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Recent electoral history | Vancouver-Kensington


2017 2020 2024 Projection NDP 54% ± 7% 54.6% 59.6% 60.9% CPBC 34% ± 7% 0.3% 0.0% 31.5% BCG 11% ± 5% 10.3% 11.8% 7.6% BCU 0% ± 0% 34.0% 27.7% 0.0%
PartiesCandidates
CPBC Aron Lageri
NDP Mable Elmore
BCG Adam Hawk
Candidate nominations closed at 1 p.m. on October 3, 2026. Found an error or omission? Please email candidats@qc125.com. For the complete list of candidates, visit Elections BC.

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338Canada Vancouver-Kensington projection

Latest update: October 22, 2026

Vancouver-Kensington 47% 61% 54% ± 7% ▼ NDP 28% 41% 34% ± 7% CPBC 7% 16% 11% ± 5% ▲ BCG NDP 2024 60.9% 338Canada Popular vote projection | October 22, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Vancouver-Kensington >99% NDP <1% CPBC <1% BCG Odds of winning | October 22, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

338Canada British Columbia Projection | Vancouver-Kensington

Odds of winning | Vancouver-Kensington