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British columbia


Nelson-Creston


MLA: Brittny Anderson (NDP)


Latest projection: October 5, 2023

NDP likely
Nelson-Creston 41% ± 9% 26% ± 8%▼ 17% ± 7%▲ 14% ± 5%▼ NDP 2020 41.8% 338Canada Popular vote projection | October 5, 2023
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% Nelson-Creston 99%▲ 1%▼ <1% Odds of winning | October 5, 2023
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Nelson-Creston

BCU 14% ± 5% BCC 17% ± 7% NDP 41% ± 9% BCG 26% ± 8% Popular vote projection % | Nelson-Creston 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2021► 2021-01-01 2021-05-01 2021-09-01 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 BCU BCC NDP BCG

Odds of winning | Nelson-Creston

BCU <1% NDP 99% BCG 1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2021► 2021-01-01 2021-05-01 2021-09-01 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 BCU NDP BCG

Recent electoral history | Nelson-Creston



2017 2020 Proj. NDP 42.2% 41.8% 41% ± 9% BCG 28.2% 32.1% 26% ± 8% BCU 27.9% 23.9% 14% ± 5% BCC 0.0% 0.0% 17% ± 7% OTH 0.0% 0.0% 2% ± 2%