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British columbia

Burnaby East


MLA elect (unofficial): Reah Arora (NDP)

Latest projection: October 20, 2024
NDP safe

Candidates | Burnaby East


BC NDP Reah Arora
Conservative Party of BC Simon Chandler
BC Green Party Tara Shushtarian

Candidates are listed on the Elections BC website here. This list will be updated regularly throughout the campaign.

Burnaby East 53% ± 0%▼ NDP 39% ± 0%▲ CPBC 8% ± 0%▼ BCG NDP 2020 59.1% 338Canada Popular vote projection | October 20, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Burnaby East >99% NDP <1% CPBC <1% BCG Odds of winning | October 20, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Burnaby East

CPBC 39% ± 5% NDP 53% ± 6% BCG 8% ± 3% Popular vote projection % | Burnaby East 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024-09-15 2024-10-01 2024-10-15 Election 2024 Campaign begins CPBC NDP BCG October 20, 2024 2024-09-21 NDP 53% CPBC 38% BCG 9% 2024-09-21 2024-09-23 NDP 53% CPBC 38% BCG 9% 2024-09-23 2024-09-25 NDP 53% CPBC 38% BCG 9% 2024-09-25 2024-09-26 NDP 53% CPBC 38% BCG 9% 2024-09-26 2024-09-27 NDP 53% CPBC 38% BCG 9% 2024-09-27 2024-09-28 NDP 53% CPBC 38% BCG 9% 2024-09-28 2024-09-29 NDP 52% CPBC 39% BCG 9% 2024-09-29 2024-09-30 NDP 53% CPBC 38% BCG 8% 2024-09-30 2024-10-01 NDP 53% CPBC 38% BCG 8% 2024-10-01 2024-10-02 NDP 52% CPBC 39% BCG 8% 2024-10-02 2024-10-03 NDP 52% CPBC 39% BCG 8% 2024-10-03 2024-10-04 NDP 53% CPBC 39% BCG 8% 2024-10-04 2024-10-05 NDP 53% CPBC 39% BCG 8% 2024-10-05 2024-10-06 NDP 53% CPBC 38% BCG 8% 2024-10-06 2024-10-07 NDP 54% CPBC 38% BCG 8% 2024-10-07 2024-10-08 NDP 54% CPBC 38% BCG 8% 2024-10-08 2024-10-09 NDP 54% CPBC 38% BCG 8% 2024-10-09 2024-10-10 NDP 53% CPBC 38% BCG 8% 2024-10-10 2024-10-11 NDP 54% CPBC 38% BCG 9% 2024-10-11 2024-10-12 NDP 54% CPBC 38% BCG 9% 2024-10-12 2024-10-13 NDP 53% CPBC 38% BCG 9% 2024-10-13 2024-10-14 NDP 54% CPBC 37% BCG 9% 2024-10-14 2024-10-15 NDP 54% CPBC 36% BCG 9% 2024-10-15 2024-10-16 NDP 54% CPBC 36% BCG 9% 2024-10-16 2024-10-17 NDP 54% CPBC 36% BCG 9% 2024-10-17 2024-10-18 NDP 55% CPBC 36% BCG 9% 2024-10-18 2024-10-20 NDP 53% CPBC 39% BCG 8% 2024-10-20

Odds of winning | Burnaby East

BCU <1% CPBC <1% NDP >99% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024-09-15 2024-10-01 2024-10-15 Election 2024 Campaign begins BCU CPBC NDP October 20, 2024 2024-09-21 NDP 99% CPBC 1% BCU <1% 2024-09-21 2024-09-23 NDP 99% CPBC 1% BCU <1% 2024-09-23 2024-09-25 NDP 99% CPBC 1% BCU <1% 2024-09-25 2024-09-26 NDP 99% CPBC 1% BCU <1% 2024-09-26 2024-09-27 NDP 99% CPBC 1% BCU <1% 2024-09-27 2024-09-28 NDP 99% CPBC 1% BCU <1% 2024-09-28 2024-09-29 NDP 99% CPBC 1% BCU <1% 2024-09-29 2024-09-30 NDP 99% CPBC 1% BCU <1% 2024-09-30 2024-10-01 NDP 99% CPBC 1% BCU <1% 2024-10-01 2024-10-02 NDP 99% CPBC 1% BCU <1% 2024-10-02 2024-10-03 NDP 98% CPBC 2% BCU <1% 2024-10-03 2024-10-04 NDP 99% CPBC 1% BCU <1% 2024-10-04 2024-10-05 NDP 99% CPBC 1% BCU <1% 2024-10-05 2024-10-06 NDP 99% CPBC 1% BCU <1% 2024-10-06 2024-10-07 NDP >99% CPBC <1% BCU <1% 2024-10-07 2024-10-08 NDP >99% CPBC <1% BCU <1% 2024-10-08 2024-10-09 NDP 99% CPBC 1% BCU <1% 2024-10-09 2024-10-10 NDP 99% CPBC 1% BCU <1% 2024-10-10 2024-10-11 NDP >99% CPBC <1% BCU <1% 2024-10-11 2024-10-12 NDP >99% CPBC <1% BCU <1% 2024-10-12 2024-10-13 NDP 99% CPBC 1% BCU <1% 2024-10-13 2024-10-14 NDP >99% CPBC <1% BCU <1% 2024-10-14 2024-10-15 NDP >99% CPBC <1% BCU <1% 2024-10-15 2024-10-16 NDP >99% CPBC <1% BCU <1% 2024-10-16 2024-10-17 NDP >99% CPBC <1% BCU <1% 2024-10-17 2024-10-18 NDP >99% CPBC <1% BCU <1% 2024-10-18 2024-10-20 NDP >99% CPBC <1% BCU <1% 2024-10-20

Recent electoral history | Burnaby East



2017 2020 Proj. NDP 47.2% 59.1% 53% ± 0% CPBC 0.0% 0.0% 39% ± 0% BCG 14.1% 13.1% 8% ± 0% BCU 37.6% 26.4% 0% ± 0%
Data from 2017 and 2020 are those transposed onto new electoral map.