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British columbia

Kamloops-North Thompson


MLA: Ward Stamer (CPBC)
Latest projection: November 10, 2024
CPBC safe
Kamloops-North Thompson 60% ± 0% CPBC 33% ± 0% NDP 7% ± 0% BCG CPBC 2024 59.74% 338Canada Popular vote projection | November 10, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Kamloops-North Thompson >99% CPBC <1% NDP <1% BCG Odds of winning | November 10, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Kamloops-North Thompson

CPBC 60% ± 0% NDP 33% ± 0% BCG 7% ± 0% Popular vote projection % | Kamloops-North Thompson 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 Election 2024 CPBC NDP BCG November 10, 2024 2023-12-31 NDP 34% CPBC 31% BCG 8% 2023-12-31 2024-02-01 NDP 36% CPBC 32% BCG 8% 2024-02-01 2024-03-26 CPBC 34% NDP 32% BCG 7% 2024-03-26 2024-05-10 CPBC 40% NDP 31% BCG 7% 2024-05-10 2024-05-18 CPBC 46% NDP 29% BCG 7% 2024-05-18 2024-06-01 CPBC 43% NDP 31% BCG 7% 2024-06-01 2024-06-26 CPBC 44% NDP 31% BCG 7% 2024-06-26 2024-07-12 CPBC 47% NDP 30% BCG 8% 2024-07-12 2024-08-01 CPBC 47% NDP 30% BCG 8% 2024-08-01 2024-08-14 CPBC 48% NDP 30% BCG 7% 2024-08-14 2024-09-03 CPBC 59% NDP 32% BCG 7% 2024-09-03 2024-09-20 CPBC 59% NDP 34% BCG 7% 2024-09-20 2024-09-21 CPBC 59% NDP 34% BCG 7% 2024-09-21 2024-09-23 CPBC 59% NDP 34% BCG 7% 2024-09-23 2024-09-25 CPBC 60% NDP 34% BCG 6% 2024-09-25 2024-09-26 CPBC 60% NDP 34% BCG 6% 2024-09-26 2024-09-27 CPBC 60% NDP 34% BCG 6% 2024-09-27 2024-09-28 CPBC 60% NDP 34% BCG 6% 2024-09-28 2024-09-29 CPBC 60% NDP 33% BCG 6% 2024-09-29 2024-09-30 CPBC 61% NDP 33% BCG 6% 2024-09-30 2024-10-01 CPBC 61% NDP 33% BCG 6% 2024-10-01 2024-10-02 CPBC 61% NDP 33% BCG 6% 2024-10-02 2024-10-03 CPBC 61% NDP 33% BCG 6% 2024-10-03 2024-10-04 CPBC 60% NDP 33% BCG 6% 2024-10-04 2024-10-05 CPBC 60% NDP 34% BCG 6% 2024-10-05 2024-10-06 CPBC 60% NDP 34% BCG 6% 2024-10-06 2024-10-07 CPBC 59% NDP 34% BCG 6% 2024-10-07 2024-10-08 CPBC 58% NDP 35% BCG 6% 2024-10-08 2024-10-09 CPBC 59% NDP 35% BCG 6% 2024-10-09 2024-10-10 CPBC 59% NDP 35% BCG 6% 2024-10-10 2024-10-11 CPBC 58% NDP 35% BCG 7% 2024-10-11 2024-10-12 CPBC 58% NDP 35% BCG 7% 2024-10-12 2024-10-13 CPBC 58% NDP 35% BCG 7% 2024-10-13 2024-10-14 CPBC 58% NDP 35% BCG 7% 2024-10-14 2024-10-15 CPBC 58% NDP 35% BCG 7% 2024-10-15 2024-10-16 CPBC 58% NDP 35% BCG 7% 2024-10-16 2024-10-17 CPBC 58% NDP 35% BCG 7% 2024-10-17 2024-10-18 CPBC 59% NDP 34% BCG 7% 2024-10-18 2024-10-20 CPBC 60% NDP 33% BCG 7% 2024-10-20 2024-11-10 CPBC 60% NDP 33% BCG 7% 2024-11-10

Odds of winning | Kamloops-North Thompson

BCU <1% CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCG <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 Election 2024 CPBC NDP BCG November 10, 2024 2023-12-31 BCG <1% NDP <1% CPBC <1% 2023-12-31 2024-02-01 NDP <1% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-02-01 2024-03-26 NDP <1% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-03-26 2024-05-10 BCG <1% NDP <1% CPBC <1% 2024-05-10 2024-05-18 BCG <1% NDP <1% CPBC <1% 2024-05-18 2024-06-01 BCG <1% NDP <1% CPBC <1% 2024-06-01 2024-06-26 BCG <1% NDP <1% CPBC <1% 2024-06-26 2024-07-12 BCG <1% NDP <1% CPBC <1% 2024-07-12 2024-08-01 NDP <1% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-08-01 2024-08-14 NDP 3% CPBC <1% BCG <1% 2024-08-14 2024-09-03 NDP 9% CPBC 7% BCG <1% 2024-09-03 2024-09-20 NDP 70% CPBC 29% BCG <1% 2024-09-20 2024-09-21 NDP 71% CPBC 28% BCG <1% 2024-09-21 2024-09-23 NDP 71% CPBC 28% BCG <1% 2024-09-23 2024-09-25 NDP 76% CPBC 24% BCG <1% 2024-09-25 2024-09-26 CPBC 67% NDP 32% BCG <1% 2024-09-26 2024-09-27 CPBC 92% NDP 8% BCG <1% 2024-09-27 2024-09-28 CPBC 99% NDP 1% BCG <1% 2024-09-28 2024-09-29 CPBC 98% NDP 2% BCG <1% 2024-09-29 2024-09-30 CPBC 98% NDP 2% BCG <1% 2024-09-30 2024-10-01 CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCG <1% 2024-10-01 2024-10-02 CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCG <1% 2024-10-02 2024-10-03 CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCG <1% 2024-10-03 2024-10-04 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-10-04 2024-10-05 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-10-05 2024-10-06 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-10-06 2024-10-07 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-10-07 2024-10-08 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-10-08 2024-10-09 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-10-09 2024-10-10 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-10-10 2024-10-11 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-10-11 2024-10-12 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-10-12 2024-10-13 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-10-13 2024-10-14 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-10-14 2024-10-15 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-10-15 2024-10-16 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-10-16 2024-10-17 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-10-17 2024-10-18 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-10-18 2024-10-20 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-10-20 2024-11-10 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-11-10 2023-12-31 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2023-12-31 2024-02-01 CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCG <1% 2024-02-01 2024-03-26 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-03-26 2024-05-10 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-05-10 2024-05-18 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-05-18 2024-06-01 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-06-01 2024-06-26 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-06-26 2024-07-12 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-07-12 2024-08-01 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-08-01 2024-08-14 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-08-14 2024-09-03 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-09-03 2024-09-20 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-09-20 2024-09-21 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-09-21

Recent electoral history | Kamloops-North Thompson



2017 2020 2024 Proj. CPBC 60% ± 0% 0.0% 4.6% 59.7% NDP 33% ± 0% 24.2% 33.5% 32.9% BCG 7% ± 0% 19.1% 11.7% 7.4% LIB 0% ± 0% 55.6% 49.8% 0.0%
Data from 2017 and 2020 are those transposed onto the new electoral map.