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Greater Vancouver-Fraser Valley, 16 districts


Latest update: May 18, 2024
Greater Vancouver-Fraser Valley 39% ± 6%▼ NDP 38% ± 9%▲ BCC 12% ± 4%▼ BCU 8% ± 3% BCG 3% ± 3% OTH 338Canada popular vote projection | May 18, 2024
This projection is calculated using a weighted average of polls by the 338Canada model to estimate current party support. This is not a poll, but the result of an aggregation of polls and modelization of various data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
Greater Vancouver-Fraser Valley 8▲ [4-11] BCC 7▼ [5-11] NDP 1 [0-2] BCG 0 [0-0] BCU 338Canada seat projection | May 18, 2024
The seat projections are a forecast of the most likely results if a general election were held today. The brackets indicate the current ranges from worst to best possible outcomes. The distributions follow Gaussian-like curves, so the extremes are not as likely as the values near the mean. Does it work? See 338Canada's full record here.

Popular vote projection | Greater Vancouver-Fraser Valley

BCU 12% ± 4% BCC 38% ± 9% NDP 39% ± 6% BCG 8% ± 3% Popular vote projection % | Greater Vancouver-Fraser Valley 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 Election 2024 BCU BCC NDP BCG May 18, 2024

Seat projection | Greater Vancouver-Fraser Valley

BCC 8 [4-11] NDP 7 [5-11] BCG 1 [0-2] Seat projection | Greater Vancouver-Fraser Valley 15 10 5 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 Election 2024 BCC NDP BCG May 18, 2024

Seat projection | Greater Vancouver-Fraser Valley


Latest update: May 18, 2024
Safe Likely Leaning Toss up Projected ahead Last election (2020)
2 5 0 0 7 12
0 4 4 0 8 0
0 0 0 1 1 1
0 0 0 0 0 3

List of electoral districts | Greater Vancouver-Fraser Valley


Latest update: May 18, 2024
Electoral district Current party Latest projection
001 Abbotsford South BCC likely
002 Abbotsford West BCC likely
003 Abbotsford-Mission BCC leaning
012 Chilliwack North BCC likely
013 Chilliwack-Cultus Lake BCC leaning
015 Coquitlam-Burke Mountain NDP likely
016 Coquitlam-Maillardville NDP likely
034 Langley-Abbotsford BCC likely
035 Langley-Walnut Grove BCC leaning
036 Langley-Willowbrook BCC leaning
037 Maple Ridge East NDP likely
038 Maple Ridge-Pitt Meadows NDP safe
043 New Westminster-Coquitlam NDP likely
046 North Vancouver-Lonsdale NDP safe
047 North Vancouver-Seymour NDP likely
093 West Vancouver-Sea to Sky Toss up