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British columbia

Richmond-Queensborough


Latest projection: September 3, 2024
CPBC leaning
Richmond-Queensborough 52% ± 8%▲ CPBC 44% ± 8%▲ NDP 4% ± 3% BCG NDP 2020 46.5% 338Canada Popular vote projection | September 3, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Richmond-Queensborough 88%▲ CPBC 12%▼ NDP <1% BCG Odds of winning | September 3, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Richmond-Queensborough

CPBC 52% ± 8% NDP 44% ± 8% BCG 4% ± 3% Popular vote projection % | Richmond-Queensborough 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 Election 2024 CPBC NDP BCG September 3, 2024 2023-12-31 NDP 36% CPBC 30% BCG 5% 2023-12-31 2024-02-01 NDP 38% CPBC 31% BCG 4% 2024-02-01 2024-03-26 NDP 34% CPBC 34% BCG 4% 2024-03-26 2024-05-10 CPBC 36% NDP 36% BCG 4% 2024-05-10 2024-05-18 CPBC 41% NDP 37% BCG 4% 2024-05-18 2024-06-01 NDP 39% CPBC 38% BCG 4% 2024-06-01 2024-06-26 NDP 40% CPBC 39% BCG 4% 2024-06-26 2024-07-12 CPBC 42% NDP 38% BCG 4% 2024-07-12 2024-08-01 CPBC 42% NDP 38% BCG 4% 2024-08-01 2024-08-14 CPBC 43% NDP 39% BCG 4% 2024-08-14 2024-09-03 CPBC 52% NDP 44% BCG 4% 2024-09-03

Odds of winning | Richmond-Queensborough

BCU <1% CPBC 88% NDP 12% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 Election 2024 BCU CPBC NDP September 3, 2024 2023-12-31 NDP 81% CPBC 14% BCU 5% 2023-12-31 2024-02-01 NDP 87% CPBC 12% BCU <1% 2024-02-01 2024-03-26 CPBC 49% NDP 48% BCU 3% 2024-03-26 2024-05-10 CPBC 54% NDP 46% BCU <1% 2024-05-10 2024-05-18 CPBC 69% NDP 31% BCU <1% 2024-05-18 2024-06-01 NDP 54% CPBC 46% BCU <1% 2024-06-01 2024-06-26 NDP 53% CPBC 47% BCU <1% 2024-06-26 2024-07-12 CPBC 69% NDP 31% BCU <1% 2024-07-12 2024-08-01 CPBC 72% NDP 28% BCU <1% 2024-08-01 2024-08-14 CPBC 74% NDP 26% BCU <1% 2024-08-14 2024-09-03 CPBC 88% NDP 12% BCU <1% 2024-09-03

Recent electoral history | Richmond-Queensborough



2017 2020 Proj. NDP 40.2% 46.5% 44% ± 8% BCU 42.6% 41.3% 0% ± 0% BCG 12.6% 7.2% 4% ± 3% CPBC 3.1% 5.0% 52% ± 8% OTH 0.0% 0.0% 1% ± 2%
Data from 2017 and 2020 are those transposed onto new electoral map.