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British columbia

Powell River-Sunshine Coast


Latest projection: October 2, 2024
NDP safe

Candidates | Powell River-Sunshine Coast


BC NDP Randene Neill
Conservative Party of BC Chris Moore
BC Green Party Chris Hergesheimer
Independent Greg Reid

Candidates are listed on the Elections BC website here. This list will be updated regularly throughout the campaign.

Powell River-Sunshine Coast 47% ± 7% NDP 30% ± 6% CPBC 23% ± 6% BCG NDP 2020 50.9% 338Canada Popular vote projection | October 2, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Powell River-Sunshine Coast >99% NDP <1% CPBC <1% BCG Odds of winning | October 2, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Powell River-Sunshine Coast

CPBC 30% ± 6% NDP 47% ± 7% BCG 23% ± 6% Popular vote projection % | Powell River-Sunshine Coast 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024-09-15 2024-10-01 2024-10-15 Election 2024 Campaign begins CPBC NDP BCG October 2, 2024 2024-09-21 NDP 49% CPBC 27% BCG 24% 2024-09-21 2024-09-23 NDP 49% CPBC 26% BCG 25% 2024-09-23 2024-09-25 NDP 49% CPBC 27% BCG 24% 2024-09-25 2024-09-26 NDP 49% CPBC 28% BCG 23% 2024-09-26 2024-09-27 NDP 49% CPBC 28% BCG 23% 2024-09-27 2024-09-28 NDP 48% CPBC 28% BCG 23% 2024-09-28 2024-09-29 NDP 48% CPBC 29% BCG 23% 2024-09-29 2024-09-30 NDP 47% CPBC 30% BCG 23% 2024-09-30 2024-10-01 NDP 47% CPBC 30% BCG 23% 2024-10-01 2024-10-02 NDP 47% CPBC 30% BCG 23% 2024-10-02

Odds of winning | Powell River-Sunshine Coast

BCU <1% CPBC <1% NDP >99% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024-09-15 2024-10-01 2024-10-15 Election 2024 Campaign begins BCU CPBC NDP October 2, 2024 2024-09-21 NDP >99% CPBC <1% BCU <1% 2024-09-21 2024-09-23 NDP >99% CPBC <1% BCU <1% 2024-09-23 2024-09-25 NDP >99% CPBC <1% BCU <1% 2024-09-25 2024-09-26 NDP >99% CPBC <1% BCU <1% 2024-09-26 2024-09-27 NDP >99% CPBC <1% BCU <1% 2024-09-27 2024-09-28 NDP >99% CPBC <1% BCU <1% 2024-09-28 2024-09-29 NDP >99% CPBC <1% BCU <1% 2024-09-29 2024-09-30 NDP >99% CPBC <1% BCU <1% 2024-09-30 2024-10-01 NDP >99% CPBC <1% BCU <1% 2024-10-01 2024-10-02 NDP >99% CPBC <1% BCU <1% 2024-10-02

Recent electoral history | Powell River-Sunshine Coast



2017 2020 Proj. NDP 50.7% 50.9% 47% ± 7% CPBC 0.0% 0.0% 30% ± 6% BCG 24.2% 32.4% 23% ± 6% BCU 24.5% 16.7% 0% ± 0%
Data from 2017 and 2020 are those transposed onto new electoral map.