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Recent electoral history | Saanich North and the Islands


2017 2020 2024 Projection BCG 39% ± 8% 42.1% 52.9% 36.2% NDP 30% ± 6% 30.7% 28.6% 32.2% CPBC 28% ± 6% 0.0% 0.0% 29.8% BCU 0% ± 0% 26.2% 18.5% 0.0%

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338Canada Saanich North and the Islands projection

Latest update: August 17, 2026

Saanich North and the Islands 31% 46% 39% ± 8% BCG 24% 36% 30% ± 6% NDP 22% 34% 28% ± 6% CPBC BCG 2024 36.2% 338Canada Popular vote projection | August 17, 2026
Methodology note. This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by professional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Saanich North and the Islands 93% BCG 5%▲ NDP 2%▼ CPBC Odds of winning | August 17, 2026
Methodology note. These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of simulated elections.

338Canada British Columbia Projection | Saanich North and the Islands

Odds of winning | Saanich North and the Islands