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Recent electoral history | Richmond-Queensborough


2017 2020 2024 Projection CPBC 48% ± 9% 3.1% 5.0% 50.9% NDP 44% ± 9% 40.2% 46.5% 44.1% ONE 5% ± 5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% BCG 1% ± 1% 12.6% 7.2% 0.0% BCU 0% ± 0% 42.6% 41.3% 0.0%

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338Canada Richmond-Queensborough projection

Latest update: December 20, 2025

Richmond-Queensborough 39% 58% 48% ± 9% CPBC 35% 53% 44% ± 9% NDP 0% 9% 5% ± 5% ONE CPBC 2024 50.9% 338Canada Popular vote projection | December 20, 2025
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Richmond-Queensborough 72%▼ CPBC 28%▲ NDP <1% ONEOdds of winning | December 20, 2025
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.


Popular vote projection | Richmond-Queensborough

BCU 0% ± 0% CPBC 48% ± 9% NDP 44% ± 9% BCG 1% ± 1% ONE 5% ± 5% CEN 0% ± 0% Popular vote projection % | Richmond-Queensborough 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-05-01 2026-09-01 Election 2024 BCU CPBC NDP BCG ONE CEN December 20, 2025 2024-03-26 NDP 34% CPBC 34% BCU 26% BCG 4% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-03-26 2024-05-10 CPBC 36% NDP 36% BCU 23% BCG 4% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-05-10 2024-05-18 CPBC 41% NDP 37% BCU 17% BCG 4% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-05-18 2024-06-01 NDP 39% CPBC 38% BCU 18% BCG 4% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-06-01 2024-06-26 NDP 40% CPBC 39% BCU 16% BCG 4% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-06-26 2024-07-12 CPBC 42% NDP 38% BCU 15% BCG 4% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-07-12 2024-08-01 CPBC 42% NDP 38% BCU 14% BCG 4% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-08-01 2024-08-14 CPBC 43% NDP 39% BCU 14% BCG 4% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-08-14 2024-09-03 CPBC 52% NDP 44% BCG 4% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-03 2024-09-20 CPBC 53% NDP 44% BCG 4% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-20 2024-09-21 CPBC 53% NDP 44% BCG 4% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-21 2024-09-23 CPBC 53% NDP 44% BCG 4% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-23 2024-09-25 CPBC 53% NDP 44% BCG 4% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-25 2024-09-26 CPBC 53% NDP 44% BCG 4% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-26 2024-09-27 CPBC 53% NDP 44% BCG 4% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-27 2024-09-28 CPBC 53% NDP 44% BCG 4% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-28 2024-09-29 CPBC 55% NDP 45% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-29 2024-09-30 CPBC 54% NDP 46% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-30 2024-10-01 CPBC 54% NDP 46% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-01 2024-10-02 CPBC 55% NDP 45% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-02 2024-10-03 CPBC 56% NDP 44% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-03 2024-10-04 CPBC 55% NDP 45% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-04 2024-10-05 CPBC 55% NDP 45% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-05 2024-10-06 CPBC 54% NDP 46% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-06 2024-10-07 CPBC 54% NDP 46% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-07 2024-10-08 CPBC 54% NDP 46% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-08 2024-10-09 CPBC 54% NDP 46% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-09 2024-10-10 CPBC 55% NDP 45% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-10 2024-10-11 CPBC 54% NDP 46% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-11 2024-10-12 CPBC 54% NDP 46% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-12 2024-10-13 CPBC 54% NDP 46% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-13 2024-10-14 CPBC 53% NDP 47% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-14 2024-10-15 CPBC 53% NDP 47% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-15 2024-10-16 CPBC 53% NDP 47% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-16 2024-10-17 CPBC 53% NDP 47% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-17 2024-10-18 CPBC 50% NDP 50% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-18 2024-10-20 CPBC 39% NDP 33% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-20 2024-11-10 CPBC 51% NDP 44% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-11-10 2025-02-09 CPBC 51% NDP 44% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2025-02-09 2025-06-18 CPBC 51% NDP 44% ONE 5% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2025-06-18 2025-09-13 CPBC 51% NDP 44% ONE 5% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2025-09-13 2025-10-21 CPBC 49% NDP 44% ONE 5% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2025-10-21 2025-12-20 CPBC 48% NDP 44% ONE 5% BCG 1% CEN 0% BCU 0% 2025-12-20

Odds of winning | Richmond-Queensborough

BCU <1% CPBC 72% NDP 28% BCG <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-05-01 2026-09-01 Election 2024 CPBC NDP BCG December 20, 2025 2024-03-26 NDP 8% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-03-26 2024-05-10 NDP 6% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-05-10 2024-05-18 NDP 1% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-05-18 2024-06-01 NDP 1% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-06-01 2024-06-26 NDP <1% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-06-26 2024-07-12 NDP <1% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-07-12 2024-08-01 NDP <1% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-08-01 2024-08-14 NDP 4% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-08-14 2024-09-03 NDP 45% CPBC <1% BCG <1% 2024-09-03 2024-09-20 NDP 67% CPBC 2% BCG <1% 2024-09-20 2024-09-21 NDP 79% CPBC 16% BCG <1% 2024-09-21 2024-09-23 NDP 81% CPBC 14% BCG <1% 2024-09-23 2024-09-25 NDP 81% CPBC 14% BCG <1% 2024-09-25 2024-09-26 NDP 87% CPBC 12% BCG <1% 2024-09-26 2024-09-27 CPBC 49% NDP 48% BCG <1% 2024-09-27 2024-09-28 CPBC 54% NDP 46% BCG <1% 2024-09-28 2024-09-29 CPBC 69% NDP 31% BCG <1% 2024-09-29 2024-09-30 NDP 54% CPBC 46% BCG <1% 2024-09-30 2024-10-01 NDP 53% CPBC 47% BCG <1% 2024-10-01 2024-10-02 CPBC 69% NDP 31% BCG <1% 2024-10-02 2024-10-03 CPBC 72% NDP 28% BCG <1% 2024-10-03 2024-10-04 CPBC 74% NDP 26% BCG <1% 2024-10-04 2024-10-05 CPBC 88% NDP 12% BCG <1% 2024-10-05 2024-10-06 CPBC 91% NDP 9% BCG <1% 2024-10-06 2024-10-07 CPBC 91% NDP 9% BCG <1% 2024-10-07 2024-10-08 CPBC 91% NDP 9% BCG <1% 2024-10-08 2024-10-09 CPBC 92% NDP 8% BCG <1% 2024-10-09 2024-10-10 CPBC 92% NDP 8% BCG <1% 2024-10-10 2024-10-11 CPBC 92% NDP 8% BCG <1% 2024-10-11 2024-10-12 CPBC 92% NDP 8% BCG <1% 2024-10-12 2024-10-13 CPBC 95% NDP 5% BCG <1% 2024-10-13 2024-10-14 CPBC 91% NDP 9% BCG <1% 2024-10-14 2024-10-15 CPBC 91% NDP 9% BCG <1% 2024-10-15 2024-10-16 CPBC 95% NDP 5% BCG <1% 2024-10-16 2024-10-17 CPBC 95% NDP 5% BCG <1% 2024-10-17 2024-10-18 CPBC 95% NDP 5% BCG <1% 2024-10-18 2024-10-20 CPBC 93% NDP 7% BCG <1% 2024-10-20 2024-11-10 CPBC 91% NDP 9% BCG <1% 2024-11-10 2025-02-09 CPBC 89% NDP 11% BCG <1% 2025-02-09 2025-06-18 CPBC 86% NDP 14% BCG <1% 2025-06-18 2025-09-13 CPBC 90% NDP 10% BCG <1% 2025-09-13 2025-10-21 CPBC 91% NDP 9% BCG <1% 2025-10-21 2025-12-20 CPBC 88% NDP 12% BCG <1% 2025-12-20 2024-03-26 CPBC 88% NDP 12% BCG <1% 2024-03-26 2024-05-10 CPBC 89% NDP 11% BCG <1% 2024-05-10 2024-05-18 CPBC 83% NDP 17% BCG <1% 2024-05-18 2024-06-01 CPBC 79% NDP 21% BCG <1% 2024-06-01 2024-06-26 CPBC 79% NDP 21% BCG <1% 2024-06-26 2024-07-12 CPBC 79% NDP 21% BCG <1% 2024-07-12 2024-08-01 CPBC 55% NDP 45% BCG <1% 2024-08-01 2024-08-14 CPBC 94% NDP 6% BCG <1% 2024-08-14 2024-09-03 CPBC 93% NDP 7% BCG <1% 2024-09-03 2024-09-20 CPBC 85% NDP 15% BCG <1% 2024-09-20 2024-09-21 CPBC 80% NDP 20% BCG <1% 2024-09-21 2024-09-23 CPBC 83% NDP 17% BCG <1% 2024-09-23 2024-09-25 CPBC 73% NDP 27% BCG <1% 2024-09-25 2024-09-26 CPBC 72% NDP 28% BCG <1% 2024-09-26