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Peace River South

Latest update: December 20, 2025
C
MLA: Larry Neufeld
Conservative Party of BC
CPBC safe
Projection — Peace River South → Regional projection — Northern BC → All British Columbia provincial districts → British Columbia projection map → British Columbia polls → Back to 338Canada British Columbia home → Riding roulette! →

Recent electoral history | Peace River South


2017 2020 2024 Projection CPBC 73% ± 9% 0.0% 30.5% 69.8% NDP 6% ± 4% 24.1% 15.6% 5.6% ONE 4% ± 5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% BCU 0% ± 0% 75.9% 51.2% 0.0%

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338Canada Peace River South projection

Latest update: December 20, 2025

Peace River South 65% 82% 73% ± 9% ▼ CPBC 2% 11% 6% ± 4% NDP -1% 9% 4% ± 5% ONE CPBC 2024 69.8% 338Canada Popular vote projection | December 20, 2025
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Peace River South >99% CPBC <1% NDP <1% ONEOdds of winning | December 20, 2025
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.


Popular vote projection | Peace River South

BCU 0% ± 0% CPBC 73% ± 9% NDP 6% ± 4% BCG 1% ± 2% ONE 4% ± 5% CEN 0% ± 0% Popular vote projection % | Peace River South 85 80 75 70 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-05-01 2026-09-01 Election 2024 BCU CPBC NDP BCG ONE CEN December 20, 2025 2024-03-26 CPBC 52% BCU 32% NDP 12% BCG 1% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-03-26 2024-05-10 CPBC 57% BCU 28% NDP 11% BCG 1% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-05-10 2024-05-18 CPBC 60% BCU 24% NDP 13% BCG 1% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-05-18 2024-06-01 CPBC 58% BCU 26% NDP 13% BCG 1% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-06-01 2024-06-26 CPBC 59% BCU 24% NDP 14% BCG 1% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-06-26 2024-07-12 CPBC 62% BCU 21% NDP 13% BCG 1% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-07-12 2024-08-01 CPBC 64% BCU 20% NDP 13% BCG 1% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-08-01 2024-08-14 CPBC 64% BCU 20% NDP 13% BCG 1% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-08-14 2024-09-03 CPBC 81% NDP 17% BCG 0% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-03 2024-09-20 CPBC 82% NDP 18% BCG 0% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-20 2024-09-21 CPBC 82% NDP 18% BCG 0% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-21 2024-09-23 CPBC 56% NDP 18% BCG 0% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-23 2024-09-25 CPBC 57% NDP 18% BCG 0% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-25 2024-09-26 CPBC 57% NDP 18% BCG 0% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-26 2024-09-27 CPBC 57% NDP 18% BCG 0% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-27 2024-09-28 CPBC 57% NDP 18% BCG 0% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-28 2024-09-29 CPBC 57% NDP 18% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-29 2024-09-30 CPBC 57% NDP 18% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-30 2024-10-01 CPBC 57% NDP 18% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-01 2024-10-02 CPBC 57% NDP 18% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-02 2024-10-03 CPBC 57% NDP 18% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-03 2024-10-04 CPBC 57% NDP 18% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-04 2024-10-05 CPBC 57% NDP 18% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-05 2024-10-06 CPBC 57% NDP 18% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-06 2024-10-07 CPBC 56% NDP 18% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-07 2024-10-08 CPBC 56% NDP 19% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-08 2024-10-09 CPBC 56% NDP 18% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-09 2024-10-10 CPBC 56% NDP 18% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-10 2024-10-11 CPBC 55% NDP 18% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-11 2024-10-12 CPBC 55% NDP 18% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-12 2024-10-13 CPBC 55% NDP 18% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-13 2024-10-14 CPBC 55% NDP 18% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-14 2024-10-15 CPBC 55% NDP 18% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-15 2024-10-16 CPBC 55% NDP 18% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-16 2024-10-17 CPBC 55% NDP 18% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-17 2024-10-18 CPBC 56% NDP 18% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-18 2024-10-20 CPBC 70% NDP 6% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-20 2024-11-10 CPBC 70% NDP 6% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-11-10 2025-02-09 CPBC 70% NDP 6% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2025-02-09 2025-06-18 CPBC 70% ONE 25% NDP 6% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2025-06-18 2025-09-13 CPBC 70% ONE 24% NDP 6% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2025-09-13 2025-10-21 CPBC 74% NDP 6% ONE 4% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2025-10-21 2025-12-20 CPBC 73% NDP 6% ONE 4% BCG 1% CEN 0% BCU 0% 2025-12-20

Odds of winning | Peace River South

BCU <1% CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCG <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-05-01 2026-09-01 Election 2024 CPBC NDP BCG December 20, 2025 2024-03-26 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-03-26 2024-05-10 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-05-10 2024-05-18 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-05-18 2024-06-01 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-06-01 2024-06-26 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-06-26 2024-07-12 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-07-12 2024-08-01 NDP 99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-08-01 2024-08-14 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-08-14 2024-09-03 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-09-03 2024-09-20 NDP >99% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-09-20 2024-09-21 CPBC 97% NDP <1% BCG <1% 2024-09-21 2024-09-23 CPBC 96% NDP <1% BCG <1% 2024-09-23 2024-09-25 CPBC 97% NDP <1% BCG <1% 2024-09-25 2024-09-26 CPBC 99% NDP <1% BCG <1% 2024-09-26 2024-09-27 CPBC 98% NDP <1% BCG <1% 2024-09-27 2024-09-28 CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCG <1% 2024-09-28 2024-09-29 CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCG <1% 2024-09-29 2024-09-30 CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCG <1% 2024-09-30 2024-10-01 CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCG <1% 2024-10-01 2024-10-02 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-10-02 2024-10-03 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-10-03 2024-10-04 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-10-04 2024-10-05 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-10-05 2024-10-06 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-10-06 2024-10-07 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-10-07 2024-10-08 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-10-08 2024-10-09 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-10-09 2024-10-10 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-10-10 2024-10-11 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-10-11 2024-10-12 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-10-12 2024-10-13 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-10-13 2024-10-14 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-10-14 2024-10-15 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-10-15 2024-10-16 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-10-16 2024-10-17 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-10-17 2024-10-18 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-10-18 2024-10-20 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-10-20 2024-11-10 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-11-10 2025-02-09 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2025-02-09 2025-06-18 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2025-06-18 2025-09-13 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2025-09-13 2025-10-21 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2025-10-21 2025-12-20 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2025-12-20 2024-03-26 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-03-26 2024-05-10 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-05-10 2024-05-18 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-05-18 2024-06-01 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-06-01 2024-06-26 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-06-26 2024-07-12 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-07-12 2024-08-01 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-08-01 2024-08-14 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-08-14 2024-09-03 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-09-03 2024-09-20 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-09-20 2024-09-21 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-09-21 2024-09-23 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-09-23 2024-09-25 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-09-25 2024-09-26 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-09-26