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Vancouver Island-Pacific Coast

17 provincial districts
Latest update: October 16, 2026

Vancouver Island-Pacific Coast 38% 49% 43% ± 6% NDP 30% 40% 35% ± 5% CPBC 15% 25% 20% ± 5% BCG 338Canada popular vote projection | October 16, 2026
Methodology note. Projections are calculated using a weighted average of polls by the 338Canada model. It is not a poll. It reflects an aggregation of polling and modelling of various data. See methodology statement here.
Vancouver Island-Pacific Coast, 17 federal districts 13 [8-17] NDP 3 [0-8] CPBC 1  [0-2] BCG 338Canada seat projection | October 16, 2026
Methodology note. Seat projections are a forecast of the most likely results if a general election were held today. Brackets indicate the current range of outcomes. Values near the mean are more likely than extremes.

British Columbia Projection | Vancouver Island-Pacific Coast

British Columbia Seat Projection | Vancouver Island-Pacific Coast


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List of districts | Vancouver Island-Pacific Coast
Latest update: October 16, 2026

Electoral districts
Current party
Projection
Brennan Day
I Toss up
Debra Toporowski
N Toss up
Darlene Rotchford
N NDP safe
Dana Lajeunesse
N Toss up
Stephanie Higginson
N NDP leaning
Ravi Parmar
N NDP likely
Josie Osborne
N NDP leaning
Sheila Malcolmson
N NDP likely
George Anderson
N NDP leaning
Tamara Davidson
N NDP safe
Anna Kindy
C CPBC leaning
Diana Gibson
N NDP safe
N NDP leaning
G GRN likely
Lana Popham
N NDP likely
N NDP leaning
Nina Krieger
N NDP safe