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British columbia

Kamloops Centre


MLA: Peter Milobar (CPBC)
Latest projection: November 10, 2024
CPBC likely
Kamloops Centre 49% ± 0% CPBC 41% ± 0% NDP 10% ± 0% BCG CPBC 2024 48.83% 338Canada Popular vote projection | November 10, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Kamloops Centre 98% CPBC 2% NDP <1% BCG Odds of winning | November 10, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Kamloops Centre

CPBC 49% ± 0% NDP 41% ± 0% BCG 10% ± 0% Popular vote projection % | Kamloops Centre 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 Election 2024 CPBC NDP BCG November 10, 2024 2023-12-31 NDP 37% CPBC 24% BCG 12% 2023-12-31 2024-02-01 NDP 39% CPBC 25% BCG 11% 2024-02-01 2024-03-26 NDP 35% CPBC 28% BCG 11% 2024-03-26 2024-05-10 NDP 34% CPBC 33% BCG 10% 2024-05-10 2024-05-18 CPBC 39% NDP 32% BCG 10% 2024-05-18 2024-06-01 CPBC 37% NDP 34% BCG 10% 2024-06-01 2024-06-26 CPBC 37% NDP 34% BCG 11% 2024-06-26 2024-07-12 CPBC 40% NDP 33% BCG 11% 2024-07-12 2024-08-01 CPBC 40% NDP 33% BCG 11% 2024-08-01 2024-08-14 CPBC 41% NDP 34% BCG 10% 2024-08-14 2024-09-03 CPBC 52% NDP 36% BCG 10% 2024-09-03 2024-09-20 CPBC 52% NDP 38% BCG 10% 2024-09-20 2024-09-21 CPBC 52% NDP 38% BCG 10% 2024-09-21 2024-09-23 CPBC 52% NDP 38% BCG 10% 2024-09-23 2024-09-25 CPBC 53% NDP 38% BCG 10% 2024-09-25 2024-09-26 CPBC 53% NDP 37% BCG 10% 2024-09-26 2024-09-27 CPBC 53% NDP 38% BCG 10% 2024-09-27 2024-09-28 CPBC 53% NDP 37% BCG 10% 2024-09-28 2024-09-29 CPBC 53% NDP 37% BCG 9% 2024-09-29 2024-09-30 CPBC 54% NDP 37% BCG 9% 2024-09-30 2024-10-01 CPBC 54% NDP 37% BCG 9% 2024-10-01 2024-10-02 CPBC 54% NDP 37% BCG 9% 2024-10-02 2024-10-03 CPBC 54% NDP 37% BCG 9% 2024-10-03 2024-10-04 CPBC 53% NDP 37% BCG 9% 2024-10-04 2024-10-05 CPBC 53% NDP 38% BCG 9% 2024-10-05 2024-10-06 CPBC 52% NDP 38% BCG 9% 2024-10-06 2024-10-07 CPBC 52% NDP 38% BCG 9% 2024-10-07 2024-10-08 CPBC 51% NDP 39% BCG 9% 2024-10-08 2024-10-09 CPBC 52% NDP 39% BCG 9% 2024-10-09 2024-10-10 CPBC 52% NDP 39% BCG 9% 2024-10-10 2024-10-11 CPBC 51% NDP 39% BCG 10% 2024-10-11 2024-10-12 CPBC 51% NDP 39% BCG 10% 2024-10-12 2024-10-13 CPBC 51% NDP 39% BCG 10% 2024-10-13 2024-10-14 CPBC 51% NDP 38% BCG 10% 2024-10-14 2024-10-15 CPBC 51% NDP 38% BCG 10% 2024-10-15 2024-10-16 CPBC 51% NDP 38% BCG 10% 2024-10-16 2024-10-17 CPBC 51% NDP 38% BCG 10% 2024-10-17 2024-10-18 CPBC 52% NDP 38% BCG 10% 2024-10-18 2024-10-20 CPBC 49% NDP 41% BCG 10% 2024-10-20 2024-11-10 CPBC 49% NDP 41% BCG 10% 2024-11-10

Odds of winning | Kamloops Centre

BCU <1% CPBC 98% NDP 2% BCG <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 Election 2024 CPBC NDP BCG November 10, 2024 2023-12-31 NDP 1% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2023-12-31 2024-02-01 NDP 11% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-02-01 2024-03-26 NDP 8% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-03-26 2024-05-10 NDP 1% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-05-10 2024-05-18 NDP 2% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-05-18 2024-06-01 NDP <1% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-06-01 2024-06-26 NDP <1% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-06-26 2024-07-12 NDP 1% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-07-12 2024-08-01 NDP 6% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-08-01 2024-08-14 NDP 52% CPBC <1% BCG <1% 2024-08-14 2024-09-03 NDP 73% CPBC 1% BCG <1% 2024-09-03 2024-09-20 NDP 98% CPBC 1% BCG <1% 2024-09-20 2024-09-21 NDP 98% CPBC 1% BCG <1% 2024-09-21 2024-09-23 NDP 99% CPBC 1% BCG <1% 2024-09-23 2024-09-25 NDP 99% CPBC <1% BCG <1% 2024-09-25 2024-09-26 NDP 88% CPBC 11% BCG <1% 2024-09-26 2024-09-27 NDP 54% CPBC 46% BCG <1% 2024-09-27 2024-09-28 CPBC 84% NDP 16% BCG <1% 2024-09-28 2024-09-29 CPBC 67% NDP 33% BCG <1% 2024-09-29 2024-09-30 CPBC 68% NDP 32% BCG <1% 2024-09-30 2024-10-01 CPBC 85% NDP 15% BCG <1% 2024-10-01 2024-10-02 CPBC 88% NDP 12% BCG <1% 2024-10-02 2024-10-03 CPBC 89% NDP 11% BCG <1% 2024-10-03 2024-10-04 CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCG <1% 2024-10-04 2024-10-05 CPBC 99% NDP 1% BCG <1% 2024-10-05 2024-10-06 CPBC 99% NDP 1% BCG <1% 2024-10-06 2024-10-07 CPBC 99% NDP 1% BCG <1% 2024-10-07 2024-10-08 CPBC 99% NDP 1% BCG <1% 2024-10-08 2024-10-09 CPBC 99% NDP 1% BCG <1% 2024-10-09 2024-10-10 CPBC 99% NDP 1% BCG <1% 2024-10-10 2024-10-11 CPBC 99% NDP 1% BCG <1% 2024-10-11 2024-10-12 CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCG <1% 2024-10-12 2024-10-13 CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCG <1% 2024-10-13 2024-10-14 CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCG <1% 2024-10-14 2024-10-15 CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCG <1% 2024-10-15 2024-10-16 CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCG <1% 2024-10-16 2024-10-17 CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCG <1% 2024-10-17 2024-10-18 CPBC 99% NDP 1% BCG <1% 2024-10-18 2024-10-20 CPBC 99% NDP 1% BCG <1% 2024-10-20 2024-11-10 CPBC 99% NDP 1% BCG <1% 2024-11-10 2023-12-31 CPBC 98% NDP 2% BCG <1% 2023-12-31 2024-02-01 CPBC 99% NDP 1% BCG <1% 2024-02-01 2024-03-26 CPBC 99% NDP 1% BCG <1% 2024-03-26 2024-05-10 CPBC 98% NDP 2% BCG <1% 2024-05-10 2024-05-18 CPBC 98% NDP 2% BCG <1% 2024-05-18 2024-06-01 CPBC 98% NDP 2% BCG <1% 2024-06-01 2024-06-26 CPBC 98% NDP 2% BCG <1% 2024-06-26 2024-07-12 CPBC 98% NDP 2% BCG <1% 2024-07-12 2024-08-01 CPBC 98% NDP 2% BCG <1% 2024-08-01 2024-08-14 CPBC 98% NDP 2% BCG <1% 2024-08-14 2024-09-03 CPBC 99% NDP 1% BCG <1% 2024-09-03 2024-09-20 CPBC 98% NDP 2% BCG <1% 2024-09-20 2024-09-21 CPBC 98% NDP 2% BCG <1% 2024-09-21

Recent electoral history | Kamloops Centre



2017 2020 2024 Proj. CPBC 49% ± 0% 0.0% 3.0% 48.8% NDP 41% ± 0% 28.0% 40.5% 40.9% BCG 10% ± 0% 22.7% 15.7% 10.2% LIB 0% ± 0% 48.1% 40.7% 0.0%
Data from 2017 and 2020 are those transposed onto the new electoral map.