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Recent electoral history | Nanaimo-Lantzville


2017 2020 2024 Projection NDP 44% ± 6% 38.8% 48.0% 51.8% CPBC 41% ± 6% 0.0% 2.1% 39.5% BCG 12% ± 4% 19.7% 20.0% 8.7% IND 3% ± 3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% BCU 0% ± 0% 40.6% 29.7% 0.0%
PartiesCandidates
CPBC Kelsey Pringle
NDP George Anderson
BCG Sharleen Weatherley
Communist Party Pepper Saltman
Candidate nominations closed at 1 p.m. on October 3, 2026. Found an error or omission? Please email candidats@qc125.com. For the complete list of candidates, visit Elections BC.

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338Canada Nanaimo-Lantzville projection

Latest update: October 22, 2026

Nanaimo-Lantzville 38% 50% 44% ± 6% ▼ NDP 35% 48% 41% ± 6% CPBC 7% 16% 12% ± 4% ▲ BCG NDP 2024 51.8% 338Canada Popular vote projection | October 22, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Nanaimo-Lantzville 70%▼ NDP 30%▲ CPBC <1% BCG Odds of winning | October 22, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

338Canada British Columbia Projection | Nanaimo-Lantzville

Odds of winning | Nanaimo-Lantzville