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British columbia
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Nanaimo
MLA: Sheila Malcolmson (NDP)
Latest projection: February 11, 2023
NDP safe
Nanaimo
52% ± 9%
NDP
25% ± 8%
BCG
21% ± 6%
BCU
2% ± 2%
BCC
NDP 2020
54.5%
338Canada Popular vote projection | February 11, 2023
50%
100%
Nanaimo
>99%
NDP
<1%
BCG
<1%
BCU
Odds of winning | February 11, 2023
Popular vote projection | Nanaimo
BCU 21% ± 6%
NDP 52% ± 9%
BCG 25% ± 8%
Popular vote projection % | Nanaimo
60
55
50
45
40
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
2022►
2022-01-01
2022-03-01
2022-05-01
2022-07-01
2022-09-01
2022-11-01
2023►
2023-01-01
2023-03-01
2023-05-01
2023-07-01
BCU
NDP
BCG
Odds of winning | Nanaimo
BCU <1%
NDP >99%
Odds of winning the most seats
100%
90%
80%
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
2022►
2022-01-01
2022-03-01
2022-05-01
2022-07-01
2022-09-01
2022-11-01
2023►
2023-01-01
2023-03-01
2023-05-01
2023-07-01
BCU
NDP
Recent electoral history | Nanaimo
2017
2020
Proj.
NDP
46.5%
54.5%
52% ± 9%
BCG
19.9%
23.1%
25% ± 8%
BCU
32.5%
22.4%
21% ± 6%
BCC
0.0%
0.0%
2% ± 2%