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British columbia

Richmond-Queensborough


MLA: Steve Kooner (CPBC)
Latest projection: February 9, 2025
CPBC leaning
Richmond-Queensborough 51% ± 8% CPBC 44% ± 8% NDP 5% ± 5% IND CPBC 2024 50.91% 338Canada Popular vote projection | February 9, 2025
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Richmond-Queensborough 85%▼ CPBC 15%▲ NDP <1% INDOdds of winning | February 9, 2025
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Richmond-Queensborough

CPBC 51% ± 8% NDP 44% ± 8% IND 5% ± 5% Popular vote projection % | Richmond-Queensborough 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-04-01 2024-07-01 2024-10-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-04-01 2025-07-01 2025-10-01 Election 2024 CPBC NDP IND February 9, 2025 2023-12-31 NDP 36% CPBC 30% 2023-12-31 2024-02-01 NDP 38% CPBC 31% 2024-02-01 2024-03-26 NDP 34% CPBC 34% 2024-03-26 2024-05-10 CPBC 36% NDP 36% 2024-05-10 2024-05-18 CPBC 41% NDP 37% 2024-05-18 2024-06-01 NDP 39% CPBC 38% 2024-06-01 2024-06-26 NDP 40% CPBC 39% 2024-06-26 2024-07-12 CPBC 42% NDP 38% 2024-07-12 2024-08-01 CPBC 42% NDP 38% 2024-08-01 2024-08-14 CPBC 43% NDP 39% 2024-08-14 2024-09-03 CPBC 52% NDP 44% 2024-09-03 2024-09-20 CPBC 53% NDP 44% 2024-09-20 2024-09-21 CPBC 53% NDP 44% 2024-09-21 2024-09-23 CPBC 53% NDP 44% 2024-09-23 2024-09-25 CPBC 53% NDP 44% 2024-09-25 2024-09-26 CPBC 53% NDP 44% 2024-09-26 2024-09-27 CPBC 53% NDP 44% 2024-09-27 2024-09-28 CPBC 53% NDP 44% 2024-09-28 2024-09-29 CPBC 55% NDP 45% 2024-09-29 2024-09-30 CPBC 54% NDP 46% 2024-09-30 2024-10-01 CPBC 54% NDP 46% 2024-10-01 2024-10-02 CPBC 55% NDP 45% 2024-10-02 2024-10-03 CPBC 56% NDP 44% 2024-10-03 2024-10-04 CPBC 55% NDP 45% 2024-10-04 2024-10-05 CPBC 55% NDP 45% 2024-10-05 2024-10-06 CPBC 54% NDP 46% 2024-10-06 2024-10-07 CPBC 54% NDP 46% 2024-10-07 2024-10-08 CPBC 54% NDP 46% 2024-10-08 2024-10-09 CPBC 54% NDP 46% 2024-10-09 2024-10-10 CPBC 55% NDP 45% 2024-10-10 2024-10-11 CPBC 54% NDP 46% 2024-10-11 2024-10-12 CPBC 54% NDP 46% 2024-10-12 2024-10-13 CPBC 54% NDP 46% 2024-10-13 2024-10-14 CPBC 53% NDP 47% 2024-10-14 2024-10-15 CPBC 53% NDP 47% 2024-10-15 2024-10-16 CPBC 53% NDP 47% 2024-10-16 2024-10-17 CPBC 53% NDP 47% 2024-10-17 2024-10-18 CPBC 50% NDP 50% 2024-10-18 2024-10-20 CPBC 39% NDP 33% 2024-10-20 2024-11-10 CPBC 51% NDP 44% 2024-11-10 2025-02-09 CPBC 51% NDP 44% 2025-02-09

Odds of winning | Richmond-Queensborough

BCU <1% CPBC 85% NDP 15% BCG <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-04-01 2024-07-01 2024-10-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-04-01 2025-07-01 2025-10-01 Election 2024 CPBC NDP BCG February 9, 2025 2023-12-31 NDP 1% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2023-12-31 2024-02-01 NDP 8% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-02-01 2024-03-26 NDP 6% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-03-26 2024-05-10 NDP 1% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-05-10 2024-05-18 NDP 1% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-05-18 2024-06-01 NDP <1% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-06-01 2024-06-26 NDP <1% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-06-26 2024-07-12 NDP <1% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-07-12 2024-08-01 NDP 4% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-08-01 2024-08-14 NDP 45% CPBC <1% BCG <1% 2024-08-14 2024-09-03 NDP 67% CPBC 2% BCG <1% 2024-09-03 2024-09-20 NDP 79% CPBC 16% BCG <1% 2024-09-20 2024-09-21 NDP 81% CPBC 14% BCG <1% 2024-09-21 2024-09-23 NDP 81% CPBC 14% BCG <1% 2024-09-23 2024-09-25 NDP 87% CPBC 12% BCG <1% 2024-09-25 2024-09-26 CPBC 49% NDP 48% BCG <1% 2024-09-26 2024-09-27 CPBC 54% NDP 46% BCG <1% 2024-09-27 2024-09-28 CPBC 69% NDP 31% BCG <1% 2024-09-28 2024-09-29 NDP 54% CPBC 46% BCG <1% 2024-09-29 2024-09-30 NDP 53% CPBC 47% BCG <1% 2024-09-30 2024-10-01 CPBC 69% NDP 31% BCG <1% 2024-10-01 2024-10-02 CPBC 72% NDP 28% BCG <1% 2024-10-02 2024-10-03 CPBC 74% NDP 26% BCG <1% 2024-10-03 2024-10-04 CPBC 88% NDP 12% BCG <1% 2024-10-04 2024-10-05 CPBC 91% NDP 9% BCG <1% 2024-10-05 2024-10-06 CPBC 91% NDP 9% BCG <1% 2024-10-06 2024-10-07 CPBC 91% NDP 9% BCG <1% 2024-10-07 2024-10-08 CPBC 92% NDP 8% BCG <1% 2024-10-08 2024-10-09 CPBC 92% NDP 8% BCG <1% 2024-10-09 2024-10-10 CPBC 92% NDP 8% BCG <1% 2024-10-10 2024-10-11 CPBC 92% NDP 8% BCG <1% 2024-10-11 2024-10-12 CPBC 95% NDP 5% BCG <1% 2024-10-12 2024-10-13 CPBC 91% NDP 9% BCG <1% 2024-10-13 2024-10-14 CPBC 91% NDP 9% BCG <1% 2024-10-14 2024-10-15 CPBC 95% NDP 5% BCG <1% 2024-10-15 2024-10-16 CPBC 95% NDP 5% BCG <1% 2024-10-16 2024-10-17 CPBC 95% NDP 5% BCG <1% 2024-10-17 2024-10-18 CPBC 93% NDP 7% BCG <1% 2024-10-18 2024-10-20 CPBC 91% NDP 9% BCG <1% 2024-10-20 2024-11-10 CPBC 89% NDP 11% BCG <1% 2024-11-10 2025-02-09 CPBC 86% NDP 14% BCG <1% 2025-02-09 2023-12-31 CPBC 90% NDP 10% BCG <1% 2023-12-31 2024-02-01 CPBC 91% NDP 9% BCG <1% 2024-02-01 2024-03-26 CPBC 88% NDP 12% BCG <1% 2024-03-26 2024-05-10 CPBC 88% NDP 12% BCG <1% 2024-05-10 2024-05-18 CPBC 89% NDP 11% BCG <1% 2024-05-18 2024-06-01 CPBC 83% NDP 17% BCG <1% 2024-06-01 2024-06-26 CPBC 79% NDP 21% BCG <1% 2024-06-26 2024-07-12 CPBC 79% NDP 21% BCG <1% 2024-07-12 2024-08-01 CPBC 79% NDP 21% BCG <1% 2024-08-01 2024-08-14 CPBC 55% NDP 45% BCG <1% 2024-08-14 2024-09-03 CPBC 94% NDP 6% BCG <1% 2024-09-03 2024-09-20 CPBC 93% NDP 7% BCG <1% 2024-09-20 2024-09-21 CPBC 85% NDP 15% BCG <1% 2024-09-21

Recent electoral history | Richmond-Queensborough



2017 2020 2024 Proj. CPBC 51% ± 8% 3.1% 5.0% 50.9% NDP 44% ± 8% 40.2% 46.5% 44.1% IND 5% ± 5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% LIB 0% ± 0% 42.6% 41.3% 0.0% BCG 0% ± 0% 12.6% 7.2% 0.0%
Data from 2017 and 2020 are those transposed onto the new electoral map.