logo
logo
British columbia
British Columbia flag

Columbia River-Revelstoke

Latest update: December 20, 2025
C
MLA: Scott McInnis
Conservative Party of BC
Toss up
Projection — Columbia River-Revelstoke → Regional projection — Okanagan-Rockies → All British Columbia provincial districts → British Columbia projection map → British Columbia polls → Back to 338Canada British Columbia home → Riding roulette! →

Recent electoral history | Columbia River-Revelstoke


2017 2020 2024 Projection CPBC 45% ± 9% 0.0% 0.0% 47.9% NDP 43% ± 9% 35.2% 37.7% 44.3% BCG 9% ± 5% 11.7% 12.9% 7.8% BCU 0% ± 0% 46.8% 49.3% 0.0%

Latest from the 338Canada newsletter

Loading latest analysis…


British Columbia flag

338Canada Columbia River-Revelstoke projection

Latest update: December 20, 2025

Columbia River-Revelstoke 36% 54% 45% ± 9% CPBC 35% 52% 43% ± 9% ▼ NDP 4% 13% 9% ± 5% ▲ BCG CPBC 2024 47.9% 338Canada Popular vote projection | December 20, 2025
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Columbia River-Revelstoke 58%▼ CPBC 42%▲ NDP <1% BCG Odds of winning | December 20, 2025
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.


Popular vote projection | Columbia River-Revelstoke

BCU 0% ± 0% CPBC 45% ± 9% NDP 43% ± 9% BCG 9% ± 5% ONE 1% ± 1% CEN 0% ± 0% Popular vote projection % | Columbia River-Revelstoke 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-05-01 2026-09-01 Election 2024 BCU CPBC NDP BCG ONE CEN December 20, 2025 2024-03-26 CPBC 35% NDP 30% BCU 24% BCG 9% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-03-26 2024-05-10 CPBC 41% NDP 29% BCU 20% BCG 8% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-05-10 2024-05-18 CPBC 45% NDP 30% BCU 15% BCG 8% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-05-18 2024-06-01 CPBC 42% NDP 32% BCU 16% BCG 8% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-06-01 2024-06-26 CPBC 43% NDP 32% BCU 15% BCG 9% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-06-26 2024-07-12 CPBC 45% NDP 31% BCU 13% BCG 9% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-07-12 2024-08-01 CPBC 46% NDP 31% BCU 13% BCG 9% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-08-01 2024-08-14 CPBC 47% NDP 31% BCU 12% BCG 8% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-08-14 2024-09-03 CPBC 57% NDP 34% BCG 8% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-03 2024-09-20 CPBC 57% NDP 35% BCG 8% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-20 2024-09-21 CPBC 57% NDP 35% BCG 8% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-21 2024-09-23 CPBC 57% NDP 35% BCG 8% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-23 2024-09-25 CPBC 58% NDP 35% BCG 8% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-25 2024-09-26 CPBC 58% NDP 35% BCG 8% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-26 2024-09-27 CPBC 58% NDP 35% BCG 8% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-27 2024-09-28 CPBC 58% NDP 35% BCG 8% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-28 2024-09-29 CPBC 58% NDP 34% BCG 7% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-29 2024-09-30 CPBC 58% NDP 34% BCG 7% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-30 2024-10-01 CPBC 58% NDP 34% BCG 7% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-01 2024-10-02 CPBC 58% NDP 34% BCG 7% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-02 2024-10-03 CPBC 58% NDP 34% BCG 7% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-03 2024-10-04 CPBC 58% NDP 35% BCG 7% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-04 2024-10-05 CPBC 58% NDP 35% BCG 7% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-05 2024-10-06 CPBC 57% NDP 35% BCG 7% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-06 2024-10-07 CPBC 57% NDP 35% BCG 7% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-07 2024-10-08 CPBC 56% NDP 36% BCG 7% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-08 2024-10-09 CPBC 57% NDP 36% BCG 7% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-09 2024-10-10 CPBC 57% NDP 36% BCG 7% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-10 2024-10-11 CPBC 56% NDP 36% BCG 8% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-11 2024-10-12 CPBC 56% NDP 36% BCG 8% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-12 2024-10-13 CPBC 56% NDP 36% BCG 8% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-13 2024-10-14 CPBC 56% NDP 36% BCG 8% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-14 2024-10-15 CPBC 56% NDP 36% BCG 8% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-15 2024-10-16 CPBC 56% NDP 36% BCG 8% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-16 2024-10-17 CPBC 56% NDP 36% BCG 8% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-17 2024-10-18 CPBC 57% NDP 35% BCG 8% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-18 2024-10-20 CPBC 48% NDP 44% BCG 8% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-20 2024-11-10 CPBC 48% NDP 44% BCG 8% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-11-10 2025-02-09 CPBC 48% NDP 44% BCG 8% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2025-02-09 2025-06-18 CPBC 48% NDP 44% BCG 8% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2025-06-18 2025-09-13 CPBC 48% NDP 44% BCG 8% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2025-09-13 2025-10-21 CPBC 45% NDP 44% BCG 8% ONE 1% CEN 0% BCU 0% 2025-10-21 2025-12-20 CPBC 45% NDP 43% BCG 9% ONE 1% CEN 0% BCU 0% 2025-12-20

Odds of winning | Columbia River-Revelstoke

BCU <1% CPBC 58% NDP 42% BCG <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-05-01 2026-09-01 Election 2024 CPBC NDP BCG December 20, 2025 2024-03-26 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-03-26 2024-05-10 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-05-10 2024-05-18 NDP 99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-05-18 2024-06-01 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-06-01 2024-06-26 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-06-26 2024-07-12 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-07-12 2024-08-01 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-08-01 2024-08-14 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-08-14 2024-09-03 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-09-03 2024-09-20 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-09-20 2024-09-21 NDP 90% CPBC 5% BCG <1% 2024-09-21 2024-09-23 NDP 90% CPBC 5% BCG <1% 2024-09-23 2024-09-25 NDP 90% CPBC 5% BCG <1% 2024-09-25 2024-09-26 NDP 87% CPBC 13% BCG <1% 2024-09-26 2024-09-27 CPBC 76% NDP 22% BCG <1% 2024-09-27 2024-09-28 CPBC 95% NDP 5% BCG <1% 2024-09-28 2024-09-29 CPBC 97% NDP 3% BCG <1% 2024-09-29 2024-09-30 CPBC 93% NDP 7% BCG <1% 2024-09-30 2024-10-01 CPBC 95% NDP 5% BCG <1% 2024-10-01 2024-10-02 CPBC 98% NDP 2% BCG <1% 2024-10-02 2024-10-03 CPBC 99% NDP 1% BCG <1% 2024-10-03 2024-10-04 CPBC 99% NDP 1% BCG <1% 2024-10-04 2024-10-05 CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCG <1% 2024-10-05 2024-10-06 CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCG <1% 2024-10-06 2024-10-07 CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCG <1% 2024-10-07 2024-10-08 CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCG <1% 2024-10-08 2024-10-09 CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCG <1% 2024-10-09 2024-10-10 CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCG <1% 2024-10-10 2024-10-11 CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCG <1% 2024-10-11 2024-10-12 CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCG <1% 2024-10-12 2024-10-13 CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCG <1% 2024-10-13 2024-10-14 CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCG <1% 2024-10-14 2024-10-15 CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCG <1% 2024-10-15 2024-10-16 CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCG <1% 2024-10-16 2024-10-17 CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCG <1% 2024-10-17 2024-10-18 CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCG <1% 2024-10-18 2024-10-20 CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCG <1% 2024-10-20 2024-11-10 CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCG <1% 2024-11-10 2025-02-09 CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCG <1% 2025-02-09 2025-06-18 CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCG <1% 2025-06-18 2025-09-13 CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCG <1% 2025-09-13 2025-10-21 CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCG <1% 2025-10-21 2025-12-20 CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCG <1% 2025-12-20 2024-03-26 CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCG <1% 2024-03-26 2024-05-10 CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCG <1% 2024-05-10 2024-05-18 CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCG <1% 2024-05-18 2024-06-01 CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCG <1% 2024-06-01 2024-06-26 CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCG <1% 2024-06-26 2024-07-12 CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCG <1% 2024-07-12 2024-08-01 CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCG <1% 2024-08-01 2024-08-14 CPBC 80% NDP 20% BCG <1% 2024-08-14 2024-09-03 CPBC 78% NDP 22% BCG <1% 2024-09-03 2024-09-20 CPBC 70% NDP 30% BCG <1% 2024-09-20 2024-09-21 CPBC 67% NDP 33% BCG <1% 2024-09-21 2024-09-23 CPBC 72% NDP 28% BCG <1% 2024-09-23 2024-09-25 CPBC 59% NDP 41% BCG <1% 2024-09-25 2024-09-26 CPBC 58% NDP 42% BCG <1% 2024-09-26