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Recent electoral history | Saanich North and the Islands


2017 2020 2024 Projection BCG 38% ± 8% 42.1% 52.9% 36.2% NDP 29% ± 6% 30.7% 28.6% 32.2% CPBC 29% ± 6% 0.0% 0.0% 29.8% CEN 3% ± 3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% BCU 0% ± 0% 26.2% 18.5% 0.0%
PartiesCandidates
CPBC Ryan Windsor
NDP Kala Bryson
BCG Emily Lowan
CEN Richard Smith
Candidate nominations closed at 1 p.m. on October 3, 2026. Found an error or omission? Please email candidats@qc125.com. For the complete list of candidates, visit Elections BC.

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338Canada Saanich North and the Islands projection

Latest update: October 14, 2026

Saanich North and the Islands 30% 46% 38% ± 8% BCG 23% 36% 29% ± 6% NDP 23% 36% 29% ± 6% CPBC BCG 2024 36.2% 338Canada Popular vote projection | October 14, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Saanich North and the Islands 90% BCG 5% NDP 5% CPBC Odds of winning | October 14, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

338Canada British Columbia Projection | Saanich North and the Islands

Odds of winning | Saanich North and the Islands