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British columbia

Delta North


MLA: Ravi Kahlon (NDP)
Latest projection: November 10, 2024
NDP likely
Delta North 53% ± 0% NDP 40% ± 0% CPBC 6% ± 0% BCG NDP 2024 52.73% 338Canada Popular vote projection | November 10, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Delta North >99% NDP <1% CPBC <1% BCG Odds of winning | November 10, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Delta North

CPBC 40% ± 0% NDP 53% ± 0% BCG 6% ± 0% Popular vote projection % | Delta North 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 Election 2024 CPBC NDP BCG November 10, 2024 2023-12-31 NDP 54% CPBC 16% BCG 7% 2023-12-31 2024-02-01 NDP 57% CPBC 16% BCG 7% 2024-02-01 2024-03-26 NDP 52% CPBC 20% BCG 7% 2024-03-26 2024-05-10 NDP 51% CPBC 25% BCG 6% 2024-05-10 2024-05-18 NDP 47% CPBC 33% BCG 6% 2024-05-18 2024-06-01 NDP 48% CPBC 31% BCG 7% 2024-06-01 2024-06-26 NDP 49% CPBC 31% BCG 7% 2024-06-26 2024-07-12 NDP 47% CPBC 34% BCG 7% 2024-07-12 2024-08-01 NDP 48% CPBC 34% BCG 7% 2024-08-01 2024-08-14 NDP 48% CPBC 35% BCG 7% 2024-08-14 2024-09-03 NDP 52% CPBC 40% BCG 7% 2024-09-03 2024-09-20 NDP 52% CPBC 41% BCG 7% 2024-09-20 2024-09-21 NDP 52% CPBC 41% BCG 7% 2024-09-21 2024-09-23 NDP 52% CPBC 41% BCG 7% 2024-09-23 2024-09-25 NDP 52% CPBC 41% BCG 7% 2024-09-25 2024-09-26 NDP 52% CPBC 41% BCG 7% 2024-09-26 2024-09-27 NDP 52% CPBC 41% BCG 7% 2024-09-27 2024-09-28 NDP 52% CPBC 41% BCG 7% 2024-09-28 2024-09-29 NDP 52% CPBC 42% BCG 6% 2024-09-29 2024-09-30 NDP 53% CPBC 41% BCG 6% 2024-09-30 2024-10-01 NDP 53% CPBC 41% BCG 6% 2024-10-01 2024-10-02 NDP 52% CPBC 42% BCG 6% 2024-10-02 2024-10-03 NDP 52% CPBC 42% BCG 6% 2024-10-03 2024-10-04 NDP 52% CPBC 42% BCG 6% 2024-10-04 2024-10-05 NDP 52% CPBC 42% BCG 6% 2024-10-05 2024-10-06 NDP 53% CPBC 41% BCG 6% 2024-10-06 2024-10-07 NDP 53% CPBC 41% BCG 6% 2024-10-07 2024-10-08 NDP 54% CPBC 40% BCG 6% 2024-10-08 2024-10-09 NDP 53% CPBC 41% BCG 6% 2024-10-09 2024-10-10 NDP 53% CPBC 41% BCG 6% 2024-10-10 2024-10-11 NDP 53% CPBC 40% BCG 6% 2024-10-11 2024-10-12 NDP 53% CPBC 40% BCG 6% 2024-10-12 2024-10-13 NDP 53% CPBC 40% BCG 7% 2024-10-13 2024-10-14 NDP 54% CPBC 40% BCG 7% 2024-10-14 2024-10-15 NDP 54% CPBC 39% BCG 7% 2024-10-15 2024-10-16 NDP 54% CPBC 39% BCG 7% 2024-10-16 2024-10-17 NDP 54% CPBC 39% BCG 7% 2024-10-17 2024-10-18 NDP 54% CPBC 39% BCG 7% 2024-10-18 2024-10-20 NDP 53% CPBC 40% BCG 6% 2024-10-20 2024-11-10 NDP 53% CPBC 40% BCG 6% 2024-11-10

Odds of winning | Delta North

BCU <1% CPBC <1% NDP >99% BCG <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 Election 2024 CPBC NDP BCG November 10, 2024 2023-12-31 NDP 1% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2023-12-31 2024-02-01 NDP 8% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-02-01 2024-03-26 NDP 6% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-03-26 2024-05-10 NDP 1% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-05-10 2024-05-18 NDP 1% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-05-18 2024-06-01 NDP <1% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-06-01 2024-06-26 NDP <1% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-06-26 2024-07-12 NDP <1% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-07-12 2024-08-01 NDP 2% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-08-01 2024-08-14 NDP 32% CPBC <1% BCG <1% 2024-08-14 2024-09-03 NDP 52% CPBC 3% BCG <1% 2024-09-03 2024-09-20 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-09-20 2024-09-21 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-09-21 2024-09-23 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-09-23 2024-09-25 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-09-25 2024-09-26 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-09-26 2024-09-27 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-09-27 2024-09-28 NDP 97% CPBC 3% BCG <1% 2024-09-28 2024-09-29 NDP >99% CPBC <1% BCG <1% 2024-09-29 2024-09-30 NDP >99% CPBC <1% BCG <1% 2024-09-30 2024-10-01 NDP 99% CPBC 1% BCG <1% 2024-10-01 2024-10-02 NDP 98% CPBC 2% BCG <1% 2024-10-02 2024-10-03 NDP 98% CPBC 2% BCG <1% 2024-10-03 2024-10-04 NDP 98% CPBC 2% BCG <1% 2024-10-04 2024-10-05 NDP 96% CPBC 4% BCG <1% 2024-10-05 2024-10-06 NDP 96% CPBC 4% BCG <1% 2024-10-06 2024-10-07 NDP 96% CPBC 4% BCG <1% 2024-10-07 2024-10-08 NDP 97% CPBC 3% BCG <1% 2024-10-08 2024-10-09 NDP 97% CPBC 3% BCG <1% 2024-10-09 2024-10-10 NDP 97% CPBC 3% BCG <1% 2024-10-10 2024-10-11 NDP 96% CPBC 4% BCG <1% 2024-10-11 2024-10-12 NDP 95% CPBC 5% BCG <1% 2024-10-12 2024-10-13 NDP 98% CPBC 2% BCG <1% 2024-10-13 2024-10-14 NDP 98% CPBC 2% BCG <1% 2024-10-14 2024-10-15 NDP 95% CPBC 5% BCG <1% 2024-10-15 2024-10-16 NDP 94% CPBC 6% BCG <1% 2024-10-16 2024-10-17 NDP 95% CPBC 5% BCG <1% 2024-10-17 2024-10-18 NDP 96% CPBC 4% BCG <1% 2024-10-18 2024-10-20 NDP 98% CPBC 2% BCG <1% 2024-10-20 2024-11-10 NDP 98% CPBC 2% BCG <1% 2024-11-10 2023-12-31 NDP 99% CPBC 1% BCG <1% 2023-12-31 2024-02-01 NDP 98% CPBC 2% BCG <1% 2024-02-01 2024-03-26 NDP 97% CPBC 3% BCG <1% 2024-03-26 2024-05-10 NDP 98% CPBC 2% BCG <1% 2024-05-10 2024-05-18 NDP 98% CPBC 2% BCG <1% 2024-05-18 2024-06-01 NDP 98% CPBC 2% BCG <1% 2024-06-01 2024-06-26 NDP 99% CPBC 1% BCG <1% 2024-06-26 2024-07-12 NDP 99% CPBC 1% BCG <1% 2024-07-12 2024-08-01 NDP 99% CPBC 1% BCG <1% 2024-08-01 2024-08-14 NDP 99% CPBC 1% BCG <1% 2024-08-14 2024-09-03 NDP 99% CPBC 1% BCG <1% 2024-09-03 2024-09-20 NDP >99% CPBC <1% BCG <1% 2024-09-20 2024-09-21 NDP >99% CPBC <1% BCG <1% 2024-09-21

Recent electoral history | Delta North



2017 2020 2024 Proj. NDP 53% ± 0% 49.4% 57.2% 52.7% CPBC 40% ± 0% 0.0% 0.0% 40.2% BCG 6% ± 0% 11.4% 9.6% 6.2% IND 1% ± 0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% LIB 0% ± 0% 39.1% 33.2% 0.0%
Data from 2017 and 2020 are those transposed onto the new electoral map.