Vancouver Island-Pacific Coast, 16 districts

	Safe	Likely	Leaning	Toss up	Projected ahead	Last election (2020)
	11	2	1	0	14	14
	1	0	1	0	2	2
	0	0	0	0	0	0

	Projected ahead	Last election (2020)
	14	14
	2	2
	0	0

Projection | Vancouver Island-Pacific Coast

List of electoral districts

Electoral district	Current party	Latest projection
016 Courtenay-Comox		NDP safe
017 Cowichan Valley		GRN leaning
020 Esquimalt-Metchosin		NDP safe
029 Langford-Juan de Fuca		NDP safe
034 Mid Island-Pacific Rim		NDP safe
035 Nanaimo		NDP safe
036 Nanaimo-North Cowichan		NDP likely
040 North Coast		NDP safe
041 North Island		NDP safe
044 Oak Bay-Gordon Head		NDP safe
045 Parksville-Qualicum		NDP leaning
051 Powell River-Sunshine Coast		NDP likely
058 Saanich North and the Islands		GRN safe
059 Saanich South		NDP safe
084 Victoria-Beacon Hill		NDP safe
085 Victoria-Swan Lake		NDP safe