logo
British columbia

Recent electoral history | Surrey South


2017 2020 2024 2026 Projection CPBC 61% ± 0% 0.0% 0.0% 58.8% 61.4% NDP 22% ± 0% 29.5% 35.1% 41.2% 22.2% CEN 10% ± 0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 10.1% BCG 5% ± 0% 10.5% 9.3% 0.0% 5.0% BCU 0% ± 0% 56.0% 55.4% 0.0% 0.0%
PartiesCandidates
CPBC Megan Knight
NDP Parik Tahlan
BCG Bill McConnell
CEN Elenore Sturko
Unaffiliated Denis R Hurtubise
Candidate nominations closed at 1 p.m. on October 3, 2026. Found an error or omission? Please email candidats@qc125.com. For the complete list of candidates, visit Elections BC.

Latest from the 338Canada newsletter

Loading latest analysis…

British Columbia flag

338Canada Surrey South projection

Latest update: October 25, 2026

Surrey South 61% 61% 61% ± 0% ▲ CPBC 22% 22% 22% ± 0% ▼ NDP 10% 10% 10% ± 0% CEN 5% 5% 5% ± 0% ▲ BCG CPBC 2024 61.4% 338Canada Popular vote projection | October 25, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Surrey South >99%▲ CPBC <1%▼ NDP <1% CENOdds of winning | October 25, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

338Canada British Columbia Projection | Surrey South

Odds of winning | Surrey South