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British columbia

Kamloops-North Thompson


Latest projection: May 18, 2024
BCC likely
Kamloops-North Thompson 46% ± 10%▲ BCC 29% ± 7%▼ NDP 16% ± 6%▼ BCU 7% ± 3% BCG BCU 2020 49.8% 338Canada Popular vote projection | May 18, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Kamloops-North Thompson 99%▲ BCC 1%▼ NDP <1% BCU Odds of winning | May 18, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Kamloops-North Thompson

BCU 16% ± 6% BCC 46% ± 10% NDP 29% ± 7% BCG 7% ± 3% Popular vote projection % | Kamloops-North Thompson 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 Election 2024 BCU BCC NDP BCG May 18, 2024

Odds of winning | Kamloops-North Thompson

BCU <1% BCC 99% NDP 1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 Election 2024 BCU BCC NDP May 18, 2024

Recent electoral history | Kamloops-North Thompson



2017 2020 Proj. BCU 55.6% 49.8% 16% ± 6% NDP 24.2% 33.5% 29% ± 7% BCG 19.1% 11.7% 7% ± 3% BCC 0.0% 4.6% 46% ± 10% OTH 0.0% 0.0% 2% ± 3%
Data from 2017 and 2020 are those transposed onto new electoral map.