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British columbia

Chilliwack North


Latest projection: May 18, 2024
BCC likely
Chilliwack North 51% ± 11%▲ BCC 33% ± 9%▼ NDP 7% ± 4%▼ BCU 5% ± 3% BCG 3% ± 5%▼ OTH NDP 2020 39.6% 338Canada Popular vote projection | May 18, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Chilliwack North 98%▲ BCC 2%▼ NDP <1% BCU Odds of winning | May 18, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Chilliwack North

BCU 7% ± 4% BCC 51% ± 11% NDP 33% ± 9% BCG 5% ± 3% OTH 3% ± 5% Popular vote projection % | Chilliwack North 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 Election 2024 BCU BCC NDP BCG OTH May 18, 2024

Odds of winning | Chilliwack North

BCU <1% BCC 98% NDP 2% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 Election 2024 BCU BCC NDP May 18, 2024

Recent electoral history | Chilliwack North



2017 2020 Proj. NDP 32.0% 39.6% 33% ± 9% BCU 49.8% 31.3% 7% ± 4% BCC 0.0% 14.9% 51% ± 11% BCG 16.3% 10.1% 5% ± 3% OTH 0.0% 0.0% 3% ± 5%
Data from 2017 and 2020 are those transposed onto new electoral map.