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British columbia

Burnaby North


Latest projection: July 12, 2024
NDP likely
Burnaby North 47% ± 8%▼ NDP 33% ± 8%▲ BCC 9% ± 5%▼ BCU 9% ± 4%▲ BCG NDP 2020 57.2% 338Canada Popular vote projection | July 12, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Burnaby North 99%▼ NDP 1%▲ BCC <1% BCU Odds of winning | July 12, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Burnaby North

BCU 9% ± 5% BCC 33% ± 8% NDP 47% ± 8% BCG 9% ± 4% Popular vote projection % | Burnaby North 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 Election 2024 BCU BCC NDP BCG July 12, 2024 2023-12-31 NDP 54% BCU 19% BCC 16% BCG 9% 2023-12-31 2024-02-01 NDP 57% BCU 17% BCC 16% BCG 8% 2024-02-01 2024-03-26 NDP 52% BCC 20% BCU 18% BCG 8% 2024-03-26 2024-05-10 NDP 51% BCC 25% BCU 14% BCG 7% 2024-05-10 2024-05-18 NDP 47% BCC 33% BCU 11% BCG 8% 2024-05-18 2024-06-01 NDP 49% BCC 31% BCU 11% BCG 8% 2024-06-01 2024-06-26 NDP 49% BCC 31% BCU 10% BCG 8% 2024-06-26 2024-07-12 NDP 47% BCC 33% BCU 9% BCG 9% 2024-07-12

Odds of winning | Burnaby North

BCU <1% BCC 1% NDP 99% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 2025-07-01 Election 2024 BCU BCC NDP July 12, 2024 2023-12-31 NDP >99% BCC <1% BCU <1% 2023-12-31 2024-02-01 NDP >99% BCC <1% BCU <1% 2024-02-01 2024-03-26 NDP >99% BCC <1% BCU <1% 2024-03-26 2024-05-10 NDP >99% BCC <1% BCU <1% 2024-05-10 2024-05-18 NDP 97% BCC 3% BCU <1% 2024-05-18 2024-06-01 NDP >99% BCC <1% BCU <1% 2024-06-01 2024-06-26 NDP >99% BCC <1% BCU <1% 2024-06-26 2024-07-12 NDP 99% BCC 1% BCU <1% 2024-07-12

Recent electoral history | Burnaby North



2017 2020 Proj. NDP 47.9% 57.2% 47% ± 8% BCU 39.8% 31.5% 9% ± 5% BCG 12.3% 11.3% 9% ± 4% BCC 0.0% 0.0% 33% ± 8% OTH 0.0% 0.0% 2% ± 2%
Data from 2017 and 2020 are those transposed onto new electoral map.