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British columbia

Vancouver-Point Grey


MLA: David Eby (NDP)
Latest projection: November 10, 2024
NDP safe
Vancouver-Point Grey 57% ± 0% NDP 35% ± 0% CPBC 9% ± 0% BCG NDP 2024 56.77% 338Canada Popular vote projection | November 10, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Vancouver-Point Grey >99% NDP <1% CPBC <1% BCG Odds of winning | November 10, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Vancouver-Point Grey

CPBC 35% ± 0% NDP 57% ± 0% BCG 9% ± 0% Popular vote projection % | Vancouver-Point Grey 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 Election 2024 CPBC NDP BCG November 10, 2024 2023-12-31 NDP 46% CPBC 19% BCG 13% 2023-12-31 2024-02-01 NDP 49% CPBC 19% BCG 13% 2024-02-01 2024-03-26 NDP 45% CPBC 22% BCG 13% 2024-03-26 2024-05-10 NDP 44% CPBC 28% BCG 11% 2024-05-10 2024-05-18 NDP 40% CPBC 36% BCG 12% 2024-05-18 2024-06-01 NDP 42% CPBC 33% BCG 12% 2024-06-01 2024-06-26 NDP 42% CPBC 34% BCG 13% 2024-06-26 2024-07-12 NDP 40% CPBC 36% BCG 13% 2024-07-12 2024-08-01 NDP 41% CPBC 36% BCG 13% 2024-08-01 2024-08-14 NDP 41% CPBC 37% BCG 12% 2024-08-14 2024-09-03 NDP 45% CPBC 42% BCG 12% 2024-09-03 2024-09-20 NDP 45% CPBC 43% BCG 12% 2024-09-20 2024-09-21 NDP 45% CPBC 43% BCG 12% 2024-09-21 2024-09-23 NDP 45% CPBC 43% BCG 12% 2024-09-23 2024-09-25 NDP 45% CPBC 43% BCG 12% 2024-09-25 2024-09-26 NDP 45% CPBC 43% BCG 12% 2024-09-26 2024-09-27 NDP 45% CPBC 43% BCG 12% 2024-09-27 2024-09-28 NDP 45% CPBC 43% BCG 12% 2024-09-28 2024-09-29 NDP 46% CPBC 44% BCG 10% 2024-09-29 2024-09-30 NDP 47% CPBC 43% BCG 10% 2024-09-30 2024-10-01 NDP 47% CPBC 43% BCG 10% 2024-10-01 2024-10-02 NDP 46% CPBC 44% BCG 10% 2024-10-02 2024-10-03 NDP 46% CPBC 44% BCG 10% 2024-10-03 2024-10-04 NDP 46% CPBC 44% BCG 10% 2024-10-04 2024-10-05 NDP 47% CPBC 44% BCG 10% 2024-10-05 2024-10-06 NDP 47% CPBC 43% BCG 10% 2024-10-06 2024-10-07 NDP 47% CPBC 43% BCG 10% 2024-10-07 2024-10-08 NDP 49% CPBC 42% BCG 10% 2024-10-08 2024-10-09 NDP 48% CPBC 42% BCG 10% 2024-10-09 2024-10-10 NDP 48% CPBC 42% BCG 10% 2024-10-10 2024-10-11 NDP 48% CPBC 42% BCG 10% 2024-10-11 2024-10-12 NDP 48% CPBC 42% BCG 10% 2024-10-12 2024-10-13 NDP 48% CPBC 42% BCG 11% 2024-10-13 2024-10-14 NDP 49% CPBC 41% BCG 11% 2024-10-14 2024-10-15 NDP 49% CPBC 40% BCG 11% 2024-10-15 2024-10-16 NDP 49% CPBC 40% BCG 11% 2024-10-16 2024-10-17 NDP 49% CPBC 40% BCG 11% 2024-10-17 2024-10-18 NDP 49% CPBC 40% BCG 11% 2024-10-18 2024-10-20 NDP 57% CPBC 35% BCG 9% 2024-10-20 2024-11-10 NDP 57% CPBC 35% BCG 9% 2024-11-10

Odds of winning | Vancouver-Point Grey

BCU <1% CPBC <1% NDP >99% BCG <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 Election 2024 CPBC NDP BCG November 10, 2024 2023-12-31 NDP <1% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2023-12-31 2024-02-01 NDP <1% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-02-01 2024-03-26 NDP <1% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-03-26 2024-05-10 BCG <1% NDP <1% CPBC <1% 2024-05-10 2024-05-18 BCG <1% NDP <1% CPBC <1% 2024-05-18 2024-06-01 BCG <1% NDP <1% CPBC <1% 2024-06-01 2024-06-26 NDP <1% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-06-26 2024-07-12 BCG <1% NDP <1% CPBC <1% 2024-07-12 2024-08-01 BCG <1% NDP <1% CPBC <1% 2024-08-01 2024-08-14 CPBC 6% NDP 1% BCG <1% 2024-08-14 2024-09-03 CPBC 39% NDP 2% BCG <1% 2024-09-03 2024-09-20 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-09-20 2024-09-21 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-09-21 2024-09-23 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-09-23 2024-09-25 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-09-25 2024-09-26 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-09-26 2024-09-27 NDP >99% CPBC <1% BCG <1% 2024-09-27 2024-09-28 NDP 73% CPBC 27% BCG <1% 2024-09-28 2024-09-29 NDP 91% CPBC 9% BCG <1% 2024-09-29 2024-09-30 NDP 92% CPBC 8% BCG <1% 2024-09-30 2024-10-01 NDP 78% CPBC 22% BCG <1% 2024-10-01 2024-10-02 NDP 75% CPBC 25% BCG <1% 2024-10-02 2024-10-03 NDP 75% CPBC 25% BCG <1% 2024-10-03 2024-10-04 NDP 66% CPBC 34% BCG <1% 2024-10-04 2024-10-05 NDP 58% CPBC 42% BCG <1% 2024-10-05 2024-10-06 NDP 58% CPBC 42% BCG <1% 2024-10-06 2024-10-07 NDP 61% CPBC 39% BCG <1% 2024-10-07 2024-10-08 NDP 60% CPBC 40% BCG <1% 2024-10-08 2024-10-09 NDP 64% CPBC 36% BCG <1% 2024-10-09 2024-10-10 NDP 62% CPBC 38% BCG <1% 2024-10-10 2024-10-11 NDP 62% CPBC 38% BCG <1% 2024-10-11 2024-10-12 NDP 63% CPBC 37% BCG <1% 2024-10-12 2024-10-13 NDP 76% CPBC 24% BCG <1% 2024-10-13 2024-10-14 NDP 77% CPBC 23% BCG <1% 2024-10-14 2024-10-15 NDP 64% CPBC 36% BCG <1% 2024-10-15 2024-10-16 NDP 64% CPBC 36% BCG <1% 2024-10-16 2024-10-17 NDP 66% CPBC 34% BCG <1% 2024-10-17 2024-10-18 NDP 69% CPBC 31% BCG <1% 2024-10-18 2024-10-20 NDP 76% CPBC 24% BCG <1% 2024-10-20 2024-11-10 NDP 78% CPBC 22% BCG <1% 2024-11-10 2023-12-31 NDP 88% CPBC 12% BCG <1% 2023-12-31 2024-02-01 NDP 84% CPBC 16% BCG <1% 2024-02-01 2024-03-26 NDP 82% CPBC 18% BCG <1% 2024-03-26 2024-05-10 NDP 86% CPBC 14% BCG <1% 2024-05-10 2024-05-18 NDP 85% CPBC 15% BCG <1% 2024-05-18 2024-06-01 NDP 85% CPBC 15% BCG <1% 2024-06-01 2024-06-26 NDP 91% CPBC 9% BCG <1% 2024-06-26 2024-07-12 NDP 93% CPBC 7% BCG <1% 2024-07-12 2024-08-01 NDP 93% CPBC 7% BCG <1% 2024-08-01 2024-08-14 NDP 93% CPBC 7% BCG <1% 2024-08-14 2024-09-03 NDP 94% CPBC 6% BCG <1% 2024-09-03 2024-09-20 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-09-20 2024-09-21 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-09-21

Recent electoral history | Vancouver-Point Grey



2017 2020 2024 Proj. NDP 57% ± 0% 55.0% 49.6% 56.8% CPBC 35% ± 0% 0.0% 0.0% 34.5% BCG 9% ± 0% 10.2% 17.5% 8.7% LIB 0% ± 0% 34.1% 32.8% 0.0%
Data from 2017 and 2020 are those transposed onto the new electoral map.