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British columbia


North Island


MLA: Michele Babchuk (NDP)


Latest projection: February 11, 2023

NDP safe
North Island 47% ± 9% NDP 24% ± 7% BCU 19% ± 7% BCG 10% ± 6% BCC NDP 2020 50.8% 338Canada Popular vote projection | February 11, 2023
50% 100% North Island >99% NDP <1% BCU <1% BCG Odds of winning | February 11, 2023


Popular vote projection | North Island

BCU 24% ± 7% BCC 10% ± 6% NDP 47% ± 9% BCG 19% ± 7% Popular vote projection % | North Island 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-03-01 2022-05-01 2022-07-01 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 BCU BCC NDP BCG

Odds of winning | North Island

BCU <1% NDP >99% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-03-01 2022-05-01 2022-07-01 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 BCU NDP

Recent electoral history | North Island



2017 2020 Proj. NDP 47.7% 50.8% 47% ± 9% BCU 35.3% 24.0% 24% ± 7% BCG 14.9% 19.3% 19% ± 7% BCC 0.0% 6.0% 10% ± 6%