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Okanagan-Rockies, 16 districts


Latest update: September 3, 2024
Okanagan-Rockies 55% ± 6%▲ CPBC 35% ± 5%▲ NDP 9% ± 3% BCG 338Canada popular vote projection | September 3, 2024
This projection is calculated using a weighted average of polls by the 338Canada model to estimate current party support. This is not a poll, but the result of an aggregation of polls and modelization of various data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
Okanagan-Rockies 14▲ [12-16] CPBC 2▼ [1-4] NDP 0 [0-0] BCG 0 [0-0] OTH 338Canada seat projection | September 3, 2024
The seat projections are a forecast of the most likely results if a general election were held today. The brackets indicate the current ranges from worst to best possible outcomes. The distributions follow Gaussian-like curves, so the extremes are not as likely as the values near the mean. Does it work? See 338Canada's full record here.

Popular vote projection | Okanagan-Rockies

CPBC 55% ± 6% NDP 35% ± 5% BCG 9% ± 3% Popular vote projection % | Okanagan-Rockies 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2023-07-01 2023-10-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-04-01 2024-07-01 2024-10-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-04-01 Election 2024 CPBC NDP BCG September 3, 2024 2023-07-14 NDP 36% BCG 13% CPBC 10% 2023-07-14 2023-09-26 NDP 36% CPBC 21% BCG 12% 2023-09-26 2023-10-05 NDP 36% CPBC 25% BCG 11% 2023-10-05 2023-11-30 NDP 34% CPBC 28% BCG 10% 2023-11-30 2023-12-30 NDP 34% CPBC 28% BCG 10% 2023-12-30 2023-12-31 NDP 34% CPBC 28% BCG 10% 2023-12-31 2024-02-01 NDP 36% CPBC 29% BCG 10% 2024-02-01 2024-03-26 NDP 32% CPBC 32% BCG 10% 2024-03-26 2024-05-10 CPBC 37% NDP 32% BCG 9% 2024-05-10 2024-05-18 CPBC 42% NDP 31% BCG 9% 2024-05-18 2024-06-01 CPBC 39% NDP 32% BCG 9% 2024-06-01 2024-06-26 CPBC 40% NDP 33% BCG 9% 2024-06-26 2024-07-12 CPBC 42% NDP 31% BCG 10% 2024-07-12 2024-08-01 CPBC 43% NDP 31% BCG 10% 2024-08-01 2024-08-14 CPBC 44% NDP 32% BCG 9% 2024-08-14 2024-09-03 CPBC 55% NDP 35% BCG 9% 2024-09-03

Seat projection | Okanagan-Rockies

CPBC 14 [12-16] NDP 2 [1-4] Seat projection | Okanagan-Rockies 15 10 5 2023-07-01 2023-10-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-04-01 2024-07-01 2024-10-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-04-01 Election 2024 CPBC NDP September 3, 2024 2023-07-14 NDP 5 CPBC 0 2023-07-14 2023-09-26 NDP 8 CPBC 0 2023-09-26 2023-10-05 NDP 11 CPBC 0 2023-10-05 2023-11-30 NDP 11 CPBC 2 2023-11-30 2023-12-30 NDP 11 CPBC 2 2023-12-30 2023-12-31 NDP 11 CPBC 2 2023-12-31 2024-02-01 NDP 12 CPBC 3 2024-02-01 2024-03-26 CPBC 10 NDP 6 2024-03-26 2024-05-10 CPBC 11 NDP 5 2024-05-10 2024-05-18 CPBC 13 NDP 3 2024-05-18 2024-06-01 CPBC 12 NDP 4 2024-06-01 2024-06-26 CPBC 12 NDP 4 2024-06-26 2024-07-12 CPBC 13 NDP 3 2024-07-12 2024-08-01 CPBC 13 NDP 3 2024-08-01 2024-08-14 CPBC 13 NDP 3 2024-08-14 2024-09-03 CPBC 14 NDP 2 2024-09-03

Seat projection | Okanagan-Rockies


Latest update: September 3, 2024
Safe Likely Leaning Toss up Projected ahead Last election (2020)
12 1 1 0 14 0
1 0 0 1 2 5
0 0 0 0 0 0

List of electoral districts | Okanagan-Rockies


Latest update: September 3, 2024
Electoral district Current party Latest projection
004 Boundary-Similkameen CPBC likely
011 Cariboo-Chilcotin CPBC safe
014 Columbia River-Revelstoke CPBC safe
022 Fraser-Nicola CPBC leaning
024 Kamloops Centre CPBC safe
025 Kamloops-North Thompson CPBC safe
026 Kelowna Centre CPBC safe
027 Kelowna-Lake Country-Coldstream CPBC safe
028 Kelowna-Mission CPBC safe
029 Kootenay Central Toss up
030 Kootenay-Monashee NDP safe
031 Kootenay-Rockies CPBC safe
051 Penticton-Summerland CPBC safe
064 Salmon Arm-Shuswap CPBC safe
088 Vernon-Lumby CPBC safe
091 West Kelowna-Peachland CPBC safe