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Greater Vancouver-Fraser Valley, 16 districts


Latest update: October 2, 2024
Greater Vancouver-Fraser Valley 51% ± 5% CPBC 43% ± 5%▼ NDP 5% ± 2% BCG 338Canada popular vote projection | October 2, 2024
This projection is calculated using a weighted average of polls by the 338Canada model to estimate current party support. This is not a poll, but the result of an aggregation of polls and modelization of various data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
Greater Vancouver-Fraser Valley 11▲ [7-14] CPBC 5▼ [2-9] NDP 0 [0-0] BCG 338Canada seat projection | October 2, 2024
The seat projections are a forecast of the most likely results if a general election were held today. The brackets indicate the current ranges from worst to best possible outcomes. The distributions follow Gaussian-like curves, so the extremes are not as likely as the values near the mean. Does it work? See 338Canada's full record here.

Popular vote projection | Greater Vancouver-Fraser Valley

CPBC 51% ± 5% NDP 43% ± 5% BCG 5% ± 2% Popular vote projection % | Greater Vancouver-Fraser Valley 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024-09-15 2024-10-01 2024-10-15 Election 2024 Campaign begins CPBC NDP BCG October 2, 2024 2024-09-21 CPBC 48% NDP 43% BCG 8% 2024-09-21 2024-09-23 CPBC 48% NDP 43% BCG 9% 2024-09-23 2024-09-25 CPBC 48% NDP 43% BCG 8% 2024-09-25 2024-09-26 CPBC 49% NDP 43% BCG 8% 2024-09-26 2024-09-27 CPBC 49% NDP 43% BCG 8% 2024-09-27 2024-09-28 CPBC 49% NDP 43% BCG 8% 2024-09-28 2024-09-29 CPBC 51% NDP 44% BCG 5% 2024-09-29 2024-09-30 CPBC 51% NDP 44% BCG 5% 2024-09-30 2024-10-01 CPBC 51% NDP 44% BCG 5% 2024-10-01 2024-10-02 CPBC 51% NDP 43% BCG 5% 2024-10-02

Seat projection | Greater Vancouver-Fraser Valley

CPBC 11 [7-14] NDP 5 [2-9] Seat projection | Greater Vancouver-Fraser Valley 13 12 11 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 2024-09-15 2024-10-01 2024-10-15 Election 2024 Campaign begins CPBC NDP October 2, 2024 2024-09-21 CPBC 9 NDP 7 2024-09-21 2024-09-23 CPBC 9 NDP 7 2024-09-23 2024-09-25 CPBC 9 NDP 7 2024-09-25 2024-09-26 CPBC 10 NDP 6 2024-09-26 2024-09-27 CPBC 10 NDP 6 2024-09-27 2024-09-28 CPBC 10 NDP 6 2024-09-28 2024-09-29 CPBC 10 NDP 6 2024-09-29 2024-09-30 CPBC 10 NDP 6 2024-09-30 2024-10-01 CPBC 10 NDP 6 2024-10-01 2024-10-02 CPBC 11 NDP 5 2024-10-02

Seat projection | Greater Vancouver-Fraser Valley


Latest update: October 2, 2024
Safe Likely Leaning Toss up Projected ahead Last election (2020)
6 1 1 3 11 0
0 3 1 1 5 12
0 0 0 0 0 1

List of electoral districts | Greater Vancouver-Fraser Valley


Latest update: October 2, 2024
Electoral district Current party Latest projection
001 Abbotsford South CPBC safe
002 Abbotsford West CPBC safe
003 Abbotsford-Mission CPBC safe
012 Chilliwack North CPBC safe
013 Chilliwack-Cultus Lake Toss up
015 Coquitlam-Burke Mountain Toss up
016 Coquitlam-Maillardville NDP leaning
034 Langley-Abbotsford CPBC safe
035 Langley-Walnut Grove CPBC leaning
036 Langley-Willowbrook CPBC likely
037 Maple Ridge East Toss up
038 Maple Ridge-Pitt Meadows NDP likely
043 New Westminster-Coquitlam NDP likely
046 North Vancouver-Lonsdale NDP likely
047 North Vancouver-Seymour Toss up
093 West Vancouver-Sea to Sky CPBC safe