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Recent electoral history | Juan de Fuca-Malahat


2017 2020 2024 Projection NDP 37% ± 7% 38.0% 52.2% 38.8% CPBC 33% ± 7% 0.0% 0.0% 38.2% BCG 26% ± 7% 33.7% 33.4% 23.0% BCU 0% ± 0% 26.2% 14.0% 0.0%

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338Canada Juan de Fuca-Malahat projection

Latest update: September 20, 2026

Juan de Fuca-Malahat 30% 44% 37% ± 7% NDP 26% 40% 33% ± 7% CPBC 19% 33% 26% ± 7% BCG NDP 2024 38.8% 338Canada Popular vote projection | September 20, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Juan de Fuca-Malahat 79%▲ NDP 20%▼ CPBC 1%▲ BCG Odds of winning | September 20, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

338Canada British Columbia Projection | Juan de Fuca-Malahat

Odds of winning | Juan de Fuca-Malahat