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Burnaby Centre

Latest update: December 20, 2025
N
MLA: Anne Kang
New Democratic Party
NDP likely
Projection — Burnaby Centre → Regional projection — Metro Vancouver → All British Columbia provincial districts → British Columbia projection map → British Columbia polls → Back to 338Canada British Columbia home → Riding roulette! →

Recent electoral history | Burnaby Centre


2017 2020 2024 Projection NDP 56% ± 9% 47.7% 56.6% 57.3% CPBC 40% ± 9% 2.3% 0.0% 42.7% BCG 1% ± 1% 11.4% 11.6% 0.0% BCU 0% ± 0% 37.6% 31.8% 0.0%

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338Canada Burnaby Centre projection

Latest update: December 20, 2025

Burnaby Centre 47% 65% 56% ± 9% ▼ NDP 31% 49% 40% ± 9% ▼ CPBC NDP 2024 57.3% 338Canada Popular vote projection | December 20, 2025
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Burnaby Centre 98% NDP 2% CPBC <1% BCG Odds of winning | December 20, 2025
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.


Popular vote projection | Burnaby Centre

BCU 0% ± 0% CPBC 40% ± 9% NDP 56% ± 9% BCG 1% ± 1% ONE 1% ± 1% CEN 0% ± 0% Popular vote projection % | Burnaby Centre 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-05-01 2026-09-01 Election 2024 BCU CPBC NDP BCG ONE CEN December 20, 2025 2024-03-26 NDP 52% CPBC 20% BCU 18% BCG 8% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-03-26 2024-05-10 NDP 51% CPBC 25% BCU 14% BCG 8% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-05-10 2024-05-18 NDP 46% CPBC 33% BCU 11% BCG 8% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-05-18 2024-06-01 NDP 48% CPBC 31% BCU 11% BCG 8% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-06-01 2024-06-26 NDP 49% CPBC 31% BCU 10% BCG 9% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-06-26 2024-07-12 NDP 47% CPBC 33% BCU 9% BCG 9% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-07-12 2024-08-01 NDP 47% CPBC 34% BCG 9% BCU 9% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-08-01 2024-08-14 NDP 48% CPBC 35% BCU 9% BCG 8% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-08-14 2024-09-03 NDP 51% CPBC 39% BCG 8% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-03 2024-09-20 NDP 51% CPBC 40% BCG 8% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-20 2024-09-21 NDP 51% CPBC 40% BCG 8% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-21 2024-09-23 NDP 52% CPBC 40% BCG 8% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-23 2024-09-25 NDP 52% CPBC 40% BCG 8% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-25 2024-09-26 NDP 52% CPBC 40% BCG 8% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-26 2024-09-27 NDP 52% CPBC 40% BCG 8% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-27 2024-09-28 NDP 51% CPBC 41% BCG 8% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-28 2024-09-29 NDP 55% CPBC 45% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-29 2024-09-30 NDP 56% CPBC 44% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-30 2024-10-01 NDP 56% CPBC 44% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-01 2024-10-02 NDP 55% CPBC 45% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-02 2024-10-03 NDP 55% CPBC 45% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-03 2024-10-04 NDP 56% CPBC 44% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-04 2024-10-05 NDP 56% CPBC 44% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-05 2024-10-06 NDP 56% CPBC 44% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-06 2024-10-07 NDP 57% CPBC 43% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-07 2024-10-08 NDP 57% CPBC 43% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-08 2024-10-09 NDP 57% CPBC 43% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-09 2024-10-10 NDP 56% CPBC 44% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-10 2024-10-11 NDP 57% CPBC 43% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-11 2024-10-12 NDP 57% CPBC 43% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-12 2024-10-13 NDP 57% CPBC 43% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-13 2024-10-14 NDP 58% CPBC 42% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-14 2024-10-15 NDP 58% CPBC 42% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-15 2024-10-16 NDP 58% CPBC 42% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-16 2024-10-17 NDP 58% CPBC 42% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-17 2024-10-18 NDP 58% CPBC 42% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-18 2024-10-20 NDP 57% CPBC 43% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-20 2024-11-10 NDP 57% CPBC 43% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-11-10 2025-02-09 NDP 57% CPBC 43% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2025-02-09 2025-06-18 NDP 57% CPBC 43% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2025-06-18 2025-09-13 NDP 57% CPBC 43% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2025-09-13 2025-10-21 NDP 57% CPBC 41% ONE 1% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2025-10-21 2025-12-20 NDP 56% CPBC 40% BCG 1% ONE 1% CEN 0% BCU 0% 2025-12-20

Odds of winning | Burnaby Centre

BCU <1% CPBC 2% NDP 98% BCG <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-05-01 2026-09-01 Election 2024 CPBC NDP BCG December 20, 2025 2024-03-26 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-03-26 2024-05-10 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-05-10 2024-05-18 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-05-18 2024-06-01 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-06-01 2024-06-26 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-06-26 2024-07-12 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-07-12 2024-08-01 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-08-01 2024-08-14 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-08-14 2024-09-03 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-09-03 2024-09-20 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-09-20 2024-09-21 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-09-21 2024-09-23 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-09-23 2024-09-25 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-09-25 2024-09-26 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-09-26 2024-09-27 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-09-27 2024-09-28 NDP >99% CPBC <1% BCG <1% 2024-09-28 2024-09-29 NDP 97% CPBC 3% BCG <1% 2024-09-29 2024-09-30 NDP >99% CPBC <1% BCG <1% 2024-09-30 2024-10-01 NDP >99% CPBC <1% BCG <1% 2024-10-01 2024-10-02 NDP 98% CPBC 2% BCG <1% 2024-10-02 2024-10-03 NDP 98% CPBC 2% BCG <1% 2024-10-03 2024-10-04 NDP 98% CPBC 2% BCG <1% 2024-10-04 2024-10-05 NDP 97% CPBC 3% BCG <1% 2024-10-05 2024-10-06 NDP 95% CPBC 5% BCG <1% 2024-10-06 2024-10-07 NDP 95% CPBC 5% BCG <1% 2024-10-07 2024-10-08 NDP 96% CPBC 4% BCG <1% 2024-10-08 2024-10-09 NDP 96% CPBC 4% BCG <1% 2024-10-09 2024-10-10 NDP 96% CPBC 4% BCG <1% 2024-10-10 2024-10-11 NDP 96% CPBC 4% BCG <1% 2024-10-11 2024-10-12 NDP 95% CPBC 5% BCG <1% 2024-10-12 2024-10-13 NDP 95% CPBC 5% BCG <1% 2024-10-13 2024-10-14 NDP 97% CPBC 3% BCG <1% 2024-10-14 2024-10-15 NDP 98% CPBC 2% BCG <1% 2024-10-15 2024-10-16 NDP 95% CPBC 5% BCG <1% 2024-10-16 2024-10-17 NDP 94% CPBC 6% BCG <1% 2024-10-17 2024-10-18 NDP 95% CPBC 5% BCG <1% 2024-10-18 2024-10-20 NDP 96% CPBC 4% BCG <1% 2024-10-20 2024-11-10 NDP 97% CPBC 3% BCG <1% 2024-11-10 2025-02-09 NDP 98% CPBC 2% BCG <1% 2025-02-09 2025-06-18 NDP 98% CPBC 2% BCG <1% 2025-06-18 2025-09-13 NDP 98% CPBC 2% BCG <1% 2025-09-13 2025-10-21 NDP 97% CPBC 3% BCG <1% 2025-10-21 2025-12-20 NDP 98% CPBC 2% BCG <1% 2025-12-20 2024-03-26 NDP 98% CPBC 2% BCG <1% 2024-03-26 2024-05-10 NDP 98% CPBC 2% BCG <1% 2024-05-10 2024-05-18 NDP 99% CPBC 1% BCG <1% 2024-05-18 2024-06-01 NDP 99% CPBC 1% BCG <1% 2024-06-01 2024-06-26 NDP 99% CPBC 1% BCG <1% 2024-06-26 2024-07-12 NDP 99% CPBC 1% BCG <1% 2024-07-12 2024-08-01 NDP 99% CPBC 1% BCG <1% 2024-08-01 2024-08-14 NDP >99% CPBC <1% BCG <1% 2024-08-14 2024-09-03 NDP >99% CPBC <1% BCG <1% 2024-09-03 2024-09-20 NDP 98% CPBC 2% BCG <1% 2024-09-20 2024-09-21 NDP 96% CPBC 4% BCG <1% 2024-09-21 2024-09-23 NDP 95% CPBC 5% BCG <1% 2024-09-23 2024-09-25 NDP 98% CPBC 2% BCG <1% 2024-09-25 2024-09-26 NDP 98% CPBC 2% BCG <1% 2024-09-26