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British columbia


Esquimalt-Metchosin


MLA: Mitzi Dean (NDP)


Latest projection: February 11, 2023

NDP safe
Esquimalt-Metchosin 57% ± 9% NDP 26% ± 8% BCG 15% ± 5% BCU 2% ± 2% BCC NDP 2020 59.3% 338Canada Popular vote projection | February 11, 2023
50% 100% Esquimalt-Metchosin >99% NDP <1% BCG <1% BCU Odds of winning | February 11, 2023


Popular vote projection | Esquimalt-Metchosin

BCU 15% ± 5% NDP 57% ± 9% BCG 26% ± 8% Popular vote projection % | Esquimalt-Metchosin 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-03-01 2022-05-01 2022-07-01 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 BCU NDP BCG

Odds of winning | Esquimalt-Metchosin

BCU <1% NDP >99% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-03-01 2022-05-01 2022-07-01 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 BCU NDP

Recent electoral history | Esquimalt-Metchosin



2017 2020 Proj. NDP 46.3% 59.3% 57% ± 9% BCG 24.8% 24.2% 26% ± 8% BCU 27.6% 15.5% 15% ± 5% BCC 0.0% 0.0% 2% ± 2%