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British columbia

Richmond-Steveston


Latest projection: May 10, 2024
NDP likely
Richmond-Steveston 42% ± 8%▼ NDP 32% ± 9%▲ BCC 22% ± 7%▼ BCU 3% ± 5% OTH NDP 2020 51.5% 338Canada Popular vote projection | May 10, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Richmond-Steveston 94%▼ NDP 6%▲ BCC <1% BCU Odds of winning | May 10, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Richmond-Steveston

BCU 22% ± 7% BCC 32% ± 9% NDP 42% ± 8% OTH 3% ± 5% Popular vote projection % | Richmond-Steveston 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 Election 2024 BCU BCC NDP OTH May 10, 2024

Odds of winning | Richmond-Steveston

BCU <1% BCC 6% NDP 94% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 Election 2024 BCU BCC NDP May 10, 2024

Recent electoral history | Richmond-Steveston



2017 2020 Proj. NDP 39.2% 51.5% 42% ± 8% BCU 48.1% 46.3% 22% ± 7% BCG 12.7% 0.0% 1% ± 1% BCC 0.0% 0.0% 32% ± 9% OTH 0.0% 0.0% 3% ± 5%
Data from 2017 and 2020 are those transposed onto new electoral map.