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British columbia

Boundary-Similkameen


Latest projection: October 2, 2024
CPBC leaning

Candidates | Boundary-Similkameen


BC NDP Roly Russell
Conservative Party of BC Donegal Wilson
BC Green Party Kevin Eastwood
Independent Sean Taylor

Candidates are listed on the Elections BC website here. This list will be updated regularly throughout the campaign.

Boundary-Similkameen 52% ± 7% CPBC 45% ± 7%▼ NDP 3% ± 2% BCG NDP 2020 49.9% 338Canada Popular vote projection | October 2, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Boundary-Similkameen 84% CPBC 16% NDP <1% BCG Odds of winning | October 2, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Boundary-Similkameen

CPBC 52% ± 7% NDP 45% ± 7% Popular vote projection % | Boundary-Similkameen 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024-09-15 2024-10-01 2024-10-15 Election 2024 Campaign begins CPBC NDP October 2, 2024 2024-09-21 CPBC 53% NDP 46% 2024-09-21 2024-09-23 CPBC 53% NDP 47% 2024-09-23 2024-09-25 CPBC 54% NDP 46% 2024-09-25 2024-09-26 CPBC 53% NDP 46% 2024-09-26 2024-09-27 CPBC 53% NDP 46% 2024-09-27 2024-09-28 CPBC 54% NDP 46% 2024-09-28 2024-09-29 CPBC 52% NDP 45% 2024-09-29 2024-09-30 CPBC 52% NDP 45% 2024-09-30 2024-10-01 CPBC 52% NDP 46% 2024-10-01 2024-10-02 CPBC 52% NDP 45% 2024-10-02

Odds of winning | Boundary-Similkameen

BCU <1% CPBC 84% NDP 16% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024-09-15 2024-10-01 2024-10-15 Election 2024 Campaign begins BCU CPBC NDP October 2, 2024 2024-09-21 CPBC 82% NDP 18% BCU <1% 2024-09-21 2024-09-23 CPBC 82% NDP 18% BCU <1% 2024-09-23 2024-09-25 CPBC 87% NDP 13% BCU <1% 2024-09-25 2024-09-26 CPBC 87% NDP 13% BCU <1% 2024-09-26 2024-09-27 CPBC 87% NDP 13% BCU <1% 2024-09-27 2024-09-28 CPBC 88% NDP 12% BCU <1% 2024-09-28 2024-09-29 CPBC 83% NDP 17% BCU <1% 2024-09-29 2024-09-30 CPBC 84% NDP 16% BCU <1% 2024-09-30 2024-10-01 CPBC 84% NDP 16% BCU <1% 2024-10-01 2024-10-02 CPBC 84% NDP 16% BCU <1% 2024-10-02

Recent electoral history | Boundary-Similkameen



2017 2020 Proj. CPBC 0.0% 11.2% 52% ± 7% NDP 32.7% 49.9% 45% ± 7% BCG 10.2% 0.0% 3% ± 2% BCU 42.8% 36.7% 0% ± 0%
Data from 2017 and 2020 are those transposed onto new electoral map.