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British columbia

Abbotsford-Mission


Latest projection: June 1, 2024
Toss up
Abbotsford-Mission 42% ± 9%▼ BCC 39% ± 8%▲ NDP 11% ± 5% BCU 6% ± 3% BCG NDP 2020 46.4% 338Canada Popular vote projection | June 1, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Abbotsford-Mission 65%▼ BCC 35%▲ NDP <1% BCU Odds of winning | June 1, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Abbotsford-Mission

BCU 11% ± 5% BCC 42% ± 9% NDP 39% ± 8% BCG 6% ± 3% Popular vote projection % | Abbotsford-Mission 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 Election 2024 BCU BCC NDP BCG June 1, 2024

Odds of winning | Abbotsford-Mission

BCU <1% BCC 65% NDP 35% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 Election 2024 BCU BCC NDP June 1, 2024

Recent electoral history | Abbotsford-Mission



2017 2020 Proj. NDP 33.7% 46.4% 39% ± 8% BCU 46.2% 35.3% 11% ± 5% BCG 16.8% 10.9% 6% ± 3% BCC 1.2% 5.6% 42% ± 9% OTH 0.0% 0.0% 2% ± 3%
Data from 2017 and 2020 are those transposed onto new electoral map.