logo
logo
British columbia


Surrey-Newton


MLA: Harry Bains (NDP)


Latest projection: February 11, 2023

NDP safe
Surrey-Newton 58% ± 9% NDP 29% ± 8% BCU 11% ± 5% BCG 2% ± 2% BCC NDP 2020 62.6% 338Canada Popular vote projection | February 11, 2023
50% 100% Surrey-Newton >99% NDP <1% BCU <1% BCG Odds of winning | February 11, 2023


Popular vote projection | Surrey-Newton

BCU 29% ± 8% NDP 58% ± 9% BCG 11% ± 5% Popular vote projection % | Surrey-Newton 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-03-01 2022-05-01 2022-07-01 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 BCU NDP BCG

Odds of winning | Surrey-Newton

BCU <1% NDP >99% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-03-01 2022-05-01 2022-07-01 2022-09-01 2022-11-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-03-01 2023-05-01 2023-07-01 BCU NDP

Recent electoral history | Surrey-Newton



2017 2020 Proj. NDP 57.3% 62.6% 58% ± 9% BCU 30.0% 27.5% 29% ± 8% BCG 6.9% 9.8% 11% ± 5% BCC 0.0% 0.0% 2% ± 2%