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British columbia

Surrey North


Latest projection: June 1, 2024
NDP safe
Surrey North 53% ± 9%▲ NDP 31% ± 9%▼ BCC 13% ± 6%▲ BCU NDP 2020 63.5% 338Canada Popular vote projection | June 1, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Surrey North >99%▲ NDP <1%▼ BCC <1% BCU Odds of winning | June 1, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Surrey North

BCU 13% ± 6% BCC 31% ± 9% NDP 53% ± 9% Popular vote projection % | Surrey North 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 Election 2024 BCU BCC NDP June 1, 2024

Odds of winning | Surrey North

BCU <1% BCC <1% NDP >99% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 Election 2024 BCU BCC NDP June 1, 2024

Recent electoral history | Surrey North



2017 2020 Proj. NDP 58.2% 63.5% 53% ± 9% BCU 32.3% 35.1% 13% ± 6% BCG 8.6% 0.0% 1% ± 2% BCC 0.0% 0.0% 31% ± 9% OTH 0.0% 0.0% 2% ± 4%
Data from 2017 and 2020 are those transposed onto new electoral map.