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British columbia


Delta South


MLA: Ian Paton (BCU)


Latest projection: February 11, 2023

BCU safe
Delta South 51% ± 9% BCU 31% ± 8% NDP 16% ± 6% BCG 2% ± 2% BCC BCU 2020 51.7% 338Canada Popular vote projection | February 11, 2023
50% 100% Delta South >99% BCU <1% NDP <1% BCG Odds of winning | February 11, 2023


Popular vote projection | Delta South

BCU 51% ± 9% NDP 31% ± 8% BCG 16% ± 6% Popular vote projection % | Delta South 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-03-01 2022-05-01 2022-07-01 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 BCU NDP BCG

Odds of winning | Delta South

BCU >99% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-03-01 2022-05-01 2022-07-01 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 BCU NDP

Recent electoral history | Delta South



2017 2020 Proj. BCU 44.1% 51.7% 51% ± 9% NDP 20.7% 33.9% 31% ± 8% BCG 9.3% 14.4% 16% ± 6% BCC 0.0% 0.0% 2% ± 2%