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British columbia


Abbotsford-Mission


MLA: Pam Alexis (NDP)


Latest projection: December 5, 2023

NDP leaning
Abbotsford-Mission 39% ± 8%▼ 30% ± 9%▲ 20% ± 6%▼ 8% ± 3%▼ NDP 2020 41.1% 338Canada Popular vote projection | December 5, 2023
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.

50% 100% Abbotsford-Mission 90%▼ 10%▲ <1% Odds of winning | December 5, 2023
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Abbotsford-Mission

BCU 20% ± 6% BCC 30% ± 9% NDP 39% ± 8% BCG 8% ± 3% Popular vote projection % | Abbotsford-Mission 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2021► 2021-01-01 2021-05-01 2021-09-01 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 BCU BCC NDP BCG

Odds of winning | Abbotsford-Mission

BCU <1% BCC 10% NDP 90% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2021► 2021-01-01 2021-05-01 2021-09-01 2022► 2022-01-01 2022-05-01 2022-09-01 2023► 2023-01-01 2023-05-01 2023-09-01 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-05-01 BCU BCC NDP

Recent electoral history | Abbotsford-Mission



2017 2020 Proj. NDP 29.2% 41.1% 39% ± 8% BCU 51.2% 38.1% 20% ± 6% BCG 17.1% 10.6% 8% ± 3% BCC 0.0% 7.9% 30% ± 9% OTH 0.0% 0.0% 2% ± 2%