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British columbia

Salmon Arm-Shuswap


Latest projection: October 2, 2024
CPBC safe

Candidates | Salmon Arm-Shuswap


BC NDP Sylvia Lindgren
Conservative Party of BC David L. Williams
BC Green Party Jed Wiebe
Independent Greg McCune
Independent Sherry Roy

Candidates are listed on the Elections BC website here. This list will be updated regularly throughout the campaign.

Salmon Arm-Shuswap 55% ± 7% CPBC 32% ± 6% NDP 8% ± 4% BCG 4% ± 3% IND LIB 2020 51.2% 338Canada Popular vote projection | October 2, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Salmon Arm-Shuswap >99% CPBC <1% NDP <1% BCG Odds of winning | October 2, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Salmon Arm-Shuswap

CPBC 55% ± 7% NDP 32% ± 6% BCG 8% ± 4% IND 4% ± 3% Popular vote projection % | Salmon Arm-Shuswap 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024-09-15 2024-10-01 2024-10-15 Election 2024 Campaign begins CPBC NDP BCG IND October 2, 2024 2024-09-21 CPBC 52% NDP 32% BCG 9% 2024-09-21 2024-09-23 CPBC 54% NDP 33% BCG 10% 2024-09-23 2024-09-25 CPBC 55% NDP 32% BCG 9% 2024-09-25 2024-09-26 CPBC 55% NDP 32% BCG 9% 2024-09-26 2024-09-27 CPBC 55% NDP 32% BCG 9% 2024-09-27 2024-09-28 CPBC 55% NDP 32% BCG 9% 2024-09-28 2024-09-29 CPBC 55% NDP 32% BCG 9% 2024-09-29 2024-09-30 CPBC 55% NDP 32% BCG 8% 2024-09-30 2024-10-01 CPBC 55% NDP 32% BCG 8% 2024-10-01 2024-10-02 CPBC 55% NDP 32% BCG 8% 2024-10-02

Odds of winning | Salmon Arm-Shuswap

BCU <1% CPBC >99% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024-09-15 2024-10-01 2024-10-15 Election 2024 Campaign begins BCU CPBC NDP October 2, 2024 2024-09-21 CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCU <1% 2024-09-21 2024-09-23 CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCU <1% 2024-09-23 2024-09-25 CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCU <1% 2024-09-25 2024-09-26 CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCU <1% 2024-09-26 2024-09-27 CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCU <1% 2024-09-27 2024-09-28 CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCU <1% 2024-09-28 2024-09-29 CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCU <1% 2024-09-29 2024-09-30 CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCU <1% 2024-09-30 2024-10-01 CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCU <1% 2024-10-01 2024-10-02 CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCU <1% 2024-10-02

Recent electoral history | Salmon Arm-Shuswap



2017 2020 Proj. CPBC 0.0% 0.1% 55% ± 7% NDP 27.0% 34.1% 32% ± 6% BCG 15.8% 14.6% 8% ± 4% IND 0.0% 0.0% 4% ± 3% BCU 55.7% 51.2% 0% ± 0%
Data from 2017 and 2020 are those transposed onto new electoral map.