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Vancouver-West End

Latest update: December 20, 2025
N
MLA: Spencer Chandra Herbert
New Democratic Party
NDP safe
Projection — Vancouver-West End → Regional projection — Metro Vancouver → All British Columbia provincial districts → British Columbia projection map → British Columbia polls → Back to 338Canada British Columbia home → Riding roulette! →

Recent electoral history | Vancouver-West End


2017 2020 2024 Projection NDP 62% ± 8% 61.0% 62.3% 63.0% CPBC 26% ± 7% 0.0% 0.0% 27.2% BCG 10% ± 5% 13.9% 16.3% 9.1% BCU 0% ± 0% 23.0% 20.1% 0.0%

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338Canada Vancouver-West End projection

Latest update: December 20, 2025

Vancouver-West End 53% 70% 62% ± 8% NDP 19% 33% 26% ± 7% CPBC 5% 15% 10% ± 5% ▲ BCG NDP 2024 63.0% 338Canada Popular vote projection | December 20, 2025
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Vancouver-West End >99% NDP <1% CPBC <1% BCG Odds of winning | December 20, 2025
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.


Popular vote projection | Vancouver-West End

BCU 0% ± 0% CPBC 26% ± 7% NDP 62% ± 8% BCG 10% ± 5% ONE 1% ± 1% CEN 0% ± 0% Popular vote projection % | Vancouver-West End 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-05-01 2026-09-01 Election 2024 BCU CPBC NDP BCG ONE CEN December 20, 2025 2024-03-26 NDP 57% CPBC 19% BCG 12% BCU 9% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-03-26 2024-05-10 NDP 56% CPBC 21% BCG 11% BCU 9% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-05-10 2024-05-18 NDP 51% CPBC 27% BCG 11% BCU 8% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-05-18 2024-06-01 NDP 52% CPBC 25% BCG 12% BCU 9% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-06-01 2024-06-26 NDP 53% CPBC 25% BCG 12% BCU 8% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-06-26 2024-07-12 NDP 51% CPBC 27% BCG 13% BCU 7% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-07-12 2024-08-01 NDP 51% CPBC 27% BCG 13% BCU 7% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-08-01 2024-08-14 NDP 52% CPBC 28% BCG 11% BCU 7% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-08-14 2024-09-03 NDP 55% CPBC 31% BCG 11% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-03 2024-09-20 NDP 56% CPBC 32% BCG 12% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-20 2024-09-21 NDP 56% CPBC 32% BCG 12% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-21 2024-09-23 NDP 56% CPBC 32% BCG 12% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-23 2024-09-25 NDP 56% CPBC 32% BCG 11% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-25 2024-09-26 NDP 56% CPBC 32% BCG 11% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-26 2024-09-27 NDP 56% CPBC 33% BCG 11% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-27 2024-09-28 NDP 56% CPBC 33% BCG 11% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-28 2024-09-29 NDP 56% CPBC 33% BCG 11% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-29 2024-09-30 NDP 57% CPBC 32% BCG 11% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-30 2024-10-01 NDP 57% CPBC 32% BCG 11% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-01 2024-10-02 NDP 56% CPBC 33% BCG 11% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-02 2024-10-03 NDP 56% CPBC 33% BCG 11% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-03 2024-10-04 NDP 56% CPBC 33% BCG 11% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-04 2024-10-05 NDP 56% CPBC 33% BCG 11% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-05 2024-10-06 NDP 57% CPBC 32% BCG 11% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-06 2024-10-07 NDP 57% CPBC 32% BCG 11% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-07 2024-10-08 NDP 57% CPBC 32% BCG 11% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-08 2024-10-09 NDP 57% CPBC 32% BCG 11% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-09 2024-10-10 NDP 57% CPBC 33% BCG 11% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-10 2024-10-11 NDP 57% CPBC 32% BCG 11% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-11 2024-10-12 NDP 57% CPBC 32% BCG 11% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-12 2024-10-13 NDP 56% CPBC 32% BCG 12% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-13 2024-10-14 NDP 57% CPBC 31% BCG 12% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-14 2024-10-15 NDP 57% CPBC 31% BCG 12% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-15 2024-10-16 NDP 57% CPBC 31% BCG 12% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-16 2024-10-17 NDP 57% CPBC 31% BCG 12% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-17 2024-10-18 NDP 58% CPBC 30% BCG 12% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-18 2024-10-20 NDP 63% CPBC 27% BCG 9% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-20 2024-11-10 NDP 63% CPBC 27% BCG 9% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-11-10 2025-02-09 NDP 63% CPBC 27% BCG 9% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2025-02-09 2025-06-18 NDP 63% CPBC 27% BCG 9% ONE 1% CEN 0% BCU 0% 2025-06-18 2025-09-13 NDP 62% CPBC 28% BCG 9% ONE 1% CEN 0% BCU 0% 2025-09-13 2025-10-21 NDP 62% CPBC 26% BCG 9% ONE 1% CEN 0% BCU 0% 2025-10-21 2025-12-20 NDP 62% CPBC 26% BCG 10% ONE 1% CEN 0% BCU 0% 2025-12-20

Odds of winning | Vancouver-West End

BCU <1% CPBC <1% NDP >99% BCG <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-05-01 2026-09-01 Election 2024 CPBC NDP BCG December 20, 2025 2024-03-26 NDP 1% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-03-26 2024-05-10 NDP 1% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-05-10 2024-05-18 NDP <1% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-05-18 2024-06-01 NDP <1% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-06-01 2024-06-26 NDP <1% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-06-26 2024-07-12 NDP <1% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-07-12 2024-08-01 NDP <1% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-08-01 2024-08-14 NDP <1% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-08-14 2024-09-03 NDP 10% CPBC <1% BCG <1% 2024-09-03 2024-09-20 NDP 22% CPBC 7% BCG <1% 2024-09-20 2024-09-21 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-09-21 2024-09-23 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-09-23 2024-09-25 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-09-25 2024-09-26 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-09-26 2024-09-27 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-09-27 2024-09-28 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-09-28 2024-09-29 NDP >99% CPBC <1% BCG <1% 2024-09-29 2024-09-30 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-09-30 2024-10-01 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-10-01 2024-10-02 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-10-02 2024-10-03 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-10-03 2024-10-04 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-10-04 2024-10-05 NDP >99% CPBC <1% BCG <1% 2024-10-05 2024-10-06 NDP >99% CPBC <1% BCG <1% 2024-10-06 2024-10-07 NDP >99% CPBC <1% BCG <1% 2024-10-07 2024-10-08 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-10-08 2024-10-09 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-10-09 2024-10-10 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-10-10 2024-10-11 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-10-11 2024-10-12 NDP >99% CPBC <1% BCG <1% 2024-10-12 2024-10-13 NDP >99% CPBC <1% BCG <1% 2024-10-13 2024-10-14 NDP >99% CPBC <1% BCG <1% 2024-10-14 2024-10-15 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-10-15 2024-10-16 NDP >99% CPBC <1% BCG <1% 2024-10-16 2024-10-17 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-10-17 2024-10-18 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-10-18 2024-10-20 NDP >99% CPBC <1% BCG <1% 2024-10-20 2024-11-10 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-11-10 2025-02-09 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2025-02-09 2025-06-18 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2025-06-18 2025-09-13 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2025-09-13 2025-10-21 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2025-10-21 2025-12-20 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2025-12-20 2024-03-26 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-03-26 2024-05-10 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-05-10 2024-05-18 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-05-18 2024-06-01 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-06-01 2024-06-26 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-06-26 2024-07-12 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-07-12 2024-08-01 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-08-01 2024-08-14 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-08-14 2024-09-03 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-09-03 2024-09-20 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-09-20 2024-09-21 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-09-21 2024-09-23 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-09-23 2024-09-25 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-09-25 2024-09-26 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-09-26