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British columbia


Peace River South


MLA: Mike Bernier (BCU)


Latest projection: December 5, 2023

BCC likely
Peace River South 52% ± 12%▲ 32% ± 10% 13% ± 6%▼ 3% ± 3% OTH BCU 2020 51.2% 338Canada Popular vote projection | December 5, 2023
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% Peace River South 98%▲ 2%▼ <1% Odds of winning | December 5, 2023
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Peace River South

BCU 32% ± 10% BCC 52% ± 12% NDP 13% ± 6% Popular vote projection % | Peace River South 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2021► 2021-01-01 2021-05-01 2021-09-01 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 BCU BCC NDP

Odds of winning | Peace River South

BCU 2% BCC 98% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2021► 2021-01-01 2021-05-01 2021-09-01 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 BCU BCC NDP

Recent electoral history | Peace River South



2017 2020 Proj. BCU 76% 51.2% 32% ± 10% BCC 0% 30.5% 52% ± 12% NDP 24% 15.6% 13% ± 6% OTH 0% 0.0% 3% ± 3% BCG 0% 0.0% 1% ± 1%