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British columbia

Port Moody-Burquitlam


MLA: Rick Glumac (NDP)
Latest projection: November 10, 2024
NDP likely
Port Moody-Burquitlam 52% ± 0% NDP 41% ± 0% CPBC 7% ± 0% BCG NDP 2024 52.06% 338Canada Popular vote projection | November 10, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Port Moody-Burquitlam >99% NDP <1% CPBC <1% BCG Odds of winning | November 10, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Port Moody-Burquitlam

CPBC 41% ± 0% NDP 52% ± 0% BCG 7% ± 0% Popular vote projection % | Port Moody-Burquitlam 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 Election 2024 CPBC NDP BCG November 10, 2024 2023-12-31 NDP 49% CPBC 23% BCG 8% 2023-12-31 2024-02-01 NDP 51% CPBC 23% BCG 8% 2024-02-01 2024-03-26 NDP 47% CPBC 27% BCG 8% 2024-03-26 2024-05-10 NDP 46% CPBC 32% BCG 7% 2024-05-10 2024-05-18 NDP 44% CPBC 39% BCG 7% 2024-05-18 2024-06-01 NDP 45% CPBC 37% BCG 7% 2024-06-01 2024-06-26 NDP 46% CPBC 37% BCG 8% 2024-06-26 2024-07-12 NDP 44% CPBC 39% BCG 8% 2024-07-12 2024-08-01 NDP 44% CPBC 40% BCG 8% 2024-08-01 2024-08-14 NDP 44% CPBC 40% BCG 7% 2024-08-14 2024-09-03 NDP 47% CPBC 44% BCG 7% 2024-09-03 2024-09-20 NDP 47% CPBC 46% BCG 7% 2024-09-20 2024-09-21 NDP 47% CPBC 46% BCG 7% 2024-09-21 2024-09-23 NDP 47% CPBC 46% BCG 7% 2024-09-23 2024-09-25 NDP 47% CPBC 46% BCG 7% 2024-09-25 2024-09-26 NDP 47% CPBC 46% BCG 7% 2024-09-26 2024-09-27 NDP 47% CPBC 46% BCG 7% 2024-09-27 2024-09-28 NDP 47% CPBC 46% BCG 7% 2024-09-28 2024-09-29 NDP 47% CPBC 46% BCG 7% 2024-09-29 2024-09-30 NDP 48% CPBC 46% BCG 6% 2024-09-30 2024-10-01 NDP 48% CPBC 46% BCG 6% 2024-10-01 2024-10-02 NDP 47% CPBC 47% BCG 6% 2024-10-02 2024-10-03 NDP 47% CPBC 47% BCG 6% 2024-10-03 2024-10-04 NDP 47% CPBC 47% BCG 6% 2024-10-04 2024-10-05 NDP 47% CPBC 46% BCG 6% 2024-10-05 2024-10-06 NDP 48% CPBC 46% BCG 6% 2024-10-06 2024-10-07 NDP 48% CPBC 45% BCG 6% 2024-10-07 2024-10-08 NDP 49% CPBC 45% BCG 6% 2024-10-08 2024-10-09 NDP 48% CPBC 45% BCG 6% 2024-10-09 2024-10-10 NDP 48% CPBC 46% BCG 6% 2024-10-10 2024-10-11 NDP 48% CPBC 45% BCG 7% 2024-10-11 2024-10-12 NDP 48% CPBC 45% BCG 7% 2024-10-12 2024-10-13 NDP 48% CPBC 45% BCG 7% 2024-10-13 2024-10-14 NDP 49% CPBC 44% BCG 7% 2024-10-14 2024-10-15 NDP 49% CPBC 44% BCG 7% 2024-10-15 2024-10-16 NDP 49% CPBC 44% BCG 7% 2024-10-16 2024-10-17 NDP 49% CPBC 44% BCG 7% 2024-10-17 2024-10-18 NDP 49% CPBC 43% BCG 7% 2024-10-18 2024-10-20 NDP 52% CPBC 41% BCG 7% 2024-10-20 2024-11-10 NDP 52% CPBC 41% BCG 7% 2024-11-10

Odds of winning | Port Moody-Burquitlam

BCU <1% CPBC <1% NDP >99% BCG <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 Election 2024 CPBC NDP BCG November 10, 2024 2023-12-31 NDP <1% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2023-12-31 2024-02-01 NDP <1% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-02-01 2024-03-26 NDP <1% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-03-26 2024-05-10 NDP <1% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-05-10 2024-05-18 NDP <1% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-05-18 2024-06-01 BCG <1% NDP <1% CPBC <1% 2024-06-01 2024-06-26 BCG <1% NDP <1% CPBC <1% 2024-06-26 2024-07-12 BCG <1% NDP <1% CPBC <1% 2024-07-12 2024-08-01 NDP <1% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-08-01 2024-08-14 NDP 4% CPBC <1% BCG <1% 2024-08-14 2024-09-03 NDP 10% CPBC 8% BCG <1% 2024-09-03 2024-09-20 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-09-20 2024-09-21 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-09-21 2024-09-23 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-09-23 2024-09-25 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-09-25 2024-09-26 NDP >99% CPBC <1% BCG <1% 2024-09-26 2024-09-27 NDP 98% CPBC 2% BCG <1% 2024-09-27 2024-09-28 NDP 72% CPBC 28% BCG <1% 2024-09-28 2024-09-29 NDP 90% CPBC 10% BCG <1% 2024-09-29 2024-09-30 NDP 91% CPBC 9% BCG <1% 2024-09-30 2024-10-01 NDP 77% CPBC 23% BCG <1% 2024-10-01 2024-10-02 NDP 74% CPBC 26% BCG <1% 2024-10-02 2024-10-03 NDP 73% CPBC 27% BCG <1% 2024-10-03 2024-10-04 NDP 68% CPBC 32% BCG <1% 2024-10-04 2024-10-05 NDP 60% CPBC 40% BCG <1% 2024-10-05 2024-10-06 NDP 60% CPBC 40% BCG <1% 2024-10-06 2024-10-07 NDP 61% CPBC 39% BCG <1% 2024-10-07 2024-10-08 NDP 62% CPBC 38% BCG <1% 2024-10-08 2024-10-09 NDP 61% CPBC 39% BCG <1% 2024-10-09 2024-10-10 NDP 61% CPBC 39% BCG <1% 2024-10-10 2024-10-11 NDP 59% CPBC 41% BCG <1% 2024-10-11 2024-10-12 NDP 54% CPBC 46% BCG <1% 2024-10-12 2024-10-13 NDP 66% CPBC 34% BCG <1% 2024-10-13 2024-10-14 NDP 67% CPBC 33% BCG <1% 2024-10-14 2024-10-15 NDP 52% CPBC 48% BCG <1% 2024-10-15 2024-10-16 NDP 52% CPBC 48% BCG <1% 2024-10-16 2024-10-17 NDP 55% CPBC 45% BCG <1% 2024-10-17 2024-10-18 NDP 58% CPBC 42% BCG <1% 2024-10-18 2024-10-20 NDP 66% CPBC 34% BCG <1% 2024-10-20 2024-11-10 NDP 68% CPBC 32% BCG <1% 2024-11-10 2023-12-31 NDP 75% CPBC 25% BCG <1% 2023-12-31 2024-02-01 NDP 67% CPBC 33% BCG <1% 2024-02-01 2024-03-26 NDP 65% CPBC 35% BCG <1% 2024-03-26 2024-05-10 NDP 70% CPBC 30% BCG <1% 2024-05-10 2024-05-18 NDP 70% CPBC 30% BCG <1% 2024-05-18 2024-06-01 NDP 69% CPBC 31% BCG <1% 2024-06-01 2024-06-26 NDP 78% CPBC 22% BCG <1% 2024-06-26 2024-07-12 NDP 83% CPBC 17% BCG <1% 2024-07-12 2024-08-01 NDP 83% CPBC 17% BCG <1% 2024-08-01 2024-08-14 NDP 83% CPBC 17% BCG <1% 2024-08-14 2024-09-03 NDP 85% CPBC 15% BCG <1% 2024-09-03 2024-09-20 NDP >99% CPBC <1% BCG <1% 2024-09-20 2024-09-21 NDP >99% CPBC <1% BCG <1% 2024-09-21

Recent electoral history | Port Moody-Burquitlam



2017 2020 2024 Proj. NDP 52% ± 0% 47.3% 54.5% 52.1% CPBC 41% ± 0% 0.0% 2.9% 40.5% BCG 7% ± 0% 12.1% 11.4% 7.4% LIB 0% ± 0% 40.5% 30.6% 0.0%
Data from 2017 and 2020 are those transposed onto the new electoral map.