Greater Vancouver-Fraser Valley, 16 districts
Latest update: October 2, 2024
The seat projections are a forecast of the most likely results if a general election were held today.
The brackets indicate the current ranges from worst to best possible outcomes.
The distributions follow Gaussian-like curves, so the extremes are not as likely as the values near the mean.
Does it work? See 338Canada's full record here.
Popular vote projection | Greater Vancouver-Fraser Valley
Seat projection | Greater Vancouver-Fraser Valley
Seat projection | Greater Vancouver-Fraser Valley
Latest update: October 2, 2024
Safe | Likely | Leaning | Toss up | Projected ahead | Last election (2020) | |
6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 0 | |
0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 12 | |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
List of electoral districts | Greater Vancouver-Fraser Valley
Latest update: October 2, 2024
Electoral district | Current party | Latest projection |
---|---|---|
001 Abbotsford South | CPBC safe | |
002 Abbotsford West | CPBC safe | |
003 Abbotsford-Mission | CPBC safe | |
012 Chilliwack North | CPBC safe | |
013 Chilliwack-Cultus Lake | Toss up | |
015 Coquitlam-Burke Mountain | Toss up | |
016 Coquitlam-Maillardville | NDP leaning | |
034 Langley-Abbotsford | CPBC safe | |
035 Langley-Walnut Grove | CPBC leaning | |
036 Langley-Willowbrook | CPBC likely | |
037 Maple Ridge East | Toss up | |
038 Maple Ridge-Pitt Meadows | NDP likely | |
043 New Westminster-Coquitlam | NDP likely | |
046 North Vancouver-Lonsdale | NDP likely | |
047 North Vancouver-Seymour | Toss up | |
093 West Vancouver-Sea to Sky | CPBC safe |