCU 0% ± 0% 42.0% 35.9% 0.0% 0.0%
PartiesCandidates
CPBC Tony Luck
NDP Jason Leboe
BCG Patrick Michell
Candidate nominations closed at 1 p.m. on October 3, 2026. Found an error or omission? Please email candidats@qc125.com. For the complete list of candidates, visit Elections BC.

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338Canada Fraser-Nicola projection

Latest update: October 25, 2026

Fraser-Nicola 59% 59% 59% ± 0% ▲ CPBC 28% 28% 28% ± 0% ▼ NDP 13% 13% 13% ± 0% ▼ BCG CPBC 2024 58.8% 338Canada Popular vote projection | October 25, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Fraser-Nicola >99% CPBC <1% NDP <1% BCG Odds of winning | October 25, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

338Canada British Columbia Projection | Fraser-Nicola

Odds of winning | Fraser-Nicola