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Abbotsford-Mission

Latest update: December 20, 2025
C
MLA: Reann Gasper
Conservative Party of BC
CPBC leaning
Projection — Abbotsford-Mission → Regional projection — Greater Vancouver-Fraser Valley → All British Columbia provincial districts → British Columbia projection map → British Columbia polls → Back to 338Canada British Columbia home → Riding roulette! →

Recent electoral history | Abbotsford-Mission


2017 2020 2024 Projection CPBC 52% ± 9% 1.2% 5.6% 55.4% NDP 44% ± 9% 33.7% 46.4% 44.6% BCG 1% ± 1% 16.8% 10.9% 0.0% BCU 0% ± 0% 46.2% 35.3% 0.0%

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338Canada Abbotsford-Mission projection

Latest update: December 20, 2025

Abbotsford-Mission 43% 61% 52% ± 9% ▼ CPBC 35% 53% 44% ± 9% NDP CPBC 2024 55.4% 338Canada Popular vote projection | December 20, 2025
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Abbotsford-Mission 86% CPBC 14% NDP <1% BCG Odds of winning | December 20, 2025
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.


Popular vote projection | Abbotsford-Mission

BCU 0% ± 0% CPBC 52% ± 9% NDP 44% ± 9% BCG 1% ± 1% ONE 1% ± 1% CEN 0% ± 0% Popular vote projection % | Abbotsford-Mission 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-05-01 2026-09-01 Election 2024 BCU CPBC NDP BCG ONE CEN December 20, 2025 2024-03-26 NDP 37% CPBC 35% BCU 18% BCG 7% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-03-26 2024-05-10 CPBC 39% NDP 37% BCU 14% BCG 6% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-05-10 2024-05-18 CPBC 44% NDP 37% BCU 11% BCG 6% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-05-18 2024-06-01 CPBC 42% NDP 39% BCU 11% BCG 6% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-06-01 2024-06-26 CPBC 42% NDP 39% BCU 10% BCG 6% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-06-26 2024-07-12 CPBC 44% NDP 38% BCU 9% BCG 7% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-07-12 2024-08-01 CPBC 48% NDP 36% BCU 8% BCG 7% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-08-01 2024-08-14 CPBC 48% NDP 37% BCU 8% BCG 6% ONE 0% CEN 0% 2024-08-14 2024-09-03 CPBC 54% NDP 38% BCG 6% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-03 2024-09-20 CPBC 55% NDP 39% BCG 6% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-20 2024-09-21 CPBC 55% NDP 39% BCG 6% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-21 2024-09-23 CPBC 55% NDP 39% BCG 6% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-23 2024-09-25 CPBC 55% NDP 39% BCG 6% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-25 2024-09-26 CPBC 56% NDP 39% BCG 5% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-26 2024-09-27 CPBC 56% NDP 38% BCG 5% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-27 2024-09-28 CPBC 56% NDP 38% BCG 5% CEN 0% ONE 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-28 2024-09-29 CPBC 60% NDP 40% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-29 2024-09-30 CPBC 60% NDP 40% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-09-30 2024-10-01 CPBC 60% NDP 40% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-01 2024-10-02 CPBC 60% NDP 40% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-02 2024-10-03 CPBC 60% NDP 40% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-03 2024-10-04 CPBC 60% NDP 40% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-04 2024-10-05 CPBC 60% NDP 40% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-05 2024-10-06 CPBC 59% NDP 41% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-06 2024-10-07 CPBC 59% NDP 41% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-07 2024-10-08 CPBC 58% NDP 42% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-08 2024-10-09 CPBC 59% NDP 41% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-09 2024-10-10 CPBC 59% NDP 41% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-10 2024-10-11 CPBC 59% NDP 41% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-11 2024-10-12 CPBC 59% NDP 41% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-12 2024-10-13 CPBC 59% NDP 41% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-13 2024-10-14 CPBC 54% NDP 46% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-14 2024-10-15 CPBC 53% NDP 47% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-15 2024-10-16 CPBC 53% NDP 47% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-16 2024-10-17 CPBC 53% NDP 47% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-17 2024-10-18 CPBC 53% NDP 47% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-18 2024-10-20 CPBC 56% NDP 44% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-10-20 2024-11-10 CPBC 55% NDP 45% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2024-11-10 2025-02-09 CPBC 55% NDP 45% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2025-02-09 2025-06-18 CPBC 55% NDP 45% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2025-06-18 2025-09-13 CPBC 56% NDP 44% ONE 0% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2025-09-13 2025-10-21 CPBC 53% NDP 44% ONE 1% CEN 0% BCG 0% BCU 0% 2025-10-21 2025-12-20 CPBC 52% NDP 44% BCG 1% ONE 1% CEN 0% BCU 0% 2025-12-20

Odds of winning | Abbotsford-Mission

BCU <1% CPBC 86% NDP 14% BCG <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 2024-09-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-05-01 2025-09-01 2026► 2026-01-01 2026-05-01 2026-09-01 Election 2024 CPBC NDP BCG December 20, 2025 2024-03-26 NDP 93% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-03-26 2024-05-10 NDP 90% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-05-10 2024-05-18 NDP 70% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-05-18 2024-06-01 NDP 72% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-06-01 2024-06-26 NDP 64% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-06-26 2024-07-12 NDP 66% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-07-12 2024-08-01 NDP 68% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-08-01 2024-08-14 NDP 91% BCG <1% CPBC <1% 2024-08-14 2024-09-03 NDP 99% CPBC 1% BCG <1% 2024-09-03 2024-09-20 NDP 96% CPBC 4% BCG <1% 2024-09-20 2024-09-21 NDP 91% CPBC 9% BCG <1% 2024-09-21 2024-09-23 NDP 92% CPBC 8% BCG <1% 2024-09-23 2024-09-25 NDP 92% CPBC 8% BCG <1% 2024-09-25 2024-09-26 NDP 94% CPBC 6% BCG <1% 2024-09-26 2024-09-27 NDP 63% CPBC 37% BCG <1% 2024-09-27 2024-09-28 CPBC 64% NDP 36% BCG <1% 2024-09-28 2024-09-29 CPBC 83% NDP 17% BCG <1% 2024-09-29 2024-09-30 CPBC 65% NDP 35% BCG <1% 2024-09-30 2024-10-01 CPBC 66% NDP 34% BCG <1% 2024-10-01 2024-10-02 CPBC 85% NDP 15% BCG <1% 2024-10-02 2024-10-03 CPBC 95% NDP 5% BCG <1% 2024-10-03 2024-10-04 CPBC 97% NDP 3% BCG <1% 2024-10-04 2024-10-05 CPBC 99% NDP 1% BCG <1% 2024-10-05 2024-10-06 CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCG <1% 2024-10-06 2024-10-07 CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCG <1% 2024-10-07 2024-10-08 CPBC 99% NDP 1% BCG <1% 2024-10-08 2024-10-09 CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCG <1% 2024-10-09 2024-10-10 CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCG <1% 2024-10-10 2024-10-11 CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCG <1% 2024-10-11 2024-10-12 CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCG <1% 2024-10-12 2024-10-13 CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCG <1% 2024-10-13 2024-10-14 CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCG <1% 2024-10-14 2024-10-15 CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCG <1% 2024-10-15 2024-10-16 CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCG <1% 2024-10-16 2024-10-17 CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCG <1% 2024-10-17 2024-10-18 CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCG <1% 2024-10-18 2024-10-20 CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCG <1% 2024-10-20 2024-11-10 CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCG <1% 2024-11-10 2025-02-09 CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCG <1% 2025-02-09 2025-06-18 CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCG <1% 2025-06-18 2025-09-13 CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCG <1% 2025-09-13 2025-10-21 CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCG <1% 2025-10-21 2025-12-20 CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCG <1% 2025-12-20 2024-03-26 CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCG <1% 2024-03-26 2024-05-10 CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCG <1% 2024-05-10 2024-05-18 CPBC 87% NDP 13% BCG <1% 2024-05-18 2024-06-01 CPBC 84% NDP 16% BCG <1% 2024-06-01 2024-06-26 CPBC 84% NDP 16% BCG <1% 2024-06-26 2024-07-12 CPBC 84% NDP 16% BCG <1% 2024-07-12 2024-08-01 CPBC 83% NDP 17% BCG <1% 2024-08-01 2024-08-14 CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCG <1% 2024-08-14 2024-09-03 CPBC 99% NDP 1% BCG <1% 2024-09-03 2024-09-20 CPBC 95% NDP 5% BCG <1% 2024-09-20 2024-09-21 CPBC 91% NDP 9% BCG <1% 2024-09-21 2024-09-23 CPBC 93% NDP 7% BCG <1% 2024-09-23 2024-09-25 CPBC 86% NDP 14% BCG <1% 2024-09-25 2024-09-26 CPBC 86% NDP 14% BCG <1% 2024-09-26