Vancouver Island-Pacific Coast, 16 districts
Safe | Likely | Leaning | Toss up | Projected ahead | Last election (2020) | |
|
14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 14 |
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Projected ahead | Last election (2020) | |
|
14 | 14 |
|
2 | 2 |
|
0 | 0 |
|
0 | 0 |
Projection | Vancouver Island-Pacific Coast
Latest update: September 26, 2023
The seat projections are a forecast of the most likely results if a general election were held today.
The brackets indicate the current ranges from worst to best possible outcomes.
The distributions follow Gaussian-like curves, so the extremes are not as likely as the values near the mean.
Does it work? See 338Canada's full record here.
Popular vote projection | Vancouver Island-Pacific Coast
Seat projection | Vancouver Island-Pacific Coast
List of electoral districts
Latest update: September 26, 2023
Electoral district | Current party | Latest projection |
---|---|---|
016 Courtenay-Comox | NDP safe | |
017 Cowichan Valley | Toss up | |
020 Esquimalt-Metchosin | NDP safe | |
029 Langford-Juan de Fuca | NDP safe | |
034 Mid Island-Pacific Rim | NDP safe | |
035 Nanaimo | NDP safe | |
036 Nanaimo-North Cowichan | NDP safe | |
040 North Coast | NDP safe | |
041 North Island | NDP safe | |
044 Oak Bay-Gordon Head | NDP safe | |
045 Parksville-Qualicum | ![]() |
NDP safe |
051 Powell River-Sunshine Coast | NDP safe | |
058 Saanich North and the Islands | GRN safe | |
059 Saanich South | NDP safe | |
084 Victoria-Beacon Hill | NDP safe | |
085 Victoria-Swan Lake | NDP safe |