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Kelowna-Lake Country-Coldstream

Latest update: December 20, 2025
I
MLA: Tara Armstrong
Independent
CPBC likely
Projection — Kelowna-Lake Country-Coldstream → Regional projection — Okanagan-Rockies → All British Columbia provincial districts → British Columbia projection map → British Columbia polls → Back to 338Canada British Columbia home → Riding roulette! →

Recent electoral history | Kelowna-Lake Country-Coldstream


2017 2020 2024 Projection CPBC 50% ± 8% 0.0% 3.9% 53.9% NDP 39% ± 8% 23.1% 30.6% 35.2% BCG 5% ± 4% 20.3% 14.8% 4.3% ONE 3% ± 3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% BCU 0% ± 0% 56.3% 48.7% 0.0%

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338Canada Kelowna-Lake Country-Coldstream projection

Latest update: December 20, 2025

Kelowna-Lake Country-Coldstream 41% 58% 50% ± 8% CPBC 31% 47% 39% ± 8% NDP 2% 9% 5% ± 4% BCG CPBC 2024 53.9% 338Canada Popular vote projection | December 20, 2025
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Kelowna-Lake Country-Coldstream 94% CPBC 6% NDP <1% BCG Odds of winning | December 20, 2025
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.


Popular vote projection | Kelowna-Lake Country-Coldstream

BCU 0% ± 0% CPBC 50% ± 8% NDP 39% ± 8% BCG 5% ± 4% ONE 3% ± 3% CEN 0% ± 0% Popular vote projection % | Kelowna-Lake Country-Coldstream 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-05-01 2026-09-01 Election 2024 BCU CPBC NDP BCG ONE CEN December 20, 2025 2024-03-26 CPBC 32% BCU 31% NDP 25% BCG 9% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-03-26 2024-05-10 CPBC 37% BCU 27% NDP 24% BCG 8% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-05-10 2024-05-18 CPBC 43% NDP 25% BCU 22% BCG 8% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-05-18 2024-06-01 CPBC 40% NDP 26% BCU 23% BCG 9% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-06-01 2024-06-26 CPBC 41% NDP 26% BCU 21% BCG 9% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-06-26 2024-07-12 CPBC 43% NDP 25% BCU 19% BCG 9% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-07-12 2024-08-01 CPBC 44% NDP 25% BCU 19% BCG 9% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-08-01 2024-08-14 CPBC 45% NDP 26% BCU 18% BCG 9% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-08-14 2024-09-03 CPBC 58% NDP 31% BCG 9% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-03 2024-09-20 CPBC 52% NDP 32% BCG 9% BCU 7% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-09-20 2024-09-21 CPBC 52% NDP 32% BCG 9% BCU 7% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-09-21 2024-09-23 CPBC 53% NDP 33% BCG 9% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-23 2024-09-25 CPBC 54% NDP 33% BCG 8% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-25 2024-09-26 CPBC 54% NDP 33% BCG 8% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-26 2024-09-27 CPBC 54% NDP 33% BCG 8% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-27 2024-09-28 CPBC 58% NDP 33% BCG 8% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-28 2024-09-29 CPBC 59% NDP 33% BCG 8% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-29 2024-09-30 CPBC 59% NDP 33% BCG 8% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-30 2024-10-01 CPBC 59% NDP 33% BCG 8% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-01 2024-10-02 CPBC 59% NDP 33% BCG 8% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-02 2024-10-03 CPBC 59% NDP 33% BCG 8% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-03 2024-10-04 CPBC 59% NDP 33% BCG 8% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-04 2024-10-05 CPBC 59% NDP 33% BCG 8% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-05 2024-10-06 CPBC 58% NDP 34% BCG 8% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-06 2024-10-07 CPBC 58% NDP 34% BCG 8% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-07 2024-10-08 CPBC 57% NDP 35% BCG 8% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-08 2024-10-09 CPBC 58% NDP 34% BCG 8% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-09 2024-10-10 CPBC 58% NDP 34% BCG 8% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-10 2024-10-11 CPBC 57% NDP 34% BCG 9% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-11 2024-10-12 CPBC 57% NDP 34% BCG 9% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-12 2024-10-13 CPBC 57% NDP 34% BCG 9% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-13 2024-10-14 CPBC 57% NDP 34% BCG 9% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-14 2024-10-15 CPBC 57% NDP 34% BCG 9% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-15 2024-10-16 CPBC 56% NDP 34% BCG 10% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-16 2024-10-17 CPBC 56% NDP 34% BCG 10% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-17 2024-10-18 CPBC 57% NDP 33% BCG 10% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-18 2024-10-20 CPBC 54% NDP 35% BCG 4% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-20 2024-11-10 CPBC 54% NDP 35% BCG 4% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-11-10 2025-02-09 CPBC 54% NDP 35% BCG 4% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2025-02-09 2025-06-18 CPBC 49% NDP 37% ONE 9% BCG 5% CEN 0% BCU 0% 2025-06-18 2025-09-13 CPBC 50% NDP 36% ONE 9% BCG 5% CEN 0% BCU 0% 2025-09-13 2025-10-21 CPBC 50% NDP 39% BCG 5% ONE 3% CEN 0% BCU 0% 2025-10-21 2025-12-20 CPBC 50% NDP 39% BCG 5% ONE 3% CEN 0% BCU 0% 2025-12-20

Odds of winning | Kelowna-Lake Country-Coldstream

BCU <1% CPBC 94% NDP 6% BCG <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-05-01 2026-09-01 Election 2024 CPBC NDP BCG December 20, 2025 2024-03-26 NDP 1% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-03-26 2024-05-10 NDP 1% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-05-10 2024-05-18 NDP <1% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-05-18 2024-06-01 NDP <1% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-06-01 2024-06-26 NDP <1% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-06-26 2024-07-12 NDP <1% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-07-12 2024-08-01 NDP <1% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-08-01 2024-08-14 NDP <1% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-08-14 2024-09-03 NDP 13% CPBC <1% BCG <1% 2024-09-03 2024-09-20 NDP 27% CPBC 3% BCG <1% 2024-09-20 2024-09-21 CPBC 26% NDP 13% BCG <1% 2024-09-21 2024-09-23 CPBC 25% NDP 13% BCG <1% 2024-09-23 2024-09-25 CPBC 26% NDP 12% BCG <1% 2024-09-25 2024-09-26 CPBC 37% NDP 27% BCG <1% 2024-09-26 2024-09-27 CPBC 54% NDP 3% BCG <1% 2024-09-27 2024-09-28 CPBC 92% NDP 1% BCG <1% 2024-09-28 2024-09-29 CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCG <1% 2024-09-29 2024-09-30 CPBC 99% NDP 1% BCG <1% 2024-09-30 2024-10-01 CPBC 99% NDP 1% BCG <1% 2024-10-01 2024-10-02 CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCG <1% 2024-10-02 2024-10-03 CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCG <1% 2024-10-03 2024-10-04 CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCG <1% 2024-10-04 2024-10-05 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-10-05 2024-10-06 CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCG <1% 2024-10-06 2024-10-07 CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCG <1% 2024-10-07 2024-10-08 CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCG <1% 2024-10-08 2024-10-09 CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCG <1% 2024-10-09 2024-10-10 CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCG <1% 2024-10-10 2024-10-11 CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCG <1% 2024-10-11 2024-10-12 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-10-12 2024-10-13 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-10-13 2024-10-14 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-10-14 2024-10-15 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-10-15 2024-10-16 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-10-16 2024-10-17 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-10-17 2024-10-18 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-10-18 2024-10-20 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-10-20 2024-11-10 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-11-10 2025-02-09 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-09 2025-06-18 CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCG <1% 2025-06-18 2025-09-13 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2025-09-13 2025-10-21 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2025-10-21 2025-12-20 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2025-12-20 2024-03-26 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-03-26 2024-05-10 CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCG <1% 2024-05-10 2024-05-18 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-05-18 2024-06-01 CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCG <1% 2024-06-01 2024-06-26 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-06-26 2024-07-12 CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCG <1% 2024-07-12 2024-08-01 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-08-01 2024-08-14 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-08-14 2024-09-03 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-09-03 2024-09-20 CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCG <1% 2024-09-20 2024-09-21 CPBC 96% NDP 4% BCG <1% 2024-09-21 2024-09-23 CPBC 97% NDP 3% BCG <1% 2024-09-23 2024-09-25 CPBC 94% NDP 6% BCG <1% 2024-09-25 2024-09-26 CPBC 94% NDP 6% BCG <1% 2024-09-26