logo
British columbia


Cariboo North


MLA: Coralee Oakes (BCU)


Latest projection: December 5, 2023

Toss up
Cariboo North 36% ± 11%▲ 31% ± 9%▼ 29% ± 9% 4% ± 3%▼ BCU 2020 48.4% 338Canada Popular vote projection | December 5, 2023
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% Cariboo North 65%▲ 25%▼ 10%▼ Odds of winning | December 5, 2023
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Cariboo North

BCU 29% ± 9% BCC 36% ± 11% NDP 31% ± 9% BCG 4% ± 3% Popular vote projection % | Cariboo North 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2021► 2021-01-01 2021-05-01 2021-09-01 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 BCU BCC NDP BCG

Odds of winning | Cariboo North

BCU 10% BCC 65% NDP 25% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2021► 2021-01-01 2021-05-01 2021-09-01 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 BCU BCC NDP

Recent electoral history | Cariboo North



2017 2020 Proj. BCU 51.1% 48.4% 29% ± 9% NDP 35.6% 34.4% 31% ± 9% BCC 6.0% 10.8% 36% ± 11% BCG 7.4% 6.4% 4% ± 3%