logo
British columbia


Nechako Lakes


MLA: John Rustad (BCC)


Latest projection: October 5, 2023

Toss up
Nechako Lakes 36% ± 10% 32% ± 11%▲ 30% ± 10%▼ BCU 2020 52.2% 338Canada Popular vote projection | October 5, 2023
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% Nechako Lakes 56% 29%▲ 14%▼ Odds of winning | October 5, 2023
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Nechako Lakes

BCU 30% ± 10% BCC 32% ± 11% NDP 36% ± 10% Popular vote projection % | Nechako Lakes 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2021► 2021-01-01 2021-05-01 2021-09-01 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 BCU BCC NDP

Odds of winning | Nechako Lakes

BCU 14% BCC 29% NDP 56% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2021► 2021-01-01 2021-05-01 2021-09-01 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 BCU BCC NDP

Recent electoral history | Nechako Lakes



2017 2020 Proj. BCU 54.4% 52.2% 30% ± 10% NDP 29.8% 34.3% 36% ± 10% BCG 9.0% 0.0% 2% ± 2% BCC 0.0% 0.0% 32% ± 11% OTH 0.0% 0.0% 0% ± 1%