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Recent electoral history | Surrey South


2017 2020 2024 Projection CPBC 54% ± 8% 0.0% 0.0% 58.8% NDP 37% ± 7% 29.5% 35.1% 41.2% ONE 4% ± 4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% BCG 3% ± 3% 10.5% 9.3% 0.0% BCU 0% ± 0% 56.0% 55.4% 0.0%

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338Canada Surrey South projection

Latest update: March 14, 2026

Surrey South 46% 62% 54% ± 8% CPBC 30% 45% 37% ± 7% NDP 0% 8% 4% ± 4% ONE CPBC 2024 58.8% 338Canada Popular vote projection | March 14, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Surrey South >99%▲ CPBC <1%▼ NDP <1% ONEOdds of winning | March 14, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

338Canada British Columbia Projection | Surrey South

Odds of winning | Surrey South