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Boundary-Similkameen

Latest update: February 18, 2026
C
MLA: Donegal Wilson
Conservative Party of BC
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Recent electoral history | Boundary-Similkameen


2017 2020 2024 Projection CPBC 43% ± 8% 0.0% 11.2% 48.4% NDP 41% ± 8% 32.7% 49.9% 42.6% BCG 9% ± 4% 10.2% 0.0% 5.9% ONE 5% ± 5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% BCU 0% ± 0% 42.8% 36.7% 0.0%

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338Canada Boundary-Similkameen projection

Latest update: February 18, 2026

Boundary-Similkameen 36% 51% 43% ± 8% ▼ CPBC 34% 49% 41% ± 8% ▼ NDP 4% 13% 9% ± 4% ▲ BCG 0% 10% 5% ± 5% ONE CPBC 2024 48.4% 338Canada Popular vote projection | February 18, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Boundary-Similkameen 62%▼ CPBC 38%▲ NDP <1% BCG Odds of winning | February 18, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.


Popular vote projection | Boundary-Similkameen

BCU 0% ± 0% CPBC 43% ± 8% NDP 41% ± 8% BCG 9% ± 4% ONE 5% ± 5% CEN 2% ± 2% Popular vote projection % | Boundary-Similkameen 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-05-01 2026-09-01 Election 2024 BCU CPBC NDP BCG ONE CEN February 18, 2026 2024-03-26 NDP 40% CPBC 37% BCU 18% BCG 1% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-03-26 2024-05-10 NDP 41% CPBC 39% BCU 15% BCG 1% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-05-10 2024-05-18 CPBC 44% NDP 41% BCU 12% BCG 1% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-05-18 2024-06-01 NDP 43% CPBC 41% BCU 13% BCG 1% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-06-01 2024-06-26 NDP 43% CPBC 41% BCU 11% BCG 1% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-06-26 2024-07-12 CPBC 44% NDP 42% BCU 10% BCG 1% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-07-12 2024-08-01 CPBC 45% NDP 42% BCU 10% BCG 1% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-08-01 2024-08-14 CPBC 45% NDP 42% BCU 10% BCG 1% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-08-14 2024-09-03 CPBC 53% NDP 44% BCG 1% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-03 2024-09-20 CPBC 53% NDP 46% BCG 1% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-20 2024-09-21 CPBC 53% NDP 46% BCG 1% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-21 2024-09-23 CPBC 53% NDP 47% BCG 1% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-23 2024-09-25 CPBC 54% NDP 46% BCG 1% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-25 2024-09-26 CPBC 53% NDP 46% BCG 1% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-26 2024-09-27 CPBC 53% NDP 46% BCG 1% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-27 2024-09-28 CPBC 54% NDP 46% BCG 1% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-28 2024-09-29 CPBC 52% NDP 45% BCG 3% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-29 2024-09-30 CPBC 52% NDP 45% BCG 3% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-30 2024-10-01 CPBC 52% NDP 46% BCG 3% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-01 2024-10-02 CPBC 52% NDP 45% BCG 3% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-02 2024-10-03 CPBC 52% NDP 45% BCG 3% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-03 2024-10-04 CPBC 51% NDP 46% BCG 3% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-04 2024-10-05 CPBC 51% NDP 46% BCG 3% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-05 2024-10-06 CPBC 51% NDP 47% BCG 3% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-06 2024-10-07 CPBC 50% NDP 47% BCG 3% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-07 2024-10-08 CPBC 49% NDP 48% BCG 3% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-08 2024-10-09 CPBC 50% NDP 47% BCG 3% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-09 2024-10-10 CPBC 50% NDP 47% BCG 3% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-10 2024-10-11 CPBC 49% NDP 48% BCG 3% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-11 2024-10-12 CPBC 49% NDP 48% BCG 3% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-12 2024-10-13 CPBC 49% NDP 47% BCG 3% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-13 2024-10-14 CPBC 50% NDP 47% BCG 3% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-14 2024-10-15 CPBC 50% NDP 47% BCG 3% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-15 2024-10-16 CPBC 50% NDP 47% BCG 3% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-16 2024-10-17 CPBC 50% NDP 47% BCG 3% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-17 2024-10-18 CPBC 50% NDP 47% BCG 3% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-18 2024-10-20 CPBC 48% NDP 42% BCG 6% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-20 2024-11-10 CPBC 48% NDP 43% BCG 6% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-11-10 2025-02-09 CPBC 48% NDP 43% BCG 6% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2025-02-09 2025-06-18 CPBC 48% NDP 43% BCG 6% ONE 3% CEN 0% BCU 0% 2025-06-18 2025-09-13 CPBC 49% NDP 42% BCG 6% ONE 3% CEN 0% BCU 0% 2025-09-13 2025-10-21 CPBC 46% NDP 42% BCG 6% ONE 3% CEN 0% BCU 0% 2025-10-21 2025-12-20 CPBC 46% NDP 42% BCG 7% ONE 3% CEN 0% BCU 0% 2025-12-20 2026-02-05 CPBC 45% NDP 42% BCG 7% ONE 5% CEN 2% BCU 0% 2026-02-05 2026-02-18 CPBC 43% NDP 41% BCG 9% ONE 5% CEN 2% BCU 0% 2026-02-18

Odds of winning | Boundary-Similkameen

BCU <1% CPBC 62% NDP 38% BCG <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-05-01 2026-09-01 Election 2024 CPBC NDP BCG February 18, 2026 2024-03-26 NDP 96% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-03-26 2024-05-10 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-05-10 2024-05-18 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-05-18 2024-06-01 NDP 97% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-06-01 2024-06-26 NDP 97% CPBC <1% BCG <1% 2024-06-26 2024-07-12 NDP 83% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-07-12 2024-08-01 NDP 85% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-08-01 2024-08-14 NDP 86% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-08-14 2024-09-03 NDP 98% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-09-03 2024-09-20 NDP >99% CPBC <1% BCG <1% 2024-09-20 2024-09-21 NDP 99% CPBC 1% BCG <1% 2024-09-21 2024-09-23 NDP 91% CPBC 9% BCG <1% 2024-09-23 2024-09-25 NDP 92% CPBC 8% BCG <1% 2024-09-25 2024-09-26 NDP 93% CPBC 7% BCG <1% 2024-09-26 2024-09-27 NDP 94% CPBC 6% BCG <1% 2024-09-27 2024-09-28 NDP 64% CPBC 36% BCG <1% 2024-09-28 2024-09-29 NDP 58% CPBC 42% BCG <1% 2024-09-29 2024-09-30 CPBC 65% NDP 35% BCG <1% 2024-09-30 2024-10-01 NDP 59% CPBC 41% BCG <1% 2024-10-01 2024-10-02 NDP 60% CPBC 40% BCG <1% 2024-10-02 2024-10-03 CPBC 64% NDP 36% BCG <1% 2024-10-03 2024-10-04 CPBC 68% NDP 32% BCG <1% 2024-10-04 2024-10-05 CPBC 70% NDP 30% BCG <1% 2024-10-05 2024-10-06 CPBC 90% NDP 10% BCG <1% 2024-10-06 2024-10-07 CPBC 83% NDP 17% BCG <1% 2024-10-07 2024-10-08 CPBC 82% NDP 18% BCG <1% 2024-10-08 2024-10-09 CPBC 82% NDP 18% BCG <1% 2024-10-09 2024-10-10 CPBC 87% NDP 13% BCG <1% 2024-10-10 2024-10-11 CPBC 87% NDP 13% BCG <1% 2024-10-11 2024-10-12 CPBC 87% NDP 13% BCG <1% 2024-10-12 2024-10-13 CPBC 88% NDP 12% BCG <1% 2024-10-13 2024-10-14 CPBC 83% NDP 17% BCG <1% 2024-10-14 2024-10-15 CPBC 84% NDP 16% BCG <1% 2024-10-15 2024-10-16 CPBC 84% NDP 16% BCG <1% 2024-10-16 2024-10-17 CPBC 84% NDP 16% BCG <1% 2024-10-17 2024-10-18 CPBC 82% NDP 18% BCG <1% 2024-10-18 2024-10-20 CPBC 82% NDP 18% BCG <1% 2024-10-20 2024-11-10 CPBC 79% NDP 21% BCG <1% 2024-11-10 2025-02-09 CPBC 73% NDP 27% BCG <1% 2025-02-09 2025-06-18 CPBC 71% NDP 29% BCG <1% 2025-06-18 2025-09-13 CPBC 59% NDP 41% BCG <1% 2025-09-13 2025-10-21 CPBC 67% NDP 33% BCG <1% 2025-10-21 2025-12-20 CPBC 67% NDP 33% BCG <1% 2025-12-20 2026-02-05 CPBC 61% NDP 39% BCG <1% 2026-02-05 2026-02-18 CPBC 61% NDP 39% BCG <1% 2026-02-18 2024-03-26 CPBC 61% NDP 39% BCG <1% 2024-03-26 2024-05-10 CPBC 65% NDP 35% BCG <1% 2024-05-10 2024-05-18 CPBC 65% NDP 35% BCG <1% 2024-05-18 2024-06-01 CPBC 65% NDP 35% BCG <1% 2024-06-01 2024-06-26 CPBC 65% NDP 35% BCG <1% 2024-06-26 2024-07-12 CPBC 72% NDP 28% BCG <1% 2024-07-12 2024-08-01 CPBC 93% NDP 7% BCG <1% 2024-08-01 2024-08-14 CPBC 92% NDP 8% BCG <1% 2024-08-14 2024-09-03 CPBC 83% NDP 17% BCG <1% 2024-09-03 2024-09-20 CPBC 78% NDP 22% BCG <1% 2024-09-20 2024-09-21 CPBC 82% NDP 18% BCG <1% 2024-09-21 2024-09-23 CPBC 71% NDP 29% BCG <1% 2024-09-23 2024-09-25 CPBC 70% NDP 30% BCG <1% 2024-09-25 2024-09-26 CPBC 65% NDP 35% BCG <1% 2024-09-26 2024-09-27 CPBC 62% NDP 38% BCG <1% 2024-09-27