Vancouver Island-Pacific Coast, 16 districts
Safe | Likely | Leaning | Toss up | Projected ahead | Last election (2020) | |
12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 15.0 | |
1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1.0 | |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 |
Projection | Vancouver Island-Pacific Coast
Latest update: March 26, 2024
The seat projections are a forecast of the most likely results if a general election were held today.
The brackets indicate the current ranges from worst to best possible outcomes.
The distributions follow Gaussian-like curves, so the extremes are not as likely as the values near the mean.
Does it work? See 338Canada's full record here.
Popular vote projection | Vancouver Island-Pacific Coast
Seat projection | Vancouver Island-Pacific Coast
List of electoral districts
Latest update: March 26, 2024
Electoral district | Current party | Latest projection |
---|---|---|
017 Courtenay-Comox | NDP safe | |
018 Cowichan Valley | NDP likely | |
021 Esquimalt-Colwood | NDP safe | |
023 Juan de Fuca-Malahat | NDP safe | |
032 Ladysmith-Oceanside | NDP likely | |
033 Langford-Highlands | NDP safe | |
039 Mid Island-Pacific Rim | NDP safe | |
040 Nanaimo-Gabriola Island | NDP safe | |
041 Nanaimo-Lantzville | NDP safe | |
045 North Island | NDP likely | |
048 Oak Bay-Gordon Head | NDP safe | |
054 Powell River-Sunshine Coast | NDP safe | |
062 Saanich North and the Islands | GRN safe | |
063 Saanich South | NDP safe | |
089 Victoria-Beacon Hill | NDP safe | |
090 Victoria-Swan Lake | NDP safe |