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British columbia

West Vancouver-Sea to Sky


MLA: Jeremy Valeriote (BCG)
Latest projection: November 10, 2024
GRN leaning
West Vancouver-Sea to Sky 38% ± 0% BCG 36% ± 0% CPBC 26% ± 0% NDP BCG 2024 38.08% 338Canada Popular vote projection | November 10, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% West Vancouver-Sea to Sky 76% BCG 24% CPBC <1% NDP Odds of winning | November 10, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | West Vancouver-Sea to Sky

CPBC 36% ± 0% NDP 26% ± 0% BCG 38% ± 0% Popular vote projection % | West Vancouver-Sea to Sky 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 Election 2024 CPBC NDP BCG November 10, 2024 2023-12-31 BCG 32% NDP 25% CPBC 15% 2023-12-31 2024-02-01 BCG 32% NDP 27% CPBC 16% 2024-02-01 2024-03-26 BCG 31% NDP 23% CPBC 18% 2024-03-26 2024-05-10 BCG 29% CPBC 24% NDP 23% 2024-05-10 2024-05-18 BCG 30% CPBC 29% NDP 22% 2024-05-18 2024-06-01 BCG 31% CPBC 27% NDP 22% 2024-06-01 2024-06-26 BCG 32% CPBC 27% NDP 22% 2024-06-26 2024-07-12 BCG 34% CPBC 29% NDP 23% 2024-07-12 2024-08-01 CPBC 36% BCG 33% NDP 23% 2024-08-01 2024-08-14 CPBC 36% BCG 31% NDP 24% 2024-08-14 2024-09-03 CPBC 42% BCG 31% NDP 25% 2024-09-03 2024-09-20 CPBC 43% BCG 31% NDP 26% 2024-09-20 2024-09-21 CPBC 43% BCG 31% NDP 26% 2024-09-21 2024-09-23 CPBC 43% BCG 32% NDP 25% 2024-09-23 2024-09-25 CPBC 43% BCG 31% NDP 26% 2024-09-25 2024-09-26 CPBC 44% BCG 30% NDP 26% 2024-09-26 2024-09-27 CPBC 44% BCG 30% NDP 26% 2024-09-27 2024-09-28 CPBC 44% BCG 30% NDP 26% 2024-09-28 2024-09-29 CPBC 45% BCG 30% NDP 25% 2024-09-29 2024-09-30 CPBC 45% BCG 30% NDP 25% 2024-09-30 2024-10-01 CPBC 45% BCG 30% NDP 25% 2024-10-01 2024-10-02 CPBC 45% BCG 29% NDP 25% 2024-10-02 2024-10-03 CPBC 46% BCG 29% NDP 25% 2024-10-03 2024-10-04 CPBC 45% BCG 29% NDP 25% 2024-10-04 2024-10-05 CPBC 45% BCG 29% NDP 26% 2024-10-05 2024-10-06 CPBC 44% BCG 30% NDP 26% 2024-10-06 2024-10-07 CPBC 44% BCG 30% NDP 26% 2024-10-07 2024-10-08 CPBC 44% BCG 30% NDP 26% 2024-10-08 2024-10-09 CPBC 44% BCG 30% NDP 26% 2024-10-09 2024-10-10 CPBC 45% BCG 30% NDP 26% 2024-10-10 2024-10-11 CPBC 38% BCG 36% NDP 26% 2024-10-11 2024-10-12 CPBC 38% BCG 36% NDP 26% 2024-10-12 2024-10-13 CPBC 37% BCG 37% NDP 26% 2024-10-13 2024-10-14 CPBC 37% BCG 37% NDP 26% 2024-10-14 2024-10-15 CPBC 38% BCG 36% NDP 26% 2024-10-15 2024-10-16 CPBC 38% BCG 36% NDP 26% 2024-10-16 2024-10-17 CPBC 38% BCG 36% NDP 26% 2024-10-17 2024-10-18 CPBC 39% BCG 36% NDP 26% 2024-10-18 2024-10-20 BCG 38% CPBC 36% NDP 26% 2024-10-20 2024-11-10 BCG 38% CPBC 36% NDP 26% 2024-11-10

Odds of winning | West Vancouver-Sea to Sky

BCU <1% CPBC 24% NDP <1% BCG 76% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024► 2024-01-01 2024-03-01 2024-05-01 2024-07-01 2024-09-01 2024-11-01 2025► 2025-01-01 2025-03-01 2025-05-01 Election 2024 CPBC NDP BCG November 10, 2024 2023-12-31 BCG <1% NDP <1% CPBC <1% 2023-12-31 2024-02-01 BCG <1% NDP <1% CPBC <1% 2024-02-01 2024-03-26 BCG <1% NDP <1% CPBC <1% 2024-03-26 2024-05-10 BCG <1% NDP <1% CPBC <1% 2024-05-10 2024-05-18 BCG <1% NDP <1% CPBC <1% 2024-05-18 2024-06-01 BCG <1% NDP <1% CPBC <1% 2024-06-01 2024-06-26 BCG <1% NDP <1% CPBC <1% 2024-06-26 2024-07-12 BCG <1% NDP <1% CPBC <1% 2024-07-12 2024-08-01 BCG <1% NDP <1% CPBC <1% 2024-08-01 2024-08-14 BCG <1% NDP <1% CPBC <1% 2024-08-14 2024-09-03 BCG <1% NDP <1% CPBC <1% 2024-09-03 2024-09-20 BCG 84% NDP 4% CPBC <1% 2024-09-20 2024-09-21 BCG 84% NDP 4% CPBC <1% 2024-09-21 2024-09-23 BCG 85% NDP 4% CPBC <1% 2024-09-23 2024-09-25 BCG 82% NDP 14% CPBC <1% 2024-09-25 2024-09-26 BCG 89% NDP 2% CPBC <1% 2024-09-26 2024-09-27 BCG 76% CPBC 16% NDP 4% 2024-09-27 2024-09-28 BCG 52% CPBC 47% NDP <1% 2024-09-28 2024-09-29 BCG 78% CPBC 22% NDP 1% 2024-09-29 2024-09-30 BCG 83% CPBC 17% NDP <1% 2024-09-30 2024-10-01 BCG 79% CPBC 21% NDP <1% 2024-10-01 2024-10-02 CPBC 70% BCG 30% NDP <1% 2024-10-02 2024-10-03 CPBC 83% BCG 17% NDP <1% 2024-10-03 2024-10-04 CPBC 98% BCG 2% NDP <1% 2024-10-04 2024-10-05 CPBC 98% BCG 2% NDP <1% 2024-10-05 2024-10-06 CPBC 98% BCG 2% NDP <1% 2024-10-06 2024-10-07 CPBC 97% BCG 3% NDP <1% 2024-10-07 2024-10-08 CPBC 99% BCG 1% NDP <1% 2024-10-08 2024-10-09 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-10-09 2024-10-10 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-10-10 2024-10-11 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-10-11 2024-10-12 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-10-12 2024-10-13 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-10-13 2024-10-14 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-10-14 2024-10-15 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-10-15 2024-10-16 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-10-16 2024-10-17 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-10-17 2024-10-18 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-10-18 2024-10-20 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-10-20 2024-11-10 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-11-10 2023-12-31 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2023-12-31 2024-02-01 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-02-01 2024-03-26 CPBC >99% BCG <1% NDP <1% 2024-03-26 2024-05-10 CPBC 66% BCG 34% NDP <1% 2024-05-10 2024-05-18 CPBC 66% BCG 34% NDP <1% 2024-05-18 2024-06-01 CPBC 55% BCG 45% NDP <1% 2024-06-01 2024-06-26 CPBC 52% BCG 48% NDP <1% 2024-06-26 2024-07-12 CPBC 58% BCG 42% NDP <1% 2024-07-12 2024-08-01 CPBC 58% BCG 42% NDP <1% 2024-08-01 2024-08-14 CPBC 57% BCG 42% NDP <1% 2024-08-14 2024-09-03 CPBC 65% BCG 35% NDP <1% 2024-09-03 2024-09-20 BCG 76% CPBC 24% NDP <1% 2024-09-20 2024-09-21 BCG 76% CPBC 24% NDP <1% 2024-09-21

Recent electoral history | West Vancouver-Sea to Sky



2017 2020 2024 Proj. BCG 38% ± 0% 29.5% 38.2% 38.1% CPBC 36% ± 0% 0.0% 0.0% 35.6% NDP 26% ± 0% 28.0% 25.7% 26.3% LIB 0% ± 0% 41.2% 36.1% 0.0%
Data from 2017 and 2020 are those transposed onto the new electoral map.