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British columbia


Victoria-Swan Lake


MLA: Rob Fleming (NDP)


Latest projection: February 11, 2023

NDP safe
Victoria-Swan Lake 57% ± 9% NDP 29% ± 9% BCG 11% ± 4% BCU 2% ± 2% BCC 2% ± 2% OTH NDP 2020 59.5% 338Canada Popular vote projection | February 11, 2023
50% 100% Victoria-Swan Lake >99% NDP <1% BCG <1% BCU Odds of winning | February 11, 2023


Popular vote projection | Victoria-Swan Lake

BCU 11% ± 4% NDP 57% ± 9% BCG 29% ± 9% Popular vote projection % | Victoria-Swan Lake 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-03-01 2022-05-01 2022-07-01 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 BCU NDP BCG

Odds of winning | Victoria-Swan Lake

BCU <1% NDP >99% BCG <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-03-01 2022-05-01 2022-07-01 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 BCU NDP BCG

Recent electoral history | Victoria-Swan Lake



2017 2020 Proj. NDP 53.6% 59.5% 57% ± 9% BCG 29.7% 27.7% 29% ± 9% BCU 15.9% 11.3% 11% ± 4% BCC 0.0% 0.0% 2% ± 2%