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British columbia

Kelowna-Mission


Latest projection: October 7, 2024
CPBC safe

Candidates | Kelowna-Mission


BC NDP Harpreet Badohal
Conservative Party of BC Gavin Dew
BC Green Party Billy Young
Independent Ashley Ramsay

Candidates are listed on the Elections BC website here. This list will be updated regularly throughout the campaign.

Kelowna-Mission 55% ± 7% CPBC 31% ± 6% NDP 10% ± 4% BCG 4% ± 3% IND LIB 2020 51.8% 338Canada Popular vote projection | October 7, 2024
This projection is calculated using a mostly-proportional swing model adjusted with provincial and regional polls conducted by profesional pollsters. This is not a poll, but a projection based on polls. The 338Canada model also takes into account electoral history and other data. Read more on 338Canada's methodology here.
50% 100% Kelowna-Mission >99% CPBC <1% NDP <1% BCG Odds of winning | October 7, 2024
These odds of winning are those if a general election were held today. They are calculated by the 338Canada Monte Carlo-type program that runs thousands of general election simulations. Electoral districts are then labelled as safe (odds of winning higher than 99.5%), likely (90% to 99.5%), leaning (70% to 90%) or toss up (below 70%).


Popular vote projection | Kelowna-Mission

CPBC 55% ± 7% NDP 31% ± 6% BCG 10% ± 4% IND 4% ± 3% Popular vote projection % | Kelowna-Mission 65 60 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 2024-09-15 2024-10-01 2024-10-15 Election 2024 Campaign begins CPBC NDP BCG IND October 7, 2024 2024-09-21 CPBC 58% NDP 31% BCG 11% 2024-09-21 2024-09-23 CPBC 58% NDP 31% BCG 11% 2024-09-23 2024-09-25 CPBC 59% NDP 31% BCG 10% 2024-09-25 2024-09-26 CPBC 59% NDP 31% BCG 10% 2024-09-26 2024-09-27 CPBC 59% NDP 31% BCG 10% 2024-09-27 2024-09-28 CPBC 59% NDP 30% BCG 10% 2024-09-28 2024-09-29 CPBC 56% NDP 30% BCG 10% 2024-09-29 2024-09-30 CPBC 56% NDP 30% BCG 10% 2024-09-30 2024-10-01 CPBC 56% NDP 30% BCG 10% 2024-10-01 2024-10-02 CPBC 56% NDP 30% BCG 10% 2024-10-02 2024-10-03 CPBC 56% NDP 30% BCG 10% 2024-10-03 2024-10-04 CPBC 56% NDP 31% BCG 10% 2024-10-04 2024-10-05 CPBC 55% NDP 31% BCG 10% 2024-10-05 2024-10-06 CPBC 55% NDP 31% BCG 10% 2024-10-06 2024-10-07 CPBC 55% NDP 31% BCG 10% 2024-10-07

Odds of winning | Kelowna-Mission

BCU <1% CPBC >99% NDP <1% Odds of winning the most seats 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 2024-09-15 2024-10-01 2024-10-15 Election 2024 Campaign begins BCU CPBC NDP October 7, 2024 2024-09-21 CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCU <1% 2024-09-21 2024-09-23 CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCU <1% 2024-09-23 2024-09-25 CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCU <1% 2024-09-25 2024-09-26 CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCU <1% 2024-09-26 2024-09-27 CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCU <1% 2024-09-27 2024-09-28 CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCU <1% 2024-09-28 2024-09-29 CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCU <1% 2024-09-29 2024-09-30 CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCU <1% 2024-09-30 2024-10-01 CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCU <1% 2024-10-01 2024-10-02 CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCU <1% 2024-10-02 2024-10-03 CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCU <1% 2024-10-03 2024-10-04 CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCU <1% 2024-10-04 2024-10-05 CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCU <1% 2024-10-05 2024-10-06 CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCU <1% 2024-10-06 2024-10-07 CPBC >99% NDP <1% BCU <1% 2024-10-07

Recent electoral history | Kelowna-Mission



2017 2020 Proj. CPBC 7.0% 0.0% 55% ± 7% NDP 20.9% 31.2% 31% ± 6% BCG 14.3% 17.0% 10% ± 4% IND 0.0% 0.0% 4% ± 3% BCU 57.8% 51.8% 0% ± 0%
Data from 2017 and 2020 are those transposed onto new electoral map.