logo
British columbia

Recent electoral history | Juan de Fuca-Malahat


2017 2020 2024 Projection CPBC 35% ± 7% 0.0% 0.0% 38.2% NDP 35% ± 7% 38.0% 52.2% 38.8% BCG 23% ± 6% 33.7% 33.4% 23.0% ONE 4% ± 4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% IND 3% ± 3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% BCU 0% ± 0% 26.2% 14.0% 0.0%
PartiesCandidates
CPBC Mike Hicks
NDP Dana Lajeunesse
BCG David Evans
ONE Shane Friesen
Christian Heritage Party Jeff Brown
Candidate nominations closed at 1 p.m. on October 3, 2026. Found an error or omission? Please email candidats@qc125.com. For the complete list of candidates, visit Elections BC.

Latest from the 338Canada newsletter

Loading latest analysis…

British Columbia flag

338Canada Juan de Fuca-Malahat projection

Latest update: October 21, 2026

Juan de Fuca-Malahat 29% 42% 35% ± 7% ▲ CPBC 28% 41% 35% ± 7% NDP 17% 30% 23% ± 6% ▼ BCG 0% 7% 4% ± 4% ▲ ONE NDP 2024 38.8% 338Canada Popular vote projection | October 21, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Juan de Fuca-Malahat 56%▲ CPBC 44%▼ NDP <1% BCG Odds of winning | October 21, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

338Canada British Columbia Projection | Juan de Fuca-Malahat

Odds of winning | Juan de Fuca-Malahat