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Okanagan-Rockies

16 provincial districts
Latest update: February 18, 2026

Okanagan-Rockies 39% 51% 45% ± 6% CPBC 32% 43% 37% ± 6% NDP 6% 13% 9% ± 3% BCG 1% 9% 5% ± 4% ONE 338Canada popular vote projection | February 18, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a weighted average of polls by the 338Canada model to estimate current party support. It is not a poll. It reflects an aggregation of polling and modelling of various data. Details on 338Canada’s methodology are available here.
Okanagan-Rockies, 16 federal districts 10 [7-14] CPBC 6 [2-9] NDP 0  [0-0] BCG 338Canada seat projection | February 18, 2026
Methodology note. The seat projections are a forecast of the most likely results if a general election were held today. The brackets indicate the current range from worst- to best-case outcomes. Values near the centre of the distribution are more likely than the extremes, as the results follow Gaussian-like (bell-curve) distributions. Does it work? See 338Canada’s full record here.

Popular vote projection | Okanagan-Rockies

CPBC 45% ± 6% NDP 37% ± 6% BCG 9% ± 3% ONE 5% ± 4% CEN 3% ± 3% Popular vote projection % | Okanagan-Rockies 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-05-01 2026-09-01 Election 2024 CPBC NDP BCG ONE CEN February 18, 2026 2024-03-26 NDP 32% CPBC 32% BCG 10% ONE 3% CEN 0% 2024-03-26 2024-05-10 CPBC 37% NDP 32% BCG 9% ONE 3% CEN 0% 2024-05-10 2024-05-18 CPBC 42% NDP 31% BCG 9% ONE 2% CEN 0% 2024-05-18 2024-06-01 CPBC 39% NDP 32% BCG 9% ONE 2% CEN 0% 2024-06-01 2024-06-26 CPBC 40% NDP 33% BCG 9% ONE 2% CEN 0% 2024-06-26 2024-07-12 CPBC 42% NDP 31% BCG 10% ONE 2% CEN 0% 2024-07-12 2024-08-01 CPBC 43% NDP 31% BCG 10% ONE 2% CEN 0% 2024-08-01 2024-08-14 CPBC 44% NDP 32% BCG 9% ONE 2% CEN 0% 2024-08-14 2024-09-03 CPBC 55% NDP 35% BCG 9% ONE 2% CEN 0% 2024-09-03 2024-09-20 CPBC 53% NDP 36% BCG 9% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-09-20 2024-09-21 CPBC 53% NDP 36% BCG 9% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-09-21 2024-09-23 CPBC 52% NDP 37% BCG 9% ONE 2% CEN 0% 2024-09-23 2024-09-25 CPBC 53% NDP 36% BCG 9% ONE 2% CEN 0% 2024-09-25 2024-09-26 CPBC 53% NDP 36% BCG 9% ONE 2% CEN 0% 2024-09-26 2024-09-27 CPBC 53% NDP 36% BCG 9% ONE 2% CEN 0% 2024-09-27 2024-09-28 CPBC 54% NDP 36% BCG 9% ONE 2% CEN 0% 2024-09-28 2024-09-29 CPBC 54% NDP 36% BCG 7% ONE 2% CEN 0% 2024-09-29 2024-09-30 CPBC 54% NDP 36% BCG 7% ONE 2% CEN 0% 2024-09-30 2024-10-01 CPBC 54% NDP 36% BCG 7% ONE 2% CEN 0% 2024-10-01 2024-10-02 CPBC 54% NDP 36% BCG 7% ONE 2% CEN 0% 2024-10-02 2024-10-03 CPBC 54% NDP 36% BCG 7% ONE 2% CEN 0% 2024-10-03 2024-10-04 CPBC 54% NDP 36% BCG 7% ONE 2% CEN 0% 2024-10-04 2024-10-05 CPBC 54% NDP 37% BCG 7% ONE 2% CEN 0% 2024-10-05 2024-10-06 CPBC 53% NDP 37% BCG 7% ONE 2% CEN 0% 2024-10-06 2024-10-07 CPBC 53% NDP 37% BCG 7% ONE 2% CEN 0% 2024-10-07 2024-10-08 CPBC 52% NDP 38% BCG 7% ONE 2% CEN 0% 2024-10-08 2024-10-09 CPBC 53% NDP 38% BCG 7% ONE 2% CEN 0% 2024-10-09 2024-10-10 CPBC 53% NDP 38% BCG 7% ONE 2% CEN 0% 2024-10-10 2024-10-11 CPBC 52% NDP 38% BCG 7% ONE 2% CEN 0% 2024-10-11 2024-10-12 CPBC 52% NDP 38% BCG 7% ONE 3% CEN 0% 2024-10-12 2024-10-13 CPBC 51% NDP 38% BCG 8% ONE 3% CEN 0% 2024-10-13 2024-10-14 CPBC 52% NDP 38% BCG 8% ONE 3% CEN 0% 2024-10-14 2024-10-15 CPBC 51% NDP 37% BCG 7% ONE 4% CEN 0% 2024-10-15 2024-10-16 CPBC 51% NDP 37% BCG 7% ONE 4% CEN 0% 2024-10-16 2024-10-17 CPBC 51% NDP 37% BCG 7% ONE 4% CEN 0% 2024-10-17 2024-10-18 CPBC 52% NDP 37% BCG 7% ONE 4% CEN 0% 2024-10-18 2024-10-20 CPBC 49% NDP 37% ONE 9% BCG 6% CEN 0% 2024-10-20 2024-11-10 CPBC 49% NDP 37% ONE 8% BCG 6% CEN 0% 2024-11-10 2025-02-09 CPBC 49% NDP 37% ONE 8% BCG 6% CEN 0% 2025-02-09 2025-06-18 CPBC 48% NDP 37% ONE 9% BCG 6% CEN 0% 2025-06-18 2025-09-13 CPBC 49% NDP 37% ONE 9% BCG 6% CEN 0% 2025-09-13 2025-10-21 CPBC 48% NDP 38% BCG 7% ONE 2% CEN 0% 2025-10-21 2025-12-20 CPBC 48% NDP 38% BCG 7% ONE 2% CEN 0% 2025-12-20 2026-02-05 CPBC 47% NDP 38% BCG 7% ONE 5% CEN 4% 2026-02-05 2026-02-18 CPBC 45% NDP 37% BCG 9% ONE 5% CEN 3% 2026-02-18

Seat projection | Okanagan-Rockies

CPBC 10 [7-14] NDP 6 [2-9] Seat projection | Okanagan-Rockies 15 10 5 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-05-01 2026-09-01 Election 2024 CPBC NDP February 18, 2026 2024-03-26 CPBC 10 NDP 6 2024-03-26 2024-05-10 CPBC 11 NDP 5 2024-05-10 2024-05-18 CPBC 13 NDP 3 2024-05-18 2024-06-01 CPBC 12 NDP 4 2024-06-01 2024-06-26 CPBC 12 NDP 4 2024-06-26 2024-07-12 CPBC 13 NDP 3 2024-07-12 2024-08-01 CPBC 13 NDP 3 2024-08-01 2024-08-14 CPBC 13 NDP 3 2024-08-14 2024-09-03 CPBC 14 NDP 2 2024-09-03 2024-09-20 CPBC 14 NDP 2 2024-09-20 2024-09-21 CPBC 14 NDP 2 2024-09-21 2024-09-23 CPBC 14 NDP 2 2024-09-23 2024-09-25 CPBC 14 NDP 2 2024-09-25 2024-09-26 CPBC 14 NDP 2 2024-09-26 2024-09-27 CPBC 14 NDP 2 2024-09-27 2024-09-28 CPBC 14 NDP 2 2024-09-28 2024-09-29 CPBC 14 NDP 2 2024-09-29 2024-09-30 CPBC 14 NDP 2 2024-09-30 2024-10-01 CPBC 14 NDP 2 2024-10-01 2024-10-02 CPBC 14 NDP 2 2024-10-02 2024-10-03 CPBC 14 NDP 2 2024-10-03 2024-10-04 CPBC 14 NDP 2 2024-10-04 2024-10-05 CPBC 14 NDP 2 2024-10-05 2024-10-06 CPBC 14 NDP 2 2024-10-06 2024-10-07 CPBC 14 NDP 2 2024-10-07 2024-10-08 CPBC 14 NDP 2 2024-10-08 2024-10-09 CPBC 14 NDP 2 2024-10-09 2024-10-10 CPBC 14 NDP 2 2024-10-10 2024-10-11 CPBC 14 NDP 2 2024-10-11 2024-10-12 CPBC 14 NDP 2 2024-10-12 2024-10-13 CPBC 14 NDP 2 2024-10-13 2024-10-14 CPBC 14 NDP 2 2024-10-14 2024-10-15 CPBC 14 NDP 2 2024-10-15 2024-10-16 CPBC 14 NDP 2 2024-10-16 2024-10-17 CPBC 14 NDP 2 2024-10-17 2024-10-18 CPBC 14 NDP 2 2024-10-18 2024-10-20 CPBC 13 NDP 3 2024-10-20 2024-11-10 CPBC 13 NDP 3 2024-11-10 2025-02-09 CPBC 13 NDP 3 2025-02-09 2025-06-18 CPBC 12 NDP 4 2025-06-18 2025-09-13 CPBC 13 NDP 3 2025-09-13 2025-10-21 CPBC 11 NDP 5 2025-10-21 2025-12-20 CPBC 11 NDP 5 2025-12-20 2026-02-05 CPBC 11 NDP 5 2026-02-05 2026-02-18 CPBC 10 NDP 6 2026-02-18

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List of districts | Okanagan-Rockies
Latest update: February 18, 2026

Electoral districts
Current party
Projection
Donegal Wilson
C Toss up
Lorne Doerkson
C CPBC safe
C Toss up
Tony Luck
C CPBC likely
Peter Milobar
C CPBC leaning
C CPBC safe
Kristina Loewen
C NDP leaning
Tara Armstrong [Elected with CP]
I CPBC likely
Gavin Dew
C CPBC likely
Brittny Anderson
N NDP likely
Steve Morissette
N NDP likely
Pete Davis
C CPBC safe
Amelia Boultbee
C Toss up
David L. Williams
C CPBC safe
Harwinder Sandhu
N NDP leaning
Macklin McCall
C CPBC safe