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Recent electoral history | Vancouver-Langara


2017 2020 2024 Projection NDP 48% ± 9% 41.8% 44.1% 48.4% CPBC 43% ± 9% 0.0% 0.0% 46.0% BCG 6% ± 4% 13.1% 8.4% 5.5% BCU 0% ± 0% 44.0% 46.4% 0.0%

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338Canada Vancouver-Langara projection

Latest update: December 20, 2025

Vancouver-Langara 39% 57% 48% ± 9% NDP 34% 52% 43% ± 9% CPBC 2% 10% 6% ± 4% BCG NDP 2024 48.4% 338Canada Popular vote projection | December 20, 2025
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Vancouver-Langara 71%▲ NDP 29%▼ CPBC <1% BCG Odds of winning | December 20, 2025
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.


Popular vote projection | Vancouver-Langara

BCU 0% ± 0% CPBC 43% ± 9% NDP 48% ± 9% BCG 6% ± 4% ONE 1% ± 1% CEN 0% ± 0% Popular vote projection % | Vancouver-Langara 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-05-01 2026-09-01 Election 2024 BCU CPBC NDP BCG ONE CEN December 20, 2025 2024-03-26 NDP 38% CPBC 27% BCU 26% BCG 6% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-03-26 2024-05-10 NDP 37% CPBC 33% BCU 23% BCG 5% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-05-10 2024-05-18 CPBC 38% NDP 37% BCU 18% BCG 5% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-05-18 2024-06-01 NDP 38% CPBC 36% BCU 19% BCG 5% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-06-01 2024-06-26 NDP 39% CPBC 36% BCU 17% BCG 6% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-06-26 2024-07-12 NDP 39% CPBC 39% BCU 12% BCG 7% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-07-12 2024-08-01 CPBC 40% NDP 39% BCU 12% BCG 7% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-08-01 2024-08-14 CPBC 41% NDP 40% BCU 12% BCG 6% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-08-14 2024-09-03 CPBC 47% NDP 45% BCG 7% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-03 2024-09-20 CPBC 48% NDP 45% BCG 7% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-20 2024-09-21 CPBC 48% NDP 45% BCG 7% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-21 2024-09-23 CPBC 48% NDP 45% BCG 7% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-23 2024-09-25 CPBC 48% NDP 45% BCG 7% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-25 2024-09-26 CPBC 48% NDP 45% BCG 7% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-26 2024-09-27 CPBC 48% NDP 45% BCG 7% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-27 2024-09-28 CPBC 48% NDP 45% BCG 7% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-28 2024-09-29 CPBC 49% NDP 44% BCG 7% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-29 2024-09-30 CPBC 48% NDP 46% BCG 7% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-30 2024-10-01 CPBC 48% NDP 46% BCG 7% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-01 2024-10-02 CPBC 49% NDP 44% BCG 7% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-02 2024-10-03 CPBC 49% NDP 44% BCG 7% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-03 2024-10-04 CPBC 49% NDP 44% BCG 7% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-04 2024-10-05 CPBC 49% NDP 45% BCG 7% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-05 2024-10-06 CPBC 48% NDP 45% BCG 7% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-06 2024-10-07 CPBC 48% NDP 45% BCG 7% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-07 2024-10-08 CPBC 48% NDP 46% BCG 7% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-08 2024-10-09 CPBC 48% NDP 45% BCG 7% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-09 2024-10-10 CPBC 48% NDP 45% BCG 7% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-10 2024-10-11 CPBC 48% NDP 45% BCG 7% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-11 2024-10-12 CPBC 48% NDP 45% BCG 7% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-12 2024-10-13 CPBC 48% NDP 45% BCG 7% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-13 2024-10-14 CPBC 47% NDP 46% BCG 7% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-14 2024-10-15 CPBC 46% NDP 46% BCG 8% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-15 2024-10-16 CPBC 47% NDP 46% BCG 8% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-16 2024-10-17 CPBC 47% NDP 46% BCG 8% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-17 2024-10-18 CPBC 48% NDP 48% BCG 4% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-18 2024-10-20 NDP 48% CPBC 46% BCG 5% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-20 2024-11-10 NDP 48% CPBC 46% BCG 6% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-11-10 2025-02-09 NDP 48% CPBC 46% BCG 6% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2025-02-09 2025-06-18 NDP 48% CPBC 46% BCG 6% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2025-06-18 2025-09-13 NDP 48% CPBC 46% BCG 6% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2025-09-13 2025-10-21 NDP 48% CPBC 44% BCG 6% ONE 1% CEN 0% BCU 0% 2025-10-21 2025-12-20 NDP 48% CPBC 43% BCG 6% ONE 1% CEN 0% BCU 0% 2025-12-20

Odds of winning | Vancouver-Langara

BCU <1% CPBC 29% NDP 71% BCG <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-05-01 2026-09-01 Election 2024 CPBC NDP BCG December 20, 2025 2024-03-26 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-03-26 2024-05-10 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-05-10 2024-05-18 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-05-18 2024-06-01 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-06-01 2024-06-26 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-06-26 2024-07-12 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-07-12 2024-08-01 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-08-01 2024-08-14 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-08-14 2024-09-03 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-09-03 2024-09-20 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-09-20 2024-09-21 NDP 98% CPBC <1% BCG <1% 2024-09-21 2024-09-23 NDP 98% CPBC <1% BCG <1% 2024-09-23 2024-09-25 NDP 98% CPBC <1% BCG <1% 2024-09-25 2024-09-26 NDP >99% CPBC <1% BCG <1% 2024-09-26 2024-09-27 NDP 95% CPBC 4% BCG <1% 2024-09-27 2024-09-28 NDP 73% CPBC 26% BCG <1% 2024-09-28 2024-09-29 CPBC 59% NDP 41% BCG <1% 2024-09-29 2024-09-30 NDP 63% CPBC 37% BCG <1% 2024-09-30 2024-10-01 NDP 64% CPBC 36% BCG <1% 2024-10-01 2024-10-02 CPBC 50% NDP 50% BCG <1% 2024-10-02 2024-10-03 CPBC 54% NDP 46% BCG <1% 2024-10-03 2024-10-04 CPBC 56% NDP 44% BCG <1% 2024-10-04 2024-10-05 CPBC 60% NDP 40% BCG <1% 2024-10-05 2024-10-06 CPBC 68% NDP 32% BCG <1% 2024-10-06 2024-10-07 CPBC 68% NDP 32% BCG <1% 2024-10-07 2024-10-08 CPBC 66% NDP 34% BCG <1% 2024-10-08 2024-10-09 CPBC 66% NDP 34% BCG <1% 2024-10-09 2024-10-10 CPBC 67% NDP 33% BCG <1% 2024-10-10 2024-10-11 CPBC 68% NDP 32% BCG <1% 2024-10-11 2024-10-12 CPBC 69% NDP 31% BCG <1% 2024-10-12 2024-10-13 CPBC 74% NDP 26% BCG <1% 2024-10-13 2024-10-14 CPBC 63% NDP 37% BCG <1% 2024-10-14 2024-10-15 CPBC 64% NDP 36% BCG <1% 2024-10-15 2024-10-16 CPBC 80% NDP 20% BCG <1% 2024-10-16 2024-10-17 CPBC 79% NDP 21% BCG <1% 2024-10-17 2024-10-18 CPBC 77% NDP 23% BCG <1% 2024-10-18 2024-10-20 CPBC 75% NDP 25% BCG <1% 2024-10-20 2024-11-10 CPBC 69% NDP 31% BCG <1% 2024-11-10 2025-02-09 CPBC 66% NDP 34% BCG <1% 2025-02-09 2025-06-18 CPBC 60% NDP 40% BCG <1% 2025-06-18 2025-09-13 CPBC 68% NDP 32% BCG <1% 2025-09-13 2025-10-21 CPBC 70% NDP 30% BCG <1% 2025-10-21 2025-12-20 CPBC 64% NDP 36% BCG <1% 2025-12-20 2024-03-26 CPBC 66% NDP 34% BCG <1% 2024-03-26 2024-05-10 CPBC 66% NDP 34% BCG <1% 2024-05-10 2024-05-18 CPBC 56% NDP 44% BCG <1% 2024-05-18 2024-06-01 CPBC 51% NDP 49% BCG <1% 2024-06-01 2024-06-26 CPBC 58% NDP 42% BCG <1% 2024-06-26 2024-07-12 CPBC 58% NDP 42% BCG <1% 2024-07-12 2024-08-01 CPBC 51% NDP 49% BCG <1% 2024-08-01 2024-08-14 NDP 64% CPBC 36% BCG <1% 2024-08-14 2024-09-03 NDP 69% CPBC 31% BCG <1% 2024-09-03 2024-09-20 NDP 65% CPBC 35% BCG <1% 2024-09-20 2024-09-21 NDP 63% CPBC 37% BCG <1% 2024-09-21 2024-09-23 NDP 58% CPBC 42% BCG <1% 2024-09-23 2024-09-25 NDP 70% CPBC 30% BCG <1% 2024-09-25 2024-09-26 NDP 71% CPBC 29% BCG <1% 2024-09-26