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British columbia

Peace River North


MLA: Jordan Kealy (CPBC)
Latest projection: November 10, 2024
CPBC safe
Peace River North 74% ± 0% CPBC 20% ± 0% IND 5% ± 0% NDP CPBC 2024 74.36% 338Canada Popular vote projection | November 10, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Peace River North >99% CPBC <1% IND <1% NDP Odds of winning | November 10, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Peace River North

CPBC 74% ± 0% NDP 5% ± 0% IND 20% ± 0% Popular vote projection % | Peace River North 90 85 80 75 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 Election 2024 CPBC NDP IND November 10, 2024 2023-12-31 CPBC 52% NDP 9% 2023-12-31 2024-02-01 CPBC 53% NDP 10% 2024-02-01 2024-03-26 CPBC 54% NDP 8% 2024-03-26 2024-05-10 CPBC 59% NDP 7% 2024-05-10 2024-05-18 CPBC 62% NDP 8% 2024-05-18 2024-06-01 CPBC 60% NDP 9% 2024-06-01 2024-06-26 CPBC 62% NDP 9% 2024-06-26 2024-07-12 CPBC 65% NDP 9% 2024-07-12 2024-08-01 CPBC 66% NDP 9% 2024-08-01 2024-08-14 CPBC 67% NDP 9% 2024-08-14 2024-09-03 CPBC 86% NDP 12% 2024-09-03 2024-09-20 CPBC 65% NDP 13% 2024-09-20 2024-09-21 CPBC 65% NDP 13% 2024-09-21 2024-09-23 CPBC 64% NDP 13% 2024-09-23 2024-09-25 CPBC 65% NDP 13% 2024-09-25 2024-09-26 CPBC 65% NDP 13% 2024-09-26 2024-09-27 CPBC 65% NDP 13% 2024-09-27 2024-09-28 CPBC 65% NDP 13% 2024-09-28 2024-09-29 CPBC 66% NDP 13% 2024-09-29 2024-09-30 CPBC 66% NDP 13% 2024-09-30 2024-10-01 CPBC 66% NDP 13% 2024-10-01 2024-10-02 CPBC 66% NDP 13% 2024-10-02 2024-10-03 CPBC 66% NDP 13% 2024-10-03 2024-10-04 CPBC 66% NDP 13% 2024-10-04 2024-10-05 CPBC 65% NDP 13% 2024-10-05 2024-10-06 CPBC 65% NDP 13% 2024-10-06 2024-10-07 CPBC 65% NDP 13% 2024-10-07 2024-10-08 CPBC 64% NDP 13% 2024-10-08 2024-10-09 CPBC 65% NDP 13% 2024-10-09 2024-10-10 CPBC 65% NDP 13% 2024-10-10 2024-10-11 CPBC 63% NDP 13% 2024-10-11 2024-10-12 CPBC 64% NDP 13% 2024-10-12 2024-10-13 CPBC 63% NDP 13% 2024-10-13 2024-10-14 CPBC 63% NDP 13% 2024-10-14 2024-10-15 CPBC 63% NDP 13% 2024-10-15 2024-10-16 CPBC 63% NDP 13% 2024-10-16 2024-10-17 CPBC 63% NDP 13% 2024-10-17 2024-10-18 CPBC 64% NDP 13% 2024-10-18 2024-10-20 CPBC 74% NDP 5% 2024-10-20 2024-11-10 CPBC 74% NDP 5% 2024-11-10

Odds of winning | Peace River North

BCU <1% CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCG <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 Election 2024 CPBC NDP BCG November 10, 2024 2023-12-31 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2023-12-31 2024-02-01 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-02-01 2024-03-26 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-03-26 2024-05-10 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-05-10 2024-05-18 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-05-18 2024-06-01 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-06-01 2024-06-26 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-06-26 2024-07-12 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-07-12 2024-08-01 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-08-01 2024-08-14 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-08-14 2024-09-03 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-09-03 2024-09-20 CPBC 96% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-09-20 2024-09-21 CPBC 97% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-09-21 2024-09-23 CPBC 97% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-09-23 2024-09-25 CPBC 99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-09-25 2024-09-26 CPBC 97% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-09-26 2024-09-27 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-09-27 2024-09-28 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-09-28 2024-09-29 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-09-29 2024-09-30 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-09-30 2024-10-01 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-10-01 2024-10-02 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-10-02 2024-10-03 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-10-03 2024-10-04 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-10-04 2024-10-05 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-10-05 2024-10-06 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-10-06 2024-10-07 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-10-07 2024-10-08 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-10-08 2024-10-09 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-10-09 2024-10-10 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-10-10 2024-10-11 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-10-11 2024-10-12 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-10-12 2024-10-13 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-10-13 2024-10-14 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-10-14 2024-10-15 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-10-15 2024-10-16 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-10-16 2024-10-17 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-10-17 2024-10-18 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-10-18 2024-10-20 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-10-20 2024-11-10 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-11-10 2023-12-31 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2023-12-31 2024-02-01 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-02-01 2024-03-26 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-03-26 2024-05-10 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-05-10 2024-05-18 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-05-18 2024-06-01 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-06-01 2024-06-26 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-06-26 2024-07-12 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-07-12 2024-08-01 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-08-01 2024-08-14 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-08-14 2024-09-03 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-09-03 2024-09-20 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-09-20 2024-09-21 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-09-21

Recent electoral history | Peace River North



2017 2020 2024 Proj. CPBC 74% ± 0% 0.0% 34.3% 74.4% IND 20% ± 0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% NDP 5% ± 0% 6.7% 10.0% 5.5% LIB 0% ± 0% 66.3% 55.6% 0.0%
Data from 2017 and 2020 are those transposed onto the new electoral map.