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Richmond-Steveston

Latest update: February 18, 2026
N
MLA: Kelly Greene
New Democratic Party
NDP leaning
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Recent electoral history | Richmond-Steveston


2017 2020 2024 Projection NDP 45% ± 8% 39.2% 51.5% 44.3% CPBC 39% ± 8% 0.0% 0.0% 42.2% BCG 6% ± 4% 12.7% 0.0% 3.4% ONE 5% ± 5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% CEN 5% ± 5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% BCU 0% ± 0% 48.1% 46.3% 0.0%

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338Canada Richmond-Steveston projection

Latest update: February 18, 2026

Richmond-Steveston 37% 53% 45% ± 8% ▼ NDP 32% 47% 39% ± 8% ▼ CPBC 2% 10% 6% ± 4% ▲ BCG 0% 10% 5% ± 5% ONE 0% 10% 5% ± 5% CEN NDP 2024 44.3% 338Canada Popular vote projection | February 18, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Richmond-Steveston 82%▲ NDP 18%▼ CPBC <1% BCG Odds of winning | February 18, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.


Popular vote projection | Richmond-Steveston

BCU 0% ± 0% CPBC 39% ± 8% NDP 45% ± 8% BCG 6% ± 4% ONE 5% ± 5% CEN 5% ± 5% Popular vote projection % | Richmond-Steveston 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-05-01 2026-09-01 Election 2024 BCU CPBC NDP BCG ONE CEN February 18, 2026 2024-03-26 NDP 44% CPBC 27% BCU 25% BCG 1% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-03-26 2024-05-10 NDP 42% CPBC 32% BCU 22% BCG 1% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-05-10 2024-05-18 NDP 41% CPBC 39% BCU 16% BCG 1% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-05-18 2024-06-01 NDP 43% CPBC 36% BCU 17% BCG 1% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-06-01 2024-06-26 NDP 44% CPBC 37% BCU 15% BCG 1% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-06-26 2024-07-12 NDP 42% CPBC 39% BCU 14% BCG 1% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-07-12 2024-08-01 NDP 43% CPBC 40% BCU 13% BCG 1% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-08-01 2024-08-14 NDP 43% CPBC 41% BCU 13% BCG 1% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-08-14 2024-09-03 CPBC 49% NDP 48% BCG 1% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-03 2024-09-20 CPBC 47% NDP 46% BCU 6% BCG 1% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-09-20 2024-09-21 CPBC 47% NDP 46% BCU 6% BCG 1% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-09-21 2024-09-23 CPBC 48% NDP 48% BCG 1% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-23 2024-09-25 CPBC 48% NDP 48% BCG 1% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-25 2024-09-26 CPBC 48% NDP 47% BCG 1% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-26 2024-09-27 CPBC 48% NDP 47% BCG 1% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-27 2024-09-28 CPBC 48% NDP 47% BCG 1% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-28 2024-09-29 CPBC 48% NDP 47% BCG 1% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-29 2024-09-30 NDP 48% CPBC 47% BCG 1% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-30 2024-10-01 NDP 48% CPBC 47% BCG 1% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-01 2024-10-02 CPBC 48% NDP 47% BCG 1% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-02 2024-10-03 CPBC 48% NDP 47% BCG 1% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-03 2024-10-04 CPBC 48% NDP 47% BCG 1% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-04 2024-10-05 CPBC 48% NDP 47% BCG 1% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-05 2024-10-06 NDP 48% CPBC 47% BCG 1% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-06 2024-10-07 NDP 48% CPBC 47% BCG 1% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-07 2024-10-08 NDP 49% CPBC 47% BCG 1% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-08 2024-10-09 NDP 48% CPBC 47% BCG 1% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-09 2024-10-10 NDP 48% CPBC 47% BCG 1% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-10 2024-10-11 NDP 48% CPBC 47% BCG 1% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-11 2024-10-12 NDP 48% CPBC 47% BCG 1% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-12 2024-10-13 NDP 48% CPBC 47% BCG 1% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-13 2024-10-14 NDP 49% CPBC 46% BCG 1% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-14 2024-10-15 NDP 49% CPBC 45% BCG 1% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-15 2024-10-16 CPBC 49% NDP 48% BCG 1% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-16 2024-10-17 CPBC 48% NDP 48% BCG 1% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-17 2024-10-18 CPBC 48% NDP 48% BCG 1% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-18 2024-10-20 NDP 44% CPBC 42% BCG 3% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-20 2024-11-10 NDP 44% CPBC 42% BCG 3% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-11-10 2025-02-09 NDP 44% CPBC 42% BCG 3% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2025-02-09 2025-06-18 NDP 44% CPBC 42% ONE 10% BCG 3% CEN 0% BCU 0% 2025-06-18 2025-09-13 NDP 44% CPBC 43% ONE 10% BCG 3% CEN 0% BCU 0% 2025-09-13 2025-10-21 NDP 46% CPBC 42% BCG 4% ONE 3% CEN 0% BCU 0% 2025-10-21 2025-12-20 NDP 46% CPBC 42% BCG 4% ONE 3% CEN 0% BCU 0% 2025-12-20 2026-02-05 NDP 46% CPBC 41% CEN 5% ONE 5% BCG 4% BCU 0% 2026-02-05 2026-02-18 NDP 45% CPBC 39% BCG 6% ONE 5% CEN 5% BCU 0% 2026-02-18

Odds of winning | Richmond-Steveston

BCU <1% CPBC 18% NDP 82% BCG <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-05-01 2026-09-01 Election 2024 CPBC NDP BCG February 18, 2026 2024-03-26 NDP 20% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-03-26 2024-05-10 NDP 53% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-05-10 2024-05-18 NDP 49% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-05-18 2024-06-01 NDP 19% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-06-01 2024-06-26 NDP 24% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-06-26 2024-07-12 NDP 12% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-07-12 2024-08-01 NDP 14% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-08-01 2024-08-14 NDP 14% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-08-14 2024-09-03 NDP 41% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-09-03 2024-09-20 NDP 88% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-09-20 2024-09-21 NDP 95% CPBC <1% BCG <1% 2024-09-21 2024-09-23 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-09-23 2024-09-25 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-09-25 2024-09-26 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-09-26 2024-09-27 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-09-27 2024-09-28 NDP >99% CPBC <1% BCG <1% 2024-09-28 2024-09-29 NDP 94% CPBC 6% BCG <1% 2024-09-29 2024-09-30 NDP 62% CPBC 38% BCG <1% 2024-09-30 2024-10-01 NDP 84% CPBC 16% BCG <1% 2024-10-01 2024-10-02 NDP 85% CPBC 15% BCG <1% 2024-10-02 2024-10-03 NDP 67% CPBC 33% BCG <1% 2024-10-03 2024-10-04 NDP 63% CPBC 37% BCG <1% 2024-10-04 2024-10-05 NDP 62% CPBC 38% BCG <1% 2024-10-05 2024-10-06 CPBC 54% NDP 46% BCG <1% 2024-10-06 2024-10-07 CPBC 52% NDP 48% BCG <1% 2024-10-07 2024-10-08 CPBC 52% NDP 48% BCG <1% 2024-10-08 2024-10-09 CPBC 51% NDP 49% BCG <1% 2024-10-09 2024-10-10 CPBC 51% NDP 49% BCG <1% 2024-10-10 2024-10-11 CPBC 51% NDP 49% BCG <1% 2024-10-11 2024-10-12 CPBC 52% NDP 48% BCG <1% 2024-10-12 2024-10-13 CPBC 53% NDP 47% BCG <1% 2024-10-13 2024-10-14 CPBC 59% NDP 41% BCG <1% 2024-10-14 2024-10-15 NDP 53% CPBC 47% BCG <1% 2024-10-15 2024-10-16 NDP 54% CPBC 46% BCG <1% 2024-10-16 2024-10-17 CPBC 61% NDP 39% BCG <1% 2024-10-17 2024-10-18 CPBC 61% NDP 39% BCG <1% 2024-10-18 2024-10-20 CPBC 58% NDP 42% BCG <1% 2024-10-20 2024-11-10 CPBC 54% NDP 46% BCG <1% 2024-11-10 2025-02-09 NDP 53% CPBC 47% BCG <1% 2025-02-09 2025-06-18 NDP 57% CPBC 43% BCG <1% 2025-06-18 2025-09-13 NDP 62% CPBC 38% BCG <1% 2025-09-13 2025-10-21 NDP 55% CPBC 45% BCG <1% 2025-10-21 2025-12-20 NDP 52% CPBC 48% BCG <1% 2025-12-20 2026-02-05 NDP 58% CPBC 42% BCG <1% 2026-02-05 2026-02-18 NDP 57% CPBC 43% BCG <1% 2026-02-18 2024-03-26 NDP 57% CPBC 43% BCG <1% 2024-03-26 2024-05-10 NDP 67% CPBC 33% BCG <1% 2024-05-10 2024-05-18 NDP 73% CPBC 27% BCG <1% 2024-05-18 2024-06-01 CPBC 55% NDP 45% BCG <1% 2024-06-01 2024-06-26 CPBC 55% NDP 45% BCG <1% 2024-06-26 2024-07-12 CPBC 51% NDP 49% BCG <1% 2024-07-12 2024-08-01 NDP 68% CPBC 32% BCG <1% 2024-08-01 2024-08-14 NDP 69% CPBC 31% BCG <1% 2024-08-14 2024-09-03 NDP 65% CPBC 35% BCG <1% 2024-09-03 2024-09-20 NDP 63% CPBC 37% BCG <1% 2024-09-20 2024-09-21 NDP 57% CPBC 43% BCG <1% 2024-09-21 2024-09-23 NDP 71% CPBC 29% BCG <1% 2024-09-23 2024-09-25 NDP 71% CPBC 29% BCG <1% 2024-09-25 2024-09-26 NDP 75% CPBC 25% BCG <1% 2024-09-26 2024-09-27 NDP 82% CPBC 18% BCG <1% 2024-09-27