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Recent electoral history | Vancouver-Strathcona


2017 2020 2024 Projection NDP 61% ± 8% 65.6% 67.6% 67.6% CPBC 18% ± 5% 0.0% 0.0% 17.1% BCG 17% ± 6% 16.6% 19.9% 13.6% BCU 0% ± 0% 16.0% 12.5% 0.0%

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338Canada Vancouver-Strathcona projection

Latest update: May 6, 2026

Vancouver-Strathcona 53% 69% 61% ± 8% NDP 12% 23% 18% ± 5% CPBC 11% 23% 17% ± 6% BCG NDP 2024 67.6% 338Canada Popular vote projection | May 6, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Vancouver-Strathcona >99% NDP <1% CPBC <1% BCG Odds of winning | May 6, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

338Canada British Columbia Projection | Vancouver-Strathcona

Odds of winning | Vancouver-Strathcona