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North Coast-Haida Gwaii

Latest update: February 18, 2026
N
MLA: Tamara Davidson
New Democratic Party
NDP safe
Projection — North Coast-Haida Gwaii → Regional projection — Vancouver Island-Pacific Coast → All British Columbia provincial districts → British Columbia projection map → British Columbia polls → Back to 338Canada British Columbia home → British Columbia simulator → Riding roulette! →

Recent electoral history | North Coast-Haida Gwaii


2017 2020 2024 Projection NDP 62% ± 10% 57.2% 72.8% 64.9% CPBC 31% ± 10% 0.0% 0.0% 35.1% BCG 3% ± 4% 9.2% 0.0% 0.0% BCU 0% ± 0% 33.6% 22.9% 0.0%

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338Canada North Coast-Haida Gwaii projection

Latest update: February 18, 2026

North Coast-Haida Gwaii 51% 72% 62% ± 10% ▼ NDP 21% 40% 31% ± 10% ▼ CPBC NDP 2024 64.9% 338Canada Popular vote projection | February 18, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% North Coast-Haida Gwaii >99% NDP <1% CPBC <1% BCG Odds of winning | February 18, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.


Popular vote projection | North Coast-Haida Gwaii

BCU 0% ± 0% CPBC 31% ± 10% NDP 62% ± 10% BCG 3% ± 4% ONE 3% ± 4% CEN 2% ± 3% Popular vote projection % | North Coast-Haida Gwaii 80 75 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-05-01 2026-09-01 Election 2024 BCU CPBC NDP BCG ONE CEN February 18, 2026 2024-03-26 NDP 67% CPBC 19% BCU 11% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCG 0% 2024-03-26 2024-05-10 NDP 65% CPBC 21% BCU 11% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCG 0% 2024-05-10 2024-05-18 NDP 62% CPBC 28% BCU 9% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCG 0% 2024-05-18 2024-06-01 NDP 64% CPBC 25% BCU 9% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCG 0% 2024-06-01 2024-06-26 NDP 64% CPBC 26% BCU 8% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCG 0% 2024-06-26 2024-07-12 NDP 63% CPBC 28% BCU 8% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCG 0% 2024-07-12 2024-08-01 NDP 63% CPBC 28% BCU 7% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCG 0% 2024-08-01 2024-08-14 NDP 63% CPBC 28% BCU 7% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCG 0% 2024-08-14 2024-09-03 NDP 65% CPBC 33% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-03 2024-09-20 NDP 67% CPBC 33% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-20 2024-09-21 NDP 67% CPBC 33% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-21 2024-09-23 NDP 67% CPBC 33% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-23 2024-09-25 NDP 66% CPBC 33% BCG 2% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-25 2024-09-26 NDP 66% CPBC 33% BCG 2% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-26 2024-09-27 NDP 66% CPBC 33% BCG 2% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-27 2024-09-28 NDP 65% CPBC 33% BCG 2% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-28 2024-09-29 NDP 66% CPBC 34% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-29 2024-09-30 NDP 66% CPBC 34% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-30 2024-10-01 NDP 66% CPBC 34% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-01 2024-10-02 NDP 66% CPBC 34% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-02 2024-10-03 NDP 66% CPBC 34% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-03 2024-10-04 NDP 66% CPBC 34% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-04 2024-10-05 NDP 67% CPBC 33% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-05 2024-10-06 NDP 67% CPBC 33% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-06 2024-10-07 NDP 67% CPBC 33% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-07 2024-10-08 NDP 68% CPBC 32% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-08 2024-10-09 NDP 68% CPBC 32% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-09 2024-10-10 NDP 68% CPBC 32% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-10 2024-10-11 NDP 68% CPBC 32% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-11 2024-10-12 NDP 68% CPBC 32% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-12 2024-10-13 NDP 68% CPBC 32% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-13 2024-10-14 NDP 68% CPBC 32% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-14 2024-10-15 NDP 68% CPBC 32% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-15 2024-10-16 NDP 68% CPBC 32% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-16 2024-10-17 NDP 68% CPBC 32% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-17 2024-10-18 NDP 65% CPBC 35% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-18 2024-10-20 NDP 64% CPBC 36% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-20 2024-11-10 NDP 65% CPBC 35% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-11-10 2025-02-09 NDP 65% CPBC 35% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2025-02-09 2025-06-18 NDP 65% CPBC 35% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2025-06-18 2025-09-13 NDP 64% CPBC 36% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2025-09-13 2025-10-21 NDP 64% CPBC 33% ONE 1% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2025-10-21 2025-12-20 NDP 63% CPBC 33% BCG 1% ONE 1% CEN 0% BCU 0% 2025-12-20 2026-02-05 NDP 63% CPBC 32% ONE 2% CEN 2% BCG 1% BCU 0% 2026-02-05 2026-02-18 NDP 62% CPBC 31% BCG 3% ONE 3% CEN 2% BCU 0% 2026-02-18

Odds of winning | North Coast-Haida Gwaii

BCU <1% CPBC <1% NDP >99% BCG <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-05-01 2026-09-01 Election 2024 CPBC NDP BCG February 18, 2026 2024-03-26 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-03-26 2024-05-10 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-05-10 2024-05-18 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-05-18 2024-06-01 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-06-01 2024-06-26 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-06-26 2024-07-12 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-07-12 2024-08-01 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-08-01 2024-08-14 NDP 96% BCG 4% CPBC <1% 2024-08-14 2024-09-03 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-09-03 2024-09-20 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-09-20 2024-09-21 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-09-21 2024-09-23 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-09-23 2024-09-25 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-09-25 2024-09-26 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-09-26 2024-09-27 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-09-27 2024-09-28 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-09-28 2024-09-29 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-09-29 2024-09-30 NDP >99% CPBC <1% BCG <1% 2024-09-30 2024-10-01 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-10-01 2024-10-02 NDP >99% CPBC <1% BCG <1% 2024-10-02 2024-10-03 NDP >99% CPBC <1% BCG <1% 2024-10-03 2024-10-04 NDP >99% CPBC <1% BCG <1% 2024-10-04 2024-10-05 NDP >99% CPBC <1% BCG <1% 2024-10-05 2024-10-06 NDP >99% CPBC <1% BCG <1% 2024-10-06 2024-10-07 NDP >99% CPBC <1% BCG <1% 2024-10-07 2024-10-08 NDP >99% CPBC <1% BCG <1% 2024-10-08 2024-10-09 NDP >99% CPBC <1% BCG <1% 2024-10-09 2024-10-10 NDP >99% CPBC <1% BCG <1% 2024-10-10 2024-10-11 NDP >99% CPBC <1% BCG <1% 2024-10-11 2024-10-12 NDP >99% CPBC <1% BCG <1% 2024-10-12 2024-10-13 NDP >99% CPBC <1% BCG <1% 2024-10-13 2024-10-14 NDP >99% CPBC <1% BCG <1% 2024-10-14 2024-10-15 NDP >99% CPBC <1% BCG <1% 2024-10-15 2024-10-16 NDP >99% CPBC <1% BCG <1% 2024-10-16 2024-10-17 NDP >99% CPBC <1% BCG <1% 2024-10-17 2024-10-18 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-10-18 2024-10-20 NDP >99% CPBC <1% BCG <1% 2024-10-20 2024-11-10 NDP >99% CPBC <1% BCG <1% 2024-11-10 2025-02-09 NDP >99% CPBC <1% BCG <1% 2025-02-09 2025-06-18 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2025-06-18 2025-09-13 NDP >99% CPBC <1% BCG <1% 2025-09-13 2025-10-21 NDP >99% CPBC <1% BCG <1% 2025-10-21 2025-12-20 NDP >99% CPBC <1% BCG <1% 2025-12-20 2026-02-05 NDP >99% CPBC <1% BCG <1% 2026-02-05 2026-02-18 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2026-02-18 2024-03-26 NDP >99% CPBC <1% BCG <1% 2024-03-26 2024-05-10 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-05-10 2024-05-18 NDP >99% CPBC <1% BCG <1% 2024-05-18 2024-06-01 NDP >99% CPBC <1% BCG <1% 2024-06-01 2024-06-26 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-06-26 2024-07-12 NDP >99% CPBC <1% BCG <1% 2024-07-12 2024-08-01 NDP >99% CPBC <1% BCG <1% 2024-08-01 2024-08-14 NDP >99% CPBC <1% BCG <1% 2024-08-14 2024-09-03 NDP >99% CPBC <1% BCG <1% 2024-09-03 2024-09-20 NDP >99% CPBC <1% BCG <1% 2024-09-20 2024-09-21 NDP >99% CPBC <1% BCG <1% 2024-09-21 2024-09-23 NDP >99% CPBC <1% BCG <1% 2024-09-23 2024-09-25 NDP >99% CPBC <1% BCG <1% 2024-09-25 2024-09-26 NDP >99% CPBC <1% BCG <1% 2024-09-26 2024-09-27 NDP >99% CPBC <1% BCG <1% 2024-09-27