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Recent electoral history | Cowichan Valley


2017 2020 2024 Projection NDP 38% ± 7% 35.8% 44.7% 40.5% CPBC 37% ± 7% 0.0% 0.0% 37.6% BCG 22% ± 6% 31.9% 38.9% 19.8% IND 3% ± 3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% BCU 0% ± 0% 28.4% 16.4% 0.0%
PartiesCandidates
CPBC Bert Chen
NDP Debra Toporowski
BCG Justin Douglas
Communist Party James Chumsa
Candidate nominations closed at 1 p.m. on October 3, 2026. Found an error or omission? Please email candidats@qc125.com. For the complete list of candidates, visit Elections BC.

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338Canada Cowichan Valley projection

Latest update: October 16, 2026

Cowichan Valley 31% 45% 38% ± 7% NDP 30% 44% 37% ± 7% CPBC 16% 28% 22% ± 6% BCG NDP 2024 40.5% 338Canada Popular vote projection | October 16, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Cowichan Valley 59%▲ NDP 41%▼ CPBC <1% BCG Odds of winning | October 16, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

338Canada British Columbia Projection | Cowichan Valley

Odds of winning | Cowichan Valley