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British columbia


Peace River North


MLA: Dan Davies (BCU)


Latest projection: December 5, 2023

BCC likely
Peace River North 57% ± 11%▲ 35% ± 10%▼ 8% ± 4%▼ BCU 2020 55.8% 338Canada Popular vote projection | December 5, 2023
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% Peace River North 99%▲ 1%▼ <1% Odds of winning | December 5, 2023
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Peace River North

BCU 35% ± 10% BCC 57% ± 11% NDP 8% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Peace River North 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2021► 2021-01-01 2021-05-01 2021-09-01 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 BCU BCC NDP

Odds of winning | Peace River North

BCU 1% BCC 99% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2021► 2021-01-01 2021-05-01 2021-09-01 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 BCU BCC NDP

Recent electoral history | Peace River North



2017 2020 Proj. BCU 66.3% 55.8% 35% ± 10% BCC 0.0% 34.3% 57% ± 11% NDP 6.6% 9.9% 8% ± 4% BCG 0.0% 0.0% 1% ± 1%