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Surrey-Fleetwood

Latest update: February 18, 2026
N
MLA: Jagrup Brar
New Democratic Party
NDP leaning
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Recent electoral history | Surrey-Fleetwood


2017 2020 2024 Projection NDP 46% ± 8% 52.2% 61.8% 48.6% CPBC 39% ± 8% 0.0% 0.5% 44.9% BCG 9% ± 5% 10.8% 8.1% 6.5% ONE 3% ± 3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% BCU 0% ± 0% 36.7% 29.4% 0.0%

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338Canada Surrey-Fleetwood projection

Latest update: February 18, 2026

Surrey-Fleetwood 39% 54% 46% ± 8% ▼ NDP 32% 47% 39% ± 8% ▼ CPBC 4% 14% 9% ± 5% ▲ BCG NDP 2024 48.6% 338Canada Popular vote projection | February 18, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Surrey-Fleetwood 87%▲ NDP 13%▼ CPBC <1% BCG Odds of winning | February 18, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.


Popular vote projection | Surrey-Fleetwood

BCU 0% ± 0% CPBC 39% ± 8% NDP 46% ± 8% BCG 9% ± 5% ONE 3% ± 3% CEN 2% ± 2% Popular vote projection % | Surrey-Fleetwood 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-05-01 2026-09-01 Election 2024 BCU CPBC NDP BCG ONE CEN February 18, 2026 2024-03-26 NDP 52% CPBC 23% BCU 17% BCG 6% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-03-26 2024-05-10 NDP 51% CPBC 28% BCU 14% BCG 5% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-05-10 2024-05-18 NDP 49% CPBC 35% BCU 10% BCG 5% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-05-18 2024-06-01 NDP 51% CPBC 32% BCU 10% BCG 5% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-06-01 2024-06-26 NDP 52% CPBC 32% BCU 9% BCG 6% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-06-26 2024-07-12 NDP 50% CPBC 35% BCU 8% BCG 6% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-07-12 2024-08-01 NDP 50% CPBC 35% BCU 8% BCG 6% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-08-01 2024-08-14 NDP 50% CPBC 36% BCU 8% BCG 5% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-08-14 2024-09-03 NDP 54% CPBC 40% BCG 5% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-03 2024-09-20 NDP 54% CPBC 41% BCG 5% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-20 2024-09-21 NDP 54% CPBC 41% BCG 5% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-21 2024-09-23 NDP 54% CPBC 41% BCG 5% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-23 2024-09-25 NDP 54% CPBC 41% BCG 5% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-25 2024-09-26 NDP 54% CPBC 41% BCG 5% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-26 2024-09-27 NDP 54% CPBC 41% BCG 5% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-27 2024-09-28 NDP 54% CPBC 41% BCG 5% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-28 2024-09-29 NDP 54% CPBC 42% BCG 5% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-29 2024-09-30 NDP 55% CPBC 41% BCG 5% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-30 2024-10-01 NDP 55% CPBC 41% BCG 5% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-01 2024-10-02 NDP 54% CPBC 42% BCG 4% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-02 2024-10-03 NDP 54% CPBC 42% BCG 4% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-03 2024-10-04 NDP 54% CPBC 42% BCG 4% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-04 2024-10-05 NDP 54% CPBC 41% BCG 4% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-05 2024-10-06 NDP 55% CPBC 41% BCG 5% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-06 2024-10-07 NDP 55% CPBC 41% BCG 5% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-07 2024-10-08 NDP 55% CPBC 40% BCG 5% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-08 2024-10-09 NDP 55% CPBC 41% BCG 4% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-09 2024-10-10 NDP 55% CPBC 41% BCG 5% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-10 2024-10-11 NDP 55% CPBC 40% BCG 5% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-11 2024-10-12 NDP 55% CPBC 40% BCG 5% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-12 2024-10-13 NDP 55% CPBC 40% BCG 5% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-13 2024-10-14 NDP 55% CPBC 40% BCG 5% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-14 2024-10-15 NDP 56% CPBC 39% BCG 5% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-15 2024-10-16 NDP 56% CPBC 39% BCG 5% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-16 2024-10-17 NDP 56% CPBC 39% BCG 5% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-17 2024-10-18 NDP 56% CPBC 39% BCG 5% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-18 2024-10-20 NDP 48% CPBC 45% BCG 6% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-20 2024-11-10 NDP 49% CPBC 45% BCG 6% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-11-10 2025-02-09 NDP 49% CPBC 45% BCG 7% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2025-02-09 2025-06-18 NDP 49% CPBC 45% BCG 7% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2025-06-18 2025-09-13 NDP 48% CPBC 45% BCG 7% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2025-09-13 2025-10-21 NDP 48% CPBC 42% BCG 7% ONE 1% CEN 0% BCU 0% 2025-10-21 2025-12-20 NDP 48% CPBC 42% BCG 7% ONE 1% CEN 0% BCU 0% 2025-12-20 2026-02-05 NDP 47% CPBC 41% BCG 7% ONE 3% CEN 2% BCU 0% 2026-02-05 2026-02-18 NDP 46% CPBC 39% BCG 9% ONE 3% CEN 2% BCU 0% 2026-02-18

Odds of winning | Surrey-Fleetwood

BCU <1% CPBC 13% NDP 87% BCG <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-05-01 2026-09-01 Election 2024 CPBC NDP BCG February 18, 2026 2024-03-26 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-03-26 2024-05-10 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-05-10 2024-05-18 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-05-18 2024-06-01 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-06-01 2024-06-26 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-06-26 2024-07-12 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-07-12 2024-08-01 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-08-01 2024-08-14 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-08-14 2024-09-03 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-09-03 2024-09-20 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-09-20 2024-09-21 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-09-21 2024-09-23 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-09-23 2024-09-25 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-09-25 2024-09-26 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-09-26 2024-09-27 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-09-27 2024-09-28 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-09-28 2024-09-29 NDP >99% CPBC <1% BCG <1% 2024-09-29 2024-09-30 NDP 98% CPBC 2% BCG <1% 2024-09-30 2024-10-01 NDP >99% CPBC <1% BCG <1% 2024-10-01 2024-10-02 NDP >99% CPBC <1% BCG <1% 2024-10-02 2024-10-03 NDP 99% CPBC 1% BCG <1% 2024-10-03 2024-10-04 NDP 99% CPBC 1% BCG <1% 2024-10-04 2024-10-05 NDP 99% CPBC 1% BCG <1% 2024-10-05 2024-10-06 NDP 99% CPBC 1% BCG <1% 2024-10-06 2024-10-07 NDP 98% CPBC 2% BCG <1% 2024-10-07 2024-10-08 NDP 98% CPBC 2% BCG <1% 2024-10-08 2024-10-09 NDP 98% CPBC 2% BCG <1% 2024-10-09 2024-10-10 NDP 98% CPBC 2% BCG <1% 2024-10-10 2024-10-11 NDP 98% CPBC 2% BCG <1% 2024-10-11 2024-10-12 NDP 98% CPBC 2% BCG <1% 2024-10-12 2024-10-13 NDP 98% CPBC 2% BCG <1% 2024-10-13 2024-10-14 NDP 97% CPBC 3% BCG <1% 2024-10-14 2024-10-15 NDP 99% CPBC 1% BCG <1% 2024-10-15 2024-10-16 NDP 99% CPBC 1% BCG <1% 2024-10-16 2024-10-17 NDP 98% CPBC 2% BCG <1% 2024-10-17 2024-10-18 NDP 97% CPBC 3% BCG <1% 2024-10-18 2024-10-20 NDP 98% CPBC 2% BCG <1% 2024-10-20 2024-11-10 NDP 98% CPBC 2% BCG <1% 2024-11-10 2025-02-09 NDP 99% CPBC 1% BCG <1% 2025-02-09 2025-06-18 NDP 99% CPBC 1% BCG <1% 2025-06-18 2025-09-13 NDP 99% CPBC 1% BCG <1% 2025-09-13 2025-10-21 NDP 99% CPBC 1% BCG <1% 2025-10-21 2025-12-20 NDP 99% CPBC 1% BCG <1% 2025-12-20 2026-02-05 NDP 99% CPBC 1% BCG <1% 2026-02-05 2026-02-18 NDP 99% CPBC 1% BCG <1% 2026-02-18 2024-03-26 NDP 99% CPBC 1% BCG <1% 2024-03-26 2024-05-10 NDP >99% CPBC <1% BCG <1% 2024-05-10 2024-05-18 NDP >99% CPBC <1% BCG <1% 2024-05-18 2024-06-01 NDP >99% CPBC <1% BCG <1% 2024-06-01 2024-06-26 NDP >99% CPBC <1% BCG <1% 2024-06-26 2024-07-12 NDP >99% CPBC <1% BCG <1% 2024-07-12 2024-08-01 NDP 74% CPBC 26% BCG <1% 2024-08-01 2024-08-14 NDP 79% CPBC 21% BCG <1% 2024-08-14 2024-09-03 NDP 73% CPBC 27% BCG <1% 2024-09-03 2024-09-20 NDP 69% CPBC 31% BCG <1% 2024-09-20 2024-09-21 NDP 64% CPBC 36% BCG <1% 2024-09-21 2024-09-23 NDP 76% CPBC 24% BCG <1% 2024-09-23 2024-09-25 NDP 77% CPBC 23% BCG <1% 2024-09-25 2024-09-26 NDP 81% CPBC 19% BCG <1% 2024-09-26 2024-09-27 NDP 87% CPBC 13% BCG <1% 2024-09-27