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Kelowna-Lake Country-Coldstream


MLA: (New boundaries)
Latest projection: March 26, 2024

Toss up
Kelowna-Lake Country-Coldstream 32% ± 9%▲ 31% ± 8%▲ 25% ± 6%▼ 9% ± 4%▼ 3% ± 4% OTH BCU 2020 48.7% 338Canada Popular vote projection | March 26, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% Kelowna-Lake Country-Coldstream 54%▲ 43%▲ 3%▼ Odds of winning | March 26, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Kelowna-Lake Country-Coldstream

BCU 31% ± 8% BCC 32% ± 9% NDP 25% ± 6% BCG 9% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Kelowna-Lake Country-Coldstream 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 Election 2024 BCU BCC NDP BCG

Odds of winning | Kelowna-Lake Country-Coldstream

BCU 43% BCC 54% NDP 3% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 Election 2024 BCU BCC NDP

Recent electoral history | Kelowna-Lake Country-Coldstream



2017 2020 Proj. BCU 56.3% 48.7% 31% ± 8% NDP 23.1% 30.6% 25% ± 6% BCG 20.3% 14.8% 9% ± 4% BCC 0.0% 3.9% 32% ± 9% OTH 0.0% 0.0% 3% ± 4%
Data from 2017 and 2020 are those transposed onto new electoral map.