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British columbia


Mid Island-Pacific Rim


MLA: Josie Osborne (NDP)


Latest projection: October 5, 2023

NDP safe
Mid Island-Pacific Rim 56% ± 8% 18% ± 6%▼ 13% ± 5%▲ 9% ± 4%▼ 4% ± 3% OTH NDP 2020 58.2% 338Canada Popular vote projection | October 5, 2023
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% Mid Island-Pacific Rim >99% <1% <1% Odds of winning | October 5, 2023
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Mid Island-Pacific Rim

BCU 9% ± 4% BCC 13% ± 5% NDP 56% ± 8% BCG 18% ± 6% OTH 4% ± 3% Popular vote projection % | Mid Island-Pacific Rim 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2021► 2021-01-01 2021-05-01 2021-09-01 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 BCU BCC NDP BCG OTH

Odds of winning | Mid Island-Pacific Rim

BCU <1% NDP >99% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2021► 2021-01-01 2021-05-01 2021-09-01 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 BCU NDP

Recent electoral history | Mid Island-Pacific Rim



2017 2020 Proj. NDP 49.1% 58.2% 56% ± 8% BCG 20.3% 20.3% 18% ± 6% BCU 25.7% 17.5% 9% ± 4% BCC 3.4% 0.0% 13% ± 5% OTH 0.0% 0.0% 4% ± 3%