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Richmond Centre

Latest update: February 18, 2026
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MLA: Hon Chan
Conservative Party of BC
CPBC likely
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Recent electoral history | Richmond Centre


2017 2020 2024 Projection CPBC 50% ± 8% 0.0% 0.0% 52.0% NDP 39% ± 8% 40.3% 52.5% 36.8% ONE 5% ± 5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% CEN 3% ± 3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% BCG 3% ± 3% 11.7% 2.0% 0.0% BCU 0% ± 0% 47.2% 45.6% 0.0%

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338Canada Richmond Centre projection

Latest update: February 18, 2026

Richmond Centre 42% 59% 50% ± 8% ▼ CPBC 31% 47% 39% ± 8% NDP 0% 10% 5% ± 5% ▲ ONE CPBC 2024 52.0% 338Canada Popular vote projection | February 18, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Richmond Centre 96%▲ CPBC 4%▼ NDP <1% ONEOdds of winning | February 18, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.


Popular vote projection | Richmond Centre

BCU 0% ± 0% CPBC 50% ± 8% NDP 39% ± 8% BCG 3% ± 3% ONE 5% ± 5% CEN 3% ± 3% Popular vote projection % | Richmond Centre 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-05-01 2026-09-01 Election 2024 BCU CPBC NDP BCG ONE CEN February 18, 2026 2024-03-26 NDP 42% BCU 28% CPBC 26% BCG 1% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-03-26 2024-05-10 NDP 41% CPBC 32% BCU 25% BCG 1% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-05-10 2024-05-18 NDP 42% CPBC 37% BCU 18% BCG 1% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-05-18 2024-06-01 NDP 44% CPBC 35% BCU 19% BCG 1% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-06-01 2024-06-26 NDP 44% CPBC 36% BCU 17% BCG 1% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-06-26 2024-07-12 NDP 43% CPBC 38% BCU 16% BCG 1% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-07-12 2024-08-01 NDP 43% CPBC 39% BCU 15% BCG 1% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-08-01 2024-08-14 NDP 44% CPBC 39% BCU 15% BCG 1% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-08-14 2024-09-03 CPBC 49% NDP 49% BCG 1% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-03 2024-09-20 NDP 48% CPBC 44% BCU 7% BCG 1% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-09-20 2024-09-21 NDP 48% CPBC 44% BCU 7% BCG 1% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-09-21 2024-09-23 NDP 49% CPBC 45% BCG 1% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-23 2024-09-25 NDP 49% CPBC 45% BCG 1% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-25 2024-09-26 NDP 49% CPBC 45% BCG 1% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-26 2024-09-27 NDP 49% CPBC 45% BCG 1% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-27 2024-09-28 NDP 49% CPBC 45% BCG 1% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-28 2024-09-29 NDP 48% CPBC 46% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-29 2024-09-30 NDP 49% CPBC 45% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-30 2024-10-01 NDP 49% CPBC 45% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-01 2024-10-02 NDP 48% CPBC 46% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-02 2024-10-03 NDP 48% CPBC 46% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-03 2024-10-04 NDP 48% CPBC 46% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-04 2024-10-05 NDP 48% CPBC 45% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-05 2024-10-06 NDP 49% CPBC 45% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-06 2024-10-07 NDP 49% CPBC 44% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-07 2024-10-08 NDP 50% CPBC 44% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-08 2024-10-09 NDP 49% CPBC 45% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-09 2024-10-10 NDP 49% CPBC 45% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-10 2024-10-11 NDP 49% CPBC 44% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-11 2024-10-12 NDP 49% CPBC 44% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-12 2024-10-13 NDP 49% CPBC 44% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-13 2024-10-14 NDP 50% CPBC 43% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-14 2024-10-15 NDP 50% CPBC 43% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-15 2024-10-16 CPBC 46% NDP 46% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-16 2024-10-17 CPBC 46% NDP 46% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-17 2024-10-18 NDP 46% CPBC 46% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-18 2024-10-20 CPBC 52% NDP 37% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-20 2024-11-10 CPBC 52% NDP 37% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-11-10 2025-02-09 CPBC 52% NDP 37% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2025-02-09 2025-06-18 CPBC 52% NDP 37% ONE 11% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2025-06-18 2025-09-13 CPBC 52% NDP 36% ONE 11% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2025-09-13 2025-10-21 CPBC 54% NDP 40% ONE 2% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2025-10-21 2025-12-20 CPBC 54% NDP 40% ONE 2% BCG 1% CEN 0% BCU 0% 2025-12-20 2026-02-05 CPBC 52% NDP 39% ONE 4% CEN 3% BCG 1% BCU 0% 2026-02-05 2026-02-18 CPBC 50% NDP 39% ONE 5% CEN 3% BCG 3% BCU 0% 2026-02-18

Odds of winning | Richmond Centre

BCU <1% CPBC 96% NDP 4% BCG <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-05-01 2026-09-01 Election 2024 CPBC NDP BCG February 18, 2026 2024-03-26 BCG >99% NDP <1% CPBC <1% 2024-03-26 2024-05-10 BCG >99% NDP <1% CPBC <1% 2024-05-10 2024-05-18 BCG >99% NDP <1% CPBC <1% 2024-05-18 2024-06-01 BCG >99% NDP <1% CPBC <1% 2024-06-01 2024-06-26 BCG >99% NDP <1% CPBC <1% 2024-06-26 2024-07-12 BCG >99% NDP <1% CPBC <1% 2024-07-12 2024-08-01 BCG >99% NDP <1% CPBC <1% 2024-08-01 2024-08-14 BCG >99% NDP <1% CPBC <1% 2024-08-14 2024-09-03 BCG >99% NDP <1% CPBC <1% 2024-09-03 2024-09-20 BCG >99% NDP <1% CPBC <1% 2024-09-20 2024-09-21 BCG 99% NDP 1% CPBC <1% 2024-09-21 2024-09-23 NDP 99% CPBC <1% BCG <1% 2024-09-23 2024-09-25 NDP 98% CPBC <1% BCG <1% 2024-09-25 2024-09-26 NDP 99% CPBC <1% BCG <1% 2024-09-26 2024-09-27 NDP >99% CPBC <1% BCG <1% 2024-09-27 2024-09-28 NDP 98% CPBC 1% BCG <1% 2024-09-28 2024-09-29 NDP 89% CPBC 11% BCG <1% 2024-09-29 2024-09-30 NDP 71% CPBC 29% BCG <1% 2024-09-30 2024-10-01 NDP 88% CPBC 12% BCG <1% 2024-10-01 2024-10-02 NDP 88% CPBC 12% BCG <1% 2024-10-02 2024-10-03 NDP 75% CPBC 25% BCG <1% 2024-10-03 2024-10-04 NDP 72% CPBC 28% BCG <1% 2024-10-04 2024-10-05 NDP 72% CPBC 28% BCG <1% 2024-10-05 2024-10-06 CPBC 52% NDP 48% BCG <1% 2024-10-06 2024-10-07 NDP 68% CPBC 32% BCG <1% 2024-10-07 2024-10-08 NDP 68% CPBC 32% BCG <1% 2024-10-08 2024-10-09 NDP 70% CPBC 30% BCG <1% 2024-10-09 2024-10-10 NDP 69% CPBC 31% BCG <1% 2024-10-10 2024-10-11 NDP 70% CPBC 30% BCG <1% 2024-10-11 2024-10-12 NDP 68% CPBC 32% BCG <1% 2024-10-12 2024-10-13 NDP 68% CPBC 32% BCG <1% 2024-10-13 2024-10-14 NDP 63% CPBC 37% BCG <1% 2024-10-14 2024-10-15 NDP 73% CPBC 27% BCG <1% 2024-10-15 2024-10-16 NDP 73% CPBC 27% BCG <1% 2024-10-16 2024-10-17 NDP 62% CPBC 38% BCG <1% 2024-10-17 2024-10-18 NDP 62% CPBC 38% BCG <1% 2024-10-18 2024-10-20 NDP 64% CPBC 36% BCG <1% 2024-10-20 2024-11-10 NDP 67% CPBC 33% BCG <1% 2024-11-10 2025-02-09 NDP 73% CPBC 27% BCG <1% 2025-02-09 2025-06-18 NDP 75% CPBC 25% BCG <1% 2025-06-18 2025-09-13 NDP 79% CPBC 21% BCG <1% 2025-09-13 2025-10-21 NDP 73% CPBC 27% BCG <1% 2025-10-21 2025-12-20 NDP 72% CPBC 28% BCG <1% 2025-12-20 2026-02-05 NDP 76% CPBC 24% BCG <1% 2026-02-05 2026-02-18 NDP 75% CPBC 25% BCG <1% 2026-02-18 2024-03-26 NDP 76% CPBC 24% BCG <1% 2024-03-26 2024-05-10 NDP 82% CPBC 18% BCG <1% 2024-05-10 2024-05-18 NDP 86% CPBC 14% BCG <1% 2024-05-18 2024-06-01 CPBC 51% NDP 49% BCG <1% 2024-06-01 2024-06-26 CPBC 50% NDP 50% BCG <1% 2024-06-26 2024-07-12 NDP 53% CPBC 47% BCG <1% 2024-07-12 2024-08-01 CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCG <1% 2024-08-01 2024-08-14 CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCG <1% 2024-08-14 2024-09-03 CPBC 99% NDP 1% BCG <1% 2024-09-03 2024-09-20 CPBC 98% NDP 2% BCG <1% 2024-09-20 2024-09-21 CPBC 98% NDP 2% BCG <1% 2024-09-21 2024-09-23 CPBC 96% NDP 4% BCG <1% 2024-09-23 2024-09-25 CPBC 96% NDP 4% BCG <1% 2024-09-25 2024-09-26 CPBC 95% NDP 5% BCG <1% 2024-09-26 2024-09-27 CPBC 96% NDP 4% BCG <1% 2024-09-27