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Recent electoral history | Vernon-Lumby


2017 2020 2024 Projection NDP 43% ± 7% 30.0% 36.7% 42.7% CPBC 41% ± 7% 0.0% 13.0% 41.0% ONE 8% ± 5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% CEN 5% ± 5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% BCG 3% ± 2% 21.7% 16.1% 0.0% BCU 0% ± 0% 47.1% 34.2% 0.0%

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338Canada Vernon-Lumby projection

Latest update: March 14, 2026

Vernon-Lumby 36% 51% 43% ± 7% NDP 34% 49% 41% ± 7% CPBC 3% 13% 8% ± 5% ONE 0% 10% 5% ± 5% CEN NDP 2024 42.7% 338Canada Popular vote projection | March 14, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Vernon-Lumby 63%▲ NDP 37%▼ CPBC <1% ONEOdds of winning | March 14, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

338Canada British Columbia Projection | Vernon-Lumby

Odds of winning | Vernon-Lumby