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Vancouver-Yaletown

Latest update: February 18, 2026
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MLA: Terry Yung
New Democratic Party
NDP likely
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Recent electoral history | Vancouver-Yaletown


2017 2020 2024 Projection NDP 48% ± 8% 38.1% 40.2% 49.8% CPBC 38% ± 8% 0.0% 2.1% 43.4% BCG 10% ± 5% 15.0% 11.2% 6.9% BCU 0% ± 0% 45.1% 45.0% 0.0%

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338Canada Vancouver-Yaletown projection

Latest update: February 18, 2026

Vancouver-Yaletown 39% 56% 48% ± 8% NDP 30% 46% 38% ± 8% ▼ CPBC 4% 15% 10% ± 5% ▲ BCG NDP 2024 49.8% 338Canada Popular vote projection | February 18, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Vancouver-Yaletown 93%▲ NDP 7%▼ CPBC <1% BCG Odds of winning | February 18, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.


Popular vote projection | Vancouver-Yaletown

BCU 0% ± 0% CPBC 38% ± 8% NDP 48% ± 8% BCG 10% ± 5% ONE 3% ± 3% CEN 2% ± 2% Popular vote projection % | Vancouver-Yaletown 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-05-01 2026-09-01 Election 2024 BCU CPBC NDP BCG ONE CEN February 18, 2026 2024-03-26 NDP 34% BCU 30% CPBC 26% BCG 7% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-03-26 2024-05-10 NDP 33% CPBC 31% BCU 27% BCG 7% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-05-10 2024-05-18 CPBC 38% NDP 32% BCU 21% BCG 6% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-05-18 2024-06-01 CPBC 36% NDP 33% BCU 22% BCG 7% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-06-01 2024-06-26 CPBC 37% NDP 34% BCU 20% BCG 7% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-06-26 2024-07-12 CPBC 39% NDP 33% BCU 18% BCG 7% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-07-12 2024-08-01 CPBC 40% NDP 33% BCU 17% BCG 8% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-08-01 2024-08-14 CPBC 41% NDP 34% BCU 17% BCG 7% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-08-14 2024-09-03 CPBC 51% NDP 39% BCG 8% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-03 2024-09-20 CPBC 53% NDP 39% BCG 8% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-20 2024-09-21 CPBC 53% NDP 39% BCG 8% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-21 2024-09-23 CPBC 52% NDP 39% BCG 8% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-23 2024-09-25 CPBC 53% NDP 39% BCG 8% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-25 2024-09-26 CPBC 53% NDP 39% BCG 8% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-26 2024-09-27 CPBC 53% NDP 39% BCG 8% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-27 2024-09-28 CPBC 53% NDP 39% BCG 8% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-28 2024-09-29 CPBC 53% NDP 39% BCG 8% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-29 2024-09-30 CPBC 53% NDP 40% BCG 7% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-30 2024-10-01 CPBC 53% NDP 40% BCG 8% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-01 2024-10-02 CPBC 54% NDP 39% BCG 7% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-02 2024-10-03 CPBC 54% NDP 39% BCG 7% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-03 2024-10-04 CPBC 54% NDP 39% BCG 7% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-04 2024-10-05 CPBC 53% NDP 39% BCG 7% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-05 2024-10-06 CPBC 53% NDP 40% BCG 7% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-06 2024-10-07 CPBC 52% NDP 40% BCG 7% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-07 2024-10-08 CPBC 52% NDP 41% BCG 7% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-08 2024-10-09 CPBC 53% NDP 40% BCG 7% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-09 2024-10-10 CPBC 53% NDP 40% BCG 7% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-10 2024-10-11 CPBC 52% NDP 40% BCG 8% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-11 2024-10-12 CPBC 52% NDP 40% BCG 8% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-12 2024-10-13 CPBC 52% NDP 40% BCG 8% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-13 2024-10-14 CPBC 51% NDP 41% BCG 8% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-14 2024-10-15 CPBC 51% NDP 41% BCG 8% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-15 2024-10-16 CPBC 51% NDP 41% BCG 8% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-16 2024-10-17 CPBC 50% NDP 41% BCG 9% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-17 2024-10-18 CPBC 50% NDP 41% BCG 8% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-18 2024-10-20 NDP 49% CPBC 44% BCG 7% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-20 2024-11-10 NDP 50% CPBC 43% BCG 7% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-11-10 2025-02-09 NDP 50% CPBC 43% BCG 7% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2025-02-09 2025-06-18 NDP 50% CPBC 43% BCG 7% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2025-06-18 2025-09-13 NDP 49% CPBC 44% BCG 7% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2025-09-13 2025-10-21 NDP 49% CPBC 41% BCG 7% ONE 1% CEN 0% BCU 0% 2025-10-21 2025-12-20 NDP 49% CPBC 41% BCG 8% ONE 1% CEN 0% BCU 0% 2025-12-20 2026-02-05 NDP 48% CPBC 40% BCG 8% ONE 3% CEN 2% BCU 0% 2026-02-05 2026-02-18 NDP 48% CPBC 38% BCG 10% ONE 3% CEN 2% BCU 0% 2026-02-18

Odds of winning | Vancouver-Yaletown

BCU <1% CPBC 7% NDP 93% BCG <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-05-01 2026-09-01 Election 2024 CPBC NDP BCG February 18, 2026 2024-03-26 BCG 49% NDP <1% CPBC <1% 2024-03-26 2024-05-10 BCG 89% NDP <1% CPBC <1% 2024-05-10 2024-05-18 BCG 87% NDP <1% CPBC <1% 2024-05-18 2024-06-01 BCG 90% NDP 1% CPBC <1% 2024-06-01 2024-06-26 BCG 39% NDP 1% CPBC <1% 2024-06-26 2024-07-12 BCG 53% NDP 1% CPBC <1% 2024-07-12 2024-08-01 BCG 55% NDP 1% CPBC <1% 2024-08-01 2024-08-14 BCG 66% NDP 1% CPBC <1% 2024-08-14 2024-09-03 BCG 63% NDP 7% CPBC <1% 2024-09-03 2024-09-20 BCG 69% NDP 28% CPBC <1% 2024-09-20 2024-09-21 BCG 58% NDP 36% CPBC 5% 2024-09-21 2024-09-23 NDP 84% CPBC <1% BCG <1% 2024-09-23 2024-09-25 NDP 84% CPBC <1% BCG <1% 2024-09-25 2024-09-26 NDP 84% CPBC <1% BCG <1% 2024-09-26 2024-09-27 NDP 95% CPBC <1% BCG <1% 2024-09-27 2024-09-28 NDP 71% CPBC 6% BCG <1% 2024-09-28 2024-09-29 NDP 56% CPBC 37% BCG <1% 2024-09-29 2024-09-30 CPBC 80% NDP 20% BCG <1% 2024-09-30 2024-10-01 CPBC 64% NDP 36% BCG <1% 2024-10-01 2024-10-02 CPBC 65% NDP 35% BCG <1% 2024-10-02 2024-10-03 CPBC 82% NDP 18% BCG <1% 2024-10-03 2024-10-04 CPBC 84% NDP 16% BCG <1% 2024-10-04 2024-10-05 CPBC 86% NDP 14% BCG <1% 2024-10-05 2024-10-06 CPBC 96% NDP 4% BCG <1% 2024-10-06 2024-10-07 CPBC 97% NDP 3% BCG <1% 2024-10-07 2024-10-08 CPBC 97% NDP 3% BCG <1% 2024-10-08 2024-10-09 CPBC 97% NDP 3% BCG <1% 2024-10-09 2024-10-10 CPBC 97% NDP 3% BCG <1% 2024-10-10 2024-10-11 CPBC 97% NDP 3% BCG <1% 2024-10-11 2024-10-12 CPBC 97% NDP 3% BCG <1% 2024-10-12 2024-10-13 CPBC 98% NDP 2% BCG <1% 2024-10-13 2024-10-14 CPBC 98% NDP 2% BCG <1% 2024-10-14 2024-10-15 CPBC 97% NDP 3% BCG <1% 2024-10-15 2024-10-16 CPBC 97% NDP 3% BCG <1% 2024-10-16 2024-10-17 CPBC 99% NDP 1% BCG <1% 2024-10-17 2024-10-18 CPBC 99% NDP 1% BCG <1% 2024-10-18 2024-10-20 CPBC 98% NDP 2% BCG <1% 2024-10-20 2024-11-10 CPBC 98% NDP 2% BCG <1% 2024-11-10 2025-02-09 CPBC 97% NDP 3% BCG <1% 2025-02-09 2025-06-18 CPBC 96% NDP 4% BCG <1% 2025-06-18 2025-09-13 CPBC 95% NDP 5% BCG <1% 2025-09-13 2025-10-21 CPBC 97% NDP 3% BCG <1% 2025-10-21 2025-12-20 CPBC 97% NDP 3% BCG <1% 2025-12-20 2026-02-05 CPBC 96% NDP 4% BCG <1% 2026-02-05 2026-02-18 CPBC 96% NDP 4% BCG <1% 2026-02-18 2024-03-26 CPBC 96% NDP 4% BCG <1% 2024-03-26 2024-05-10 CPBC 94% NDP 6% BCG <1% 2024-05-10 2024-05-18 CPBC 92% NDP 8% BCG <1% 2024-05-18 2024-06-01 CPBC 92% NDP 8% BCG <1% 2024-06-01 2024-06-26 CPBC 92% NDP 8% BCG <1% 2024-06-26 2024-07-12 CPBC 91% NDP 9% BCG <1% 2024-07-12 2024-08-01 NDP 88% CPBC 12% BCG <1% 2024-08-01 2024-08-14 NDP 91% CPBC 9% BCG <1% 2024-08-14 2024-09-03 NDP 84% CPBC 16% BCG <1% 2024-09-03 2024-09-20 NDP 80% CPBC 20% BCG <1% 2024-09-20 2024-09-21 NDP 76% CPBC 24% BCG <1% 2024-09-21 2024-09-23 NDP 86% CPBC 14% BCG <1% 2024-09-23 2024-09-25 NDP 86% CPBC 14% BCG <1% 2024-09-25 2024-09-26 NDP 88% CPBC 12% BCG <1% 2024-09-26 2024-09-27 NDP 93% CPBC 7% BCG <1% 2024-09-27