Vancouver Island-Pacific Coast
16 provincial districts
Latest update: December 20, 2025
Seat and vote projections — Vancouver Island-Pacific Coast
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Vancouver Island-Pacific Coast
16 provincial districts
Latest update: December 20, 2025
Methodology note.
This projection is calculated using a weighted average of polls by the 338Canada model to estimate current party support. It is not a poll. It reflects an aggregation of polling and modelling of various data. Details on 338Canada’s methodology are available here.
Methodology note.
The seat projections are a forecast of the most likely results if a general election were held today.
The brackets indicate the current range from worst- to best-case outcomes. Values near the centre of the distribution are more likely than the extremes, as the results follow Gaussian-like (bell-curve) distributions.
Does it work? See 338Canada’s full record here.
List of districts | Vancouver Island-Pacific Coast
Latest update: December 20, 2025
| Electoral districts | Current party |
Projection |
|---|---|---|
Brennan Day
|
Toss up | |
Debra Toporowski
|
NDP leaning | |
Darlene Rotchford
|
NDP safe | |
Dana Lajeunesse
|
Toss up | |
Stephanie Higginson
|
NDP likely | |
Ravi Parmar
|
NDP likely | |
Josie Osborne
|
NDP likely | |
Sheila Malcolmson
|
NDP safe | |
George Anderson
|
NDP likely | |
Anna Kindy
|
Toss up | |
Diana Gibson
|
NDP safe | |
Randene Neill
|
NDP likely | |
Rob Botterell
|
GRN leaning | |
Lana Popham
|
NDP safe | |
Grace Lore
|
NDP likely | |
Nina Krieger
|
NDP safe |