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West Kelowna-Peachland

Latest update: December 20, 2025
C
MLA: Macklin McCall
Conservative Party of BC
CPBC safe
Projection — West Kelowna-Peachland → Regional projection — Okanagan-Rockies → All British Columbia provincial districts → British Columbia projection map → British Columbia polls → Back to 338Canada British Columbia home → Riding roulette! →

Recent electoral history | West Kelowna-Peachland


2017 2020 2024 Projection CPBC 55% ± 8% 0.0% 0.0% 50.8% NDP 31% ± 7% 22.1% 31.4% 27.9% BCG 1% ± 1% 12.0% 10.4% 0.0% BCU 0% ± 0% 64.1% 54.5% 0.0%

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338Canada West Kelowna-Peachland projection

Latest update: December 20, 2025

West Kelowna-Peachland 46% 63% 55% ± 8% CPBC 24% 39% 31% ± 7% ▼ NDP CPBC 2024 50.8% 338Canada Popular vote projection | December 20, 2025
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% West Kelowna-Peachland >99% CPBC <1% NDP <1% ONEOdds of winning | December 20, 2025
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.


Popular vote projection | West Kelowna-Peachland

BCU 0% ± 0% CPBC 55% ± 8% NDP 31% ± 7% BCG 1% ± 1% ONE 2% ± 2% CEN 0% ± 0% Popular vote projection % | West Kelowna-Peachland 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-05-01 2026-09-01 Election 2024 BCU CPBC NDP BCG ONE CEN December 20, 2025 2024-03-26 CPBC 36% BCU 28% NDP 25% BCG 7% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-03-26 2024-05-10 CPBC 41% BCU 25% NDP 24% BCG 6% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-05-10 2024-05-18 CPBC 46% NDP 25% BCU 20% BCG 6% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-05-18 2024-06-01 CPBC 43% NDP 26% BCU 21% BCG 6% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-06-01 2024-06-26 CPBC 44% NDP 27% BCU 19% BCG 6% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-06-26 2024-07-12 CPBC 47% NDP 26% BCU 17% BCG 7% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-07-12 2024-08-01 CPBC 48% NDP 26% BCU 16% BCG 7% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-08-01 2024-08-14 CPBC 49% NDP 26% BCU 16% BCG 6% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-08-14 2024-09-03 CPBC 61% NDP 31% BCG 6% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-03 2024-09-20 CPBC 61% NDP 33% BCG 6% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-20 2024-09-21 CPBC 61% NDP 33% BCG 6% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-21 2024-09-23 CPBC 61% NDP 33% BCG 6% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-23 2024-09-25 CPBC 62% NDP 32% BCG 6% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-25 2024-09-26 CPBC 62% NDP 32% BCG 6% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-26 2024-09-27 CPBC 62% NDP 32% BCG 6% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-27 2024-09-28 CPBC 62% NDP 32% BCG 6% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-28 2024-09-29 CPBC 64% NDP 32% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-29 2024-09-30 CPBC 64% NDP 32% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-30 2024-10-01 CPBC 64% NDP 32% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-01 2024-10-02 CPBC 64% NDP 32% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-02 2024-10-03 CPBC 64% NDP 32% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-03 2024-10-04 CPBC 63% NDP 32% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-04 2024-10-05 CPBC 63% NDP 33% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-05 2024-10-06 CPBC 63% NDP 33% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-06 2024-10-07 CPBC 62% NDP 33% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-07 2024-10-08 CPBC 62% NDP 34% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-08 2024-10-09 CPBC 62% NDP 34% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-09 2024-10-10 CPBC 62% NDP 34% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-10 2024-10-11 CPBC 62% NDP 34% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-11 2024-10-12 CPBC 62% NDP 34% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-12 2024-10-13 CPBC 62% NDP 34% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-13 2024-10-14 CPBC 62% NDP 34% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-14 2024-10-15 CPBC 62% NDP 34% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-15 2024-10-16 CPBC 62% NDP 34% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-16 2024-10-17 CPBC 62% NDP 34% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-17 2024-10-18 CPBC 62% NDP 33% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-18 2024-10-20 CPBC 51% NDP 28% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-20 2024-11-10 CPBC 51% NDP 28% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-11-10 2025-02-09 CPBC 51% NDP 28% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2025-02-09 2025-06-18 CPBC 51% NDP 28% ONE 21% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2025-06-18 2025-09-13 CPBC 51% NDP 28% ONE 21% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2025-09-13 2025-10-21 CPBC 55% NDP 32% ONE 2% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2025-10-21 2025-12-20 CPBC 55% NDP 31% ONE 2% BCG 1% CEN 0% BCU 0% 2025-12-20

Odds of winning | West Kelowna-Peachland

BCU <1% CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCG <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-05-01 2026-09-01 Election 2024 CPBC NDP BCG December 20, 2025 2024-03-26 BCG <1% NDP <1% CPBC <1% 2024-03-26 2024-05-10 BCG <1% NDP <1% CPBC <1% 2024-05-10 2024-05-18 BCG <1% NDP <1% CPBC <1% 2024-05-18 2024-06-01 BCG <1% NDP <1% CPBC <1% 2024-06-01 2024-06-26 BCG <1% NDP <1% CPBC <1% 2024-06-26 2024-07-12 BCG <1% NDP <1% CPBC <1% 2024-07-12 2024-08-01 BCG <1% NDP <1% CPBC <1% 2024-08-01 2024-08-14 BCG <1% NDP <1% CPBC <1% 2024-08-14 2024-09-03 BCG <1% NDP <1% CPBC <1% 2024-09-03 2024-09-20 BCG <1% NDP <1% CPBC <1% 2024-09-20 2024-09-21 CPBC 68% NDP 9% BCG <1% 2024-09-21 2024-09-23 CPBC 68% NDP 9% BCG <1% 2024-09-23 2024-09-25 CPBC 70% NDP 8% BCG <1% 2024-09-25 2024-09-26 CPBC 78% NDP 14% BCG <1% 2024-09-26 2024-09-27 CPBC 85% NDP 2% BCG <1% 2024-09-27 2024-09-28 CPBC 99% NDP <1% BCG <1% 2024-09-28 2024-09-29 CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCG <1% 2024-09-29 2024-09-30 CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCG <1% 2024-09-30 2024-10-01 CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCG <1% 2024-10-01 2024-10-02 CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCG <1% 2024-10-02 2024-10-03 CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCG <1% 2024-10-03 2024-10-04 CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCG <1% 2024-10-04 2024-10-05 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-10-05 2024-10-06 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-10-06 2024-10-07 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-10-07 2024-10-08 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-10-08 2024-10-09 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-10-09 2024-10-10 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-10-10 2024-10-11 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-10-11 2024-10-12 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-10-12 2024-10-13 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-10-13 2024-10-14 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-10-14 2024-10-15 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-10-15 2024-10-16 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-10-16 2024-10-17 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-10-17 2024-10-18 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-10-18 2024-10-20 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-10-20 2024-11-10 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-11-10 2025-02-09 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-09 2025-06-18 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2025-06-18 2025-09-13 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2025-09-13 2025-10-21 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2025-10-21 2025-12-20 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2025-12-20 2024-03-26 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-03-26 2024-05-10 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-05-10 2024-05-18 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-05-18 2024-06-01 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-06-01 2024-06-26 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-06-26 2024-07-12 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-07-12 2024-08-01 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-08-01 2024-08-14 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-08-14 2024-09-03 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-09-03 2024-09-20 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-09-20 2024-09-21 CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCG <1% 2024-09-21 2024-09-23 CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCG <1% 2024-09-23 2024-09-25 CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCG <1% 2024-09-25 2024-09-26 CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCG <1% 2024-09-26