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British columbia

Cowichan Valley


Latest projection: June 1, 2024
NDP likely
Cowichan Valley 38% ± 7%▲ NDP 29% ± 6%▲ BCG 24% ± 7%▼ BCC 7% ± 4% BCU NDP 2020 44.7% 338Canada Popular vote projection | June 1, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Cowichan Valley 96%▲ NDP 3%▲ BCG <1%▼ BCC Odds of winning | June 1, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Cowichan Valley

BCU 7% ± 4% BCC 24% ± 7% NDP 38% ± 7% BCG 29% ± 6% Popular vote projection % | Cowichan Valley 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 Election 2024 BCU BCC NDP BCG June 1, 2024

Odds of winning | Cowichan Valley

BCU <1% BCC <1% NDP 96% BCG 3% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 Election 2024 BCU BCC NDP BCG June 1, 2024

Recent electoral history | Cowichan Valley



2017 2020 Proj. NDP 35.8% 44.7% 38% ± 7% BCG 31.9% 38.9% 29% ± 6% BCU 28.4% 16.4% 7% ± 4% BCC 0.0% 0.0% 24% ± 7% OTH 0.0% 0.0% 2% ± 2%
Data from 2017 and 2020 are those transposed onto new electoral map.