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British columbia

Richmond-Steveston


MLA: Kelly Greene (NDP)
Latest projection: February 9, 2025
Toss up
Richmond-Steveston 44% ± 7% NDP 42% ± 7% CPBC 10% ± 6% IND 3% ± 3% BCG NDP 2024 44.27% 338Canada Popular vote projection | February 9, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Richmond-Steveston 65%▼ NDP 35%▲ CPBC <1% INDOdds of winning | February 9, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Richmond-Steveston

CPBC 42% ± 7% NDP 44% ± 7% BCG 3% ± 3% IND 10% ± 6% Popular vote projection % | Richmond-Steveston 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-04-01 2024-07-01 2024-10-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-04-01 2025-07-01 2025-10-01 Election 2024 CPBC NDP BCG IND February 9, 2025 2023-12-31 NDP 46% CPBC 23% BCG 1% 2023-12-31 2024-02-01 NDP 48% CPBC 23% BCG 1% 2024-02-01 2024-03-26 NDP 44% CPBC 27% BCG 1% 2024-03-26 2024-05-10 NDP 42% CPBC 32% BCG 1% 2024-05-10 2024-05-18 NDP 41% CPBC 39% BCG 1% 2024-05-18 2024-06-01 NDP 43% CPBC 36% BCG 1% 2024-06-01 2024-06-26 NDP 44% CPBC 37% BCG 1% 2024-06-26 2024-07-12 NDP 42% CPBC 39% BCG 1% 2024-07-12 2024-08-01 NDP 43% CPBC 40% BCG 1% 2024-08-01 2024-08-14 NDP 43% CPBC 41% BCG 1% 2024-08-14 2024-09-03 CPBC 49% NDP 48% BCG 1% 2024-09-03 2024-09-20 CPBC 47% NDP 46% BCG 1% 2024-09-20 2024-09-21 CPBC 47% NDP 46% BCG 1% 2024-09-21 2024-09-23 CPBC 48% NDP 48% BCG 1% 2024-09-23 2024-09-25 CPBC 48% NDP 48% BCG 1% 2024-09-25 2024-09-26 CPBC 48% NDP 47% BCG 1% 2024-09-26 2024-09-27 CPBC 48% NDP 47% BCG 1% 2024-09-27 2024-09-28 CPBC 48% NDP 47% BCG 1% 2024-09-28 2024-09-29 CPBC 48% NDP 47% BCG 1% 2024-09-29 2024-09-30 NDP 48% CPBC 47% BCG 1% 2024-09-30 2024-10-01 NDP 48% CPBC 47% BCG 1% 2024-10-01 2024-10-02 CPBC 48% NDP 47% BCG 1% 2024-10-02 2024-10-03 CPBC 48% NDP 47% BCG 1% 2024-10-03 2024-10-04 CPBC 48% NDP 47% BCG 1% 2024-10-04 2024-10-05 CPBC 48% NDP 47% BCG 1% 2024-10-05 2024-10-06 NDP 48% CPBC 47% BCG 1% 2024-10-06 2024-10-07 NDP 48% CPBC 47% BCG 1% 2024-10-07 2024-10-08 NDP 49% CPBC 47% BCG 1% 2024-10-08 2024-10-09 NDP 48% CPBC 47% BCG 1% 2024-10-09 2024-10-10 NDP 48% CPBC 47% BCG 1% 2024-10-10 2024-10-11 NDP 48% CPBC 47% BCG 1% 2024-10-11 2024-10-12 NDP 48% CPBC 47% BCG 1% 2024-10-12 2024-10-13 NDP 48% CPBC 47% BCG 1% 2024-10-13 2024-10-14 NDP 49% CPBC 46% BCG 1% 2024-10-14 2024-10-15 NDP 49% CPBC 45% BCG 1% 2024-10-15 2024-10-16 CPBC 49% NDP 48% BCG 1% 2024-10-16 2024-10-17 CPBC 48% NDP 48% BCG 1% 2024-10-17 2024-10-18 CPBC 48% NDP 48% BCG 1% 2024-10-18 2024-10-20 NDP 44% CPBC 42% BCG 3% 2024-10-20 2024-11-10 NDP 44% CPBC 42% BCG 3% 2024-11-10 2025-02-09 NDP 44% CPBC 42% BCG 3% 2025-02-09

Odds of winning | Richmond-Steveston

BCU <1% CPBC 35% NDP 65% BCG <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-04-01 2024-07-01 2024-10-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-04-01 2025-07-01 2025-10-01 Election 2024 CPBC NDP BCG February 9, 2025 2023-12-31 NDP 20% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2023-12-31 2024-02-01 NDP 53% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-02-01 2024-03-26 NDP 49% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-03-26 2024-05-10 NDP 19% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-05-10 2024-05-18 NDP 24% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-05-18 2024-06-01 NDP 12% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-06-01 2024-06-26 NDP 14% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-06-26 2024-07-12 NDP 14% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-07-12 2024-08-01 NDP 41% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-08-01 2024-08-14 NDP 88% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-08-14 2024-09-03 NDP 95% CPBC <1% BCG <1% 2024-09-03 2024-09-20 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-09-20 2024-09-21 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-09-21 2024-09-23 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-09-23 2024-09-25 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-09-25 2024-09-26 NDP >99% CPBC <1% BCG <1% 2024-09-26 2024-09-27 NDP 94% CPBC 6% BCG <1% 2024-09-27 2024-09-28 NDP 62% CPBC 38% BCG <1% 2024-09-28 2024-09-29 NDP 84% CPBC 16% BCG <1% 2024-09-29 2024-09-30 NDP 85% CPBC 15% BCG <1% 2024-09-30 2024-10-01 NDP 67% CPBC 33% BCG <1% 2024-10-01 2024-10-02 NDP 63% CPBC 37% BCG <1% 2024-10-02 2024-10-03 NDP 62% CPBC 38% BCG <1% 2024-10-03 2024-10-04 CPBC 54% NDP 46% BCG <1% 2024-10-04 2024-10-05 CPBC 52% NDP 48% BCG <1% 2024-10-05 2024-10-06 CPBC 52% NDP 48% BCG <1% 2024-10-06 2024-10-07 CPBC 51% NDP 49% BCG <1% 2024-10-07 2024-10-08 CPBC 51% NDP 49% BCG <1% 2024-10-08 2024-10-09 CPBC 51% NDP 49% BCG <1% 2024-10-09 2024-10-10 CPBC 52% NDP 48% BCG <1% 2024-10-10 2024-10-11 CPBC 53% NDP 47% BCG <1% 2024-10-11 2024-10-12 CPBC 59% NDP 41% BCG <1% 2024-10-12 2024-10-13 NDP 53% CPBC 47% BCG <1% 2024-10-13 2024-10-14 NDP 54% CPBC 46% BCG <1% 2024-10-14 2024-10-15 CPBC 61% NDP 39% BCG <1% 2024-10-15 2024-10-16 CPBC 61% NDP 39% BCG <1% 2024-10-16 2024-10-17 CPBC 58% NDP 42% BCG <1% 2024-10-17 2024-10-18 CPBC 54% NDP 46% BCG <1% 2024-10-18 2024-10-20 NDP 53% CPBC 47% BCG <1% 2024-10-20 2024-11-10 NDP 57% CPBC 43% BCG <1% 2024-11-10 2025-02-09 NDP 62% CPBC 38% BCG <1% 2025-02-09 2023-12-31 NDP 55% CPBC 45% BCG <1% 2023-12-31 2024-02-01 NDP 52% CPBC 48% BCG <1% 2024-02-01 2024-03-26 NDP 58% CPBC 42% BCG <1% 2024-03-26 2024-05-10 NDP 57% CPBC 43% BCG <1% 2024-05-10 2024-05-18 NDP 57% CPBC 43% BCG <1% 2024-05-18 2024-06-01 NDP 67% CPBC 33% BCG <1% 2024-06-01 2024-06-26 NDP 73% CPBC 27% BCG <1% 2024-06-26 2024-07-12 CPBC 55% NDP 45% BCG <1% 2024-07-12 2024-08-01 CPBC 55% NDP 45% BCG <1% 2024-08-01 2024-08-14 CPBC 51% NDP 49% BCG <1% 2024-08-14 2024-09-03 NDP 68% CPBC 32% BCG <1% 2024-09-03 2024-09-20 NDP 69% CPBC 31% BCG <1% 2024-09-20 2024-09-21 NDP 65% CPBC 35% BCG <1% 2024-09-21

Recent electoral history | Richmond-Steveston



2017 2020 2024 Proj. NDP 44% ± 7% 39.2% 51.5% 44.3% CPBC 42% ± 7% 0.0% 0.0% 42.2% IND 10% ± 6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% BCG 3% ± 3% 12.7% 0.0% 3.4% LIB 0% ± 0% 48.1% 46.3% 0.0%
Data from 2017 and 2020 are those transposed onto the new electoral map.