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Salmon Arm-Shuswap

Latest update: August 17, 2026
C
MLA: David L. Williams
Conservative Party of BC
CPBC safe
Projection — Salmon Arm-Shuswap → Regional projection — Okanagan-Rockies → All British Columbia provincial districts → British Columbia projection map → British Columbia polls → Back to 338Canada British Columbia home → British Columbia simulator → Riding roulette! →

Recent electoral history | Salmon Arm-Shuswap


2017 2020 2024 Projection CPBC 54% ± 7% 0.0% 0.1% 52.1% NDP 29% ± 6% 27.0% 34.1% 30.4% BCG 10% ± 5% 15.8% 14.6% 7.1% ONE 5% ± 4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% CEN 3% ± 3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% BCU 0% ± 0% 55.7% 51.2% 0.0%

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338Canada Salmon Arm-Shuswap projection

Latest update: August 17, 2026

Salmon Arm-Shuswap 46% 61% 54% ± 7% ▼ CPBC 22% 35% 29% ± 6% ▲ NDP 5% 15% 10% ± 5% BCG 0% 9% 5% ± 4% ONE CPBC 2024 52.1% 338Canada Popular vote projection | August 17, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Salmon Arm-Shuswap >99% CPBC <1% NDP <1% BCG Odds of winning | August 17, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

338Canada British Columbia Projection | Salmon Arm-Shuswap

Odds of winning | Salmon Arm-Shuswap