logo
logo
British columbia

Langley-Walnut Grove


MLA: Misty Van Popta (CPBC)
Latest projection: November 10, 2024
CPBC leaning
Langley-Walnut Grove 50% ± 0% CPBC 45% ± 0% NDP 5% ± 0% BCG CPBC 2024 49.55% 338Canada Popular vote projection | November 10, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Langley-Walnut Grove 87%▼ CPBC 13%▲ NDP <1% BCG Odds of winning | November 10, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Langley-Walnut Grove

CPBC 50% ± 0% NDP 45% ± 0% BCG 5% ± 0% Popular vote projection % | Langley-Walnut Grove 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 Election 2024 CPBC NDP BCG November 10, 2024 2023-12-31 NDP 37% CPBC 30% BCG 8% 2023-12-31 2024-02-01 NDP 39% CPBC 31% BCG 7% 2024-02-01 2024-03-26 NDP 35% CPBC 34% BCG 7% 2024-03-26 2024-05-10 CPBC 40% NDP 34% BCG 7% 2024-05-10 2024-05-18 CPBC 43% NDP 37% BCG 6% 2024-05-18 2024-06-01 CPBC 40% NDP 38% BCG 6% 2024-06-01 2024-06-26 CPBC 41% NDP 39% BCG 6% 2024-06-26 2024-07-12 CPBC 43% NDP 37% BCG 7% 2024-07-12 2024-08-01 CPBC 46% NDP 36% BCG 7% 2024-08-01 2024-08-14 CPBC 47% NDP 36% BCG 6% 2024-08-14 2024-09-03 CPBC 54% NDP 38% BCG 6% 2024-09-03 2024-09-20 CPBC 52% NDP 38% BCG 6% 2024-09-20 2024-09-21 CPBC 52% NDP 38% BCG 6% 2024-09-21 2024-09-23 CPBC 48% NDP 45% BCG 6% 2024-09-23 2024-09-25 CPBC 49% NDP 45% BCG 6% 2024-09-25 2024-09-26 CPBC 49% NDP 45% BCG 6% 2024-09-26 2024-09-27 CPBC 50% NDP 45% BCG 6% 2024-09-27 2024-09-28 CPBC 50% NDP 45% BCG 6% 2024-09-28 2024-09-29 CPBC 50% NDP 44% BCG 6% 2024-09-29 2024-09-30 CPBC 50% NDP 44% BCG 6% 2024-09-30 2024-10-01 CPBC 50% NDP 44% BCG 6% 2024-10-01 2024-10-02 CPBC 51% NDP 44% BCG 6% 2024-10-02 2024-10-03 CPBC 51% NDP 44% BCG 6% 2024-10-03 2024-10-04 CPBC 50% NDP 44% BCG 6% 2024-10-04 2024-10-05 CPBC 50% NDP 44% BCG 6% 2024-10-05 2024-10-06 CPBC 49% NDP 45% BCG 6% 2024-10-06 2024-10-07 CPBC 49% NDP 45% BCG 6% 2024-10-07 2024-10-08 CPBC 49% NDP 46% BCG 6% 2024-10-08 2024-10-09 CPBC 49% NDP 45% BCG 6% 2024-10-09 2024-10-10 CPBC 50% NDP 45% BCG 6% 2024-10-10 2024-10-11 CPBC 49% NDP 45% BCG 6% 2024-10-11 2024-10-12 CPBC 49% NDP 45% BCG 6% 2024-10-12 2024-10-13 CPBC 49% NDP 45% BCG 6% 2024-10-13 2024-10-14 CPBC 49% NDP 45% BCG 6% 2024-10-14 2024-10-15 CPBC 48% NDP 45% BCG 6% 2024-10-15 2024-10-16 CPBC 48% NDP 45% BCG 6% 2024-10-16 2024-10-17 CPBC 48% NDP 45% BCG 6% 2024-10-17 2024-10-18 CPBC 47% NDP 44% BCG 9% 2024-10-18 2024-10-20 CPBC 50% NDP 45% BCG 5% 2024-10-20 2024-11-10 CPBC 50% NDP 45% BCG 5% 2024-11-10

Odds of winning | Langley-Walnut Grove

BCU <1% CPBC 87% NDP 13% BCG <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 Election 2024 CPBC NDP BCG November 10, 2024 2023-12-31 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2023-12-31 2024-02-01 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-02-01 2024-03-26 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-03-26 2024-05-10 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-05-10 2024-05-18 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-05-18 2024-06-01 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-06-01 2024-06-26 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-06-26 2024-07-12 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-07-12 2024-08-01 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-08-01 2024-08-14 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-08-14 2024-09-03 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-09-03 2024-09-20 NDP 86% CPBC 14% BCG <1% 2024-09-20 2024-09-21 NDP 87% CPBC 13% BCG <1% 2024-09-21 2024-09-23 NDP 87% CPBC 13% BCG <1% 2024-09-23 2024-09-25 NDP 90% CPBC 10% BCG <1% 2024-09-25 2024-09-26 NDP 54% CPBC 46% BCG <1% 2024-09-26 2024-09-27 CPBC 80% NDP 20% BCG <1% 2024-09-27 2024-09-28 CPBC 81% NDP 19% BCG <1% 2024-09-28 2024-09-29 CPBC 62% NDP 38% BCG <1% 2024-09-29 2024-09-30 CPBC 63% NDP 37% BCG <1% 2024-09-30 2024-10-01 CPBC 82% NDP 18% BCG <1% 2024-10-01 2024-10-02 CPBC 94% NDP 6% BCG <1% 2024-10-02 2024-10-03 CPBC 96% NDP 4% BCG <1% 2024-10-03 2024-10-04 CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCG <1% 2024-10-04 2024-10-05 CPBC 99% NDP 1% BCG <1% 2024-10-05 2024-10-06 CPBC 99% NDP 1% BCG <1% 2024-10-06 2024-10-07 CPBC 70% NDP 30% BCG <1% 2024-10-07 2024-10-08 CPBC 70% NDP 30% BCG <1% 2024-10-08 2024-10-09 CPBC 77% NDP 23% BCG <1% 2024-10-09 2024-10-10 CPBC 78% NDP 22% BCG <1% 2024-10-10 2024-10-11 CPBC 79% NDP 21% BCG <1% 2024-10-11 2024-10-12 CPBC 84% NDP 16% BCG <1% 2024-10-12 2024-10-13 CPBC 84% NDP 16% BCG <1% 2024-10-13 2024-10-14 CPBC 84% NDP 16% BCG <1% 2024-10-14 2024-10-15 CPBC 87% NDP 13% BCG <1% 2024-10-15 2024-10-16 CPBC 87% NDP 13% BCG <1% 2024-10-16 2024-10-17 CPBC 85% NDP 15% BCG <1% 2024-10-17 2024-10-18 CPBC 82% NDP 18% BCG <1% 2024-10-18 2024-10-20 CPBC 77% NDP 23% BCG <1% 2024-10-20 2024-11-10 CPBC 75% NDP 25% BCG <1% 2024-11-10 2023-12-31 CPBC 69% NDP 31% BCG <1% 2023-12-31 2024-02-01 CPBC 76% NDP 24% BCG <1% 2024-02-01 2024-03-26 CPBC 79% NDP 21% BCG <1% 2024-03-26 2024-05-10 CPBC 73% NDP 27% BCG <1% 2024-05-10 2024-05-18 CPBC 74% NDP 26% BCG <1% 2024-05-18 2024-06-01 CPBC 74% NDP 26% BCG <1% 2024-06-01 2024-06-26 CPBC 73% NDP 27% BCG <1% 2024-06-26 2024-07-12 CPBC 68% NDP 32% BCG <1% 2024-07-12 2024-08-01 CPBC 68% NDP 32% BCG <1% 2024-08-01 2024-08-14 CPBC 67% NDP 33% BCG <1% 2024-08-14 2024-09-03 CPBC 72% NDP 28% BCG <1% 2024-09-03 2024-09-20 CPBC 89% NDP 11% BCG <1% 2024-09-20 2024-09-21 CPBC 87% NDP 13% BCG <1% 2024-09-21

Recent electoral history | Langley-Walnut Grove



2017 2020 2024 Proj. CPBC 50% ± 0% 0.0% 10.3% 49.6% NDP 45% ± 0% 31.2% 45.8% 44.8% BCG 5% ± 0% 16.4% 11.9% 5.1% IND 1% ± 0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% LIB 0% ± 0% 51.0% 30.6% 0.0%
Data from 2017 and 2020 are those transposed onto the new electoral map.