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British columbia

Okanagan-Rockies, 16 districts



Safe Likely Leaning Toss up Projected ahead Last election (2020)
0 1 3 6 10 0.0
3 0 1 2 6 5.0
0 0 0 0 0 11.0
0 0 0 0 0 0.0




Projection | Okanagan-Rockies


Latest update: March 26, 2024
Okanagan-Rockies 32% ± 5%▼ 32% ± 8%▲ 24% ± 6%▲ 10% ± 3% 3% ± 4% OTH 338Canada Popular vote projection | March 26, 2024
This projection is calculated using a weighted average of polls by the 338Canada model to estimate current party support. This is not a poll, but the result of an aggregation of polls and modelization of various data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
Okanagan-Rockies, 16 districts 10▲ [0-15] 6▼ [3-12] 0▼ [0-6] 0 [0-0] 338Canada seat projection | March 26, 2024
The seat projections are a forecast of the most likely results if a general election were held today. The brackets indicate the current ranges from worst to best possible outcomes. The distributions follow Gaussian-like curves, so the extremes are not as likely as the values near the mean. Does it work? See 338Canada's full record here.

Popular vote projection | Okanagan-Rockies

BCU 24% ± 6% BCC 32% ± 8% NDP 32% ± 5% BCG 10% ± 3% Popular vote projection % | Okanagan-Rockies 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2021-07-01 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-07-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-07-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-07-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-07-01 Election 2024 BCU BCC NDP BCG

Seat projection | Okanagan-Rockies

BCU 0 [0-6] BCC 10 [0-15] NDP 6 [3-12] Seat projection | Okanagan-Rockies 15 10 5 2021-07-01 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-07-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-07-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-07-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-07-01 Election 2024 BCU BCC NDP

List of electoral districts


Latest update: March 26, 2024
Electoral district Current party Latest projection
004 Boundary-Similkameen Toss up
011 Cariboo-Chilcotin Toss up
014 Columbia River-Revelstoke BCC leaning
022 Fraser-Nicola NDP safe
024 Kamloops Centre NDP leaning
025 Kamloops-North Thompson Toss up
026 Kelowna Centre Toss up
027 Kelowna-Lake Country-Coldstream Toss up
028 Kelowna-Mission Toss up
029 Kootenay Central NDP safe
030 Kootenay-Monashee NDP safe
031 Kootenay-Rockies Toss up
051 Penticton-Summerland Toss up
064 Salmon Arm-Shuswap BCC leaning
088 Vernon-Lumby BCC likely
091 West Kelowna-Peachland BCC leaning