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British columbia

Northern BC, 9 districts



Safe Likely Leaning Toss up Projected ahead Last election (2020)
2 1 1 2 6 2.0
0 2 0 1 3 0.0
0 0 0 0 0 7.0
0 0 0 0 0 0.0
0 0 0 0 0 0.0




Projection | Northern BC


Latest update: February 1, 2024
Northern BC 33% ± 6%▲ 32% ± 7%▲ 27% ± 6%▼ 4% ± 2%▼ 4% ± 5% OTH 338Canada Popular vote projection | February 1, 2024
This projection is calculated using a weighted average of polls by the 338Canada model to estimate current party support. This is not a poll, but the result of an aggregation of polls and modelization of various data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
Northern BC, 9 districts 6▲ [3-7] 3 [1-6] 0▼ [0-2] 0 [0-0] 338Canada seat projection | February 1, 2024
The seat projections are a forecast of the most likely results if a general election were held today. The brackets indicate the current ranges from worst to best possible outcomes. The distributions follow Gaussian-like curves, so the extremes are not as likely as the values near the mean. Does it work? See 338Canada's full record here.

Popular vote projection | Northern BC

BCU 27% ± 6% BCC 32% ± 7% NDP 33% ± 6% BCG 4% ± 2% OTH 4% ± 5% Popular vote projection % | Northern BC 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2021► 2021-01-01 2021-07-01 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-07-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-07-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-07-01 2025► 2025-01-01 Election 2024 BCU BCC NDP BCG

Seat projection | Northern BC

BCU 0 [0-2] BCC 3 [1-6] NDP 6 [3-7] Seat projection | Northern BC 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 2021► 2021-01-01 2021-07-01 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-07-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-07-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-07-01 2025► 2025-01-01 Election 2024 BCU BCC NDP

List of electoral districts


Latest update: February 1, 2024
Electoral district Current party Latest projection
005 Bulkley Valley-Stikine NDP safe
042 Nechako Lakes Toss up
044 North Coast-Haida Gwaii NDP safe
049 Peace River North BCC likely
050 Peace River South BCC likely
055 Prince George-Mackenzie NDP leaning
056 Prince George-North Cariboo Toss up
057 Prince George-Valemount Toss up
065 Skeena NDP likely